Part of: LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $51,614.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp 9-wallet live cluster

Nine-wallet EDward Gaming cluster included multiple highly profitable esports/sports-style bettors and caught a live move from roughly 66¢ to 100¢, though the market is likely no longer actionable at current odds.

  • Nine wallets bought EDward Gaming together for $24.9K, with entries around 63–71¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
  • The strongest wallet in the group wins 98% of resolved bets and is up $3.4M lifetime.
  • This came during a 64x volume spike, suggesting coordinated live conviction rather than routine activity.

$24,863 on EDward Gaming

70% serial cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 70% resolved win rate is buying Ultra Prime across a broader event position as the market has moved toward them.

  • This bettor has won 70% of resolved trades and is up $96.7K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $864.9K deployed across 96 events.
  • Entry at 37¢ backs the underdog after Ultra Prime moved up 9 points in the last day.

$5,282 on Ultra Prime | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a strong long-term record is buying the Ultra Prime underdog at 27¢, though the trade size is modest in a liquid market.

  • This bettor is up about $1.0M lifetime across 266 resolved markets.
  • They win 63% of resolved bets and have traded 273 markets across 194 events.
  • Entry at 27¢ backs the underdog, implying a roughly 3.7x payout if Ultra Prime wins.

$1,185 on Ultra Prime | Wallet win rate: 64%

85% serial cross-market bettor

Strong tracked wallet with 85% resolved win rate and extensive profitable cross-market history bought EDward Gaming at 73¢.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $247K lifetime.
  • They have traded 46 markets across 32 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 73¢ backs the current favorite while the market remains fairly tight with a 1¢ spread.

$1,553 on EDward Gaming | Wallet win rate: 87%

86% winner backs favorite

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 86% resolved win rate bought EDward Gaming despite the trade being modest and the market liquid.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $4.5M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 186 events with nearly $20M invested, suggesting a seasoned specialist rather than a random whale.
  • Entry at 74¢ backs the market favorite with a strong historical trader behind it.

$1,487 on EDward Gaming | Wallet win rate: 87%

96% winner buying underdog

A highly profitable esports bettor with a 27-1 resolved record is buying the Ultra Prime underdog at 27¢, despite the alert having only one signal and modest size.

  • This bettor has won 27 of 28 resolved trades and is up $7.2K lifetime.
  • Their past wins came at 68¢ average odds, so this 27¢ underdog entry is a much bigger upside swing.
  • Entry at 27¢ implies a roughly 3.7x payout if Ultra Prime wins.

$1,350 on Ultra Prime | Wallet win rate: 94%

96% winner backs underdog

Elite 96% win-rate wallet with a long cross-market track record bought the underdog Ultra Prime, despite the market currently pricing them around 26%.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $235K lifetime.
  • They have traded 571 markets across 541 events, suggesting a consistent sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 28¢ backs the underdog and implies they see Ultra Prime as mispriced versus the market’s 26–27¢ level.

$1,150 on Ultra Prime | Wallet win rate: 95%

95% winner leading cluster

A highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history is leading a small same-side cluster buying the underdog at 28¢.

  • The lead bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $368K lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought the same underdog within seconds, totaling $5.4K at 28¢.
  • Entry at 28¢ implies a ~3.6x payout if this sharp bettor is right.

$5,425 on Ultra Prime

98% win-rate sharp

Elite 98% win-rate wallet with $3.4M profit is buying EDward Gaming at 73¢, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $3.4M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 284 events with a 98% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • Entry at 73¢ backs the favorite while the market sits around 74¢.

$4,639 on EDward Gaming | Wallet win rate: 98%

86% winner backing favorite

Proven esports bettor with an 86% resolved win rate and $4.5M profit bought EDward Gaming at 72%, making this a worthwhile sharp-follow despite modest size.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $4.5M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 185 events with nearly $20M invested, suggesting a proven repeatable edge.
  • Entry at 72¢ is close to the market price, with EDward Gaming currently the clear favorite.

$2,463 on EDward Gaming | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 13921638, $23,062 (58% win rate)
  2. 0x8c0b...7aa5 Outcome 13921638, $14,724 (56% win rate)
  3. 0xf070...ac55 Outcome 13921638, $14,392 (88% win rate)
  4. 0x93f6...4814 Outcome 13921638, $12,041 (35% win rate)
  5. 0x4421...80d2 Outcome 13921638, $12,000
  6. 0xef21...3dc9 Outcome 13921638, $9,331 (95% win rate)
  7. 0xf7c2...9b8d Outcome 13921638, $7,936 (95% win rate)
  8. 0x55d9...832c Outcome 13921638, $5,000 (87% win rate)
  9. 0xbbb1...204d Outcome 13921638, $5,000 (94% win rate)
  10. 0xee96...0634 Outcome 13921638, $4,725 (56% win rate)

Related Theses

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LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

ResolvedLoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$51,614 tracked12 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Ultra Prime and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for April 30 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ultra Prime" if Ultra Prime win the match against EDward Gaming. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against Ultra Prime. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

13d ago

$24,863 on EDward Gaming at 66¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

13d ago

$5,282 on Ultra Prime at 37¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

13d ago

$1,185 on Ultra Prime at 27¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

13d ago

$1,553 on EDward Gaming at 73¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

13d ago

$1,487 on EDward Gaming at 74¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

13d ago

$1,350 on Ultra Prime at 27¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

13d ago

$1,150 on Ultra Prime at 28¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

13d ago

$5,425 on Ultra Prime at 28¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

13d ago

$4,639 on EDward Gaming at 73¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

13d ago

$2,463 on EDward Gaming at 72¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

13d ago

$1,065 on EDward Gaming at 71¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

14d ago

$1,152 on Ultra Prime at 34¢

Related Theses