Part of: Ecuador vs. Germany - More Markets
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5
16 smart money signals detected, totaling $277,566.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Profitable wallet in Over cluster
High-score alert from a profitable wallet joining a 4-wallet Over cluster, though the market has since moved sharply against the trade.
- Four wallets bought the same Over side for $18.9k, including two linked wallets.
- The featured wallet is up about $900k lifetime across 4,417 resolved trades.
- Over was entered around 51¢ and is now 14¢, so the market has moved heavily against them.
$4,252 on Over | Wallet win rate: 54%
89% winner on clustered Over
A highly profitable 89% winner bought Over alongside one-sided clustered flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market bettor with $5.3M traded across 967 markets.
- Four wallets bought Over the same way, including two linked wallets, during a 22x volume spike.
$2,451 on Over | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable wallet in Over cluster
High-score alert from a profitable wallet joining a 4-wallet Over cluster, though the market has since moved sharply against the trade.
- Four wallets bought the same Over side for $18.9k, including two linked wallets.
- The featured wallet is up about $900k lifetime across 4,417 resolved trades.
- Over was entered around 51¢ and is now 14¢, so the market has moved heavily against them.
$5,283 on Over | Wallet win rate: 54%
Profitable serial sports trader
A profitable serial sports trader joined a small one-sided Over cluster during a major volume spike, though the market has since moved below their 48¢ entry.
- This bettor has a long track record: 65% wins across 301 resolved bets and $34.6K in profit.
- Three wallets bought Over in the same window, totaling about $6.1K on one side.
- The market saw a 10x volume spike, and Over had already moved up 10 points on the day.
$1,451 on Over | Wallet win rate: 66%
Coordinated Under flow
High composite from coordinated Under buying, a large event-wide positioning pattern, volume spike, and rapid price movement, despite this wallet’s weak long-term P&L.
- Four wallets bought the Under side together, totaling about $21k in the same direction.
- Market activity spiked 33x versus its normal pace, with the Under price moving sharply in minutes.
- This wallet is active across 6 related markets, suggesting a broader game-level thesis rather than a one-off bet.
$15,025 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%
Profitable bettor joins Under cluster
A profitable sports bettor is buying Under alongside a small same-direction cluster, despite a very liquid market and recent sharp move.
- This bettor has won 72% of 135 resolved bets and is up $85.7K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same Under outcome for a combined $14.1K.
- The bet follows a fast 10-point move, suggesting active momentum around this total.
$3,680 on Under | Wallet win rate: 71%
12-wallet Over surge
Despite this wallet's weak long-term P&L, the alert is worth surfacing because broad one-sided flow, a 72x volume spike, and a 30-point Over move suggest coordinated conviction around a high-volume World Cup market.
- 12 wallets pushed $124K onto Over, creating a strong one-sided move.
- Volume spiked 72x above normal and Over is up about 31 points in a day.
- This wallet bought Over around 76¢, while the market is now closer to 64¢.
$7,212 on Over | Wallet win rate: 53%
12-wallet Over surge
High-score sports alert with 12 wallets buying Over, a 72x volume spike, major price impact, and a high-hit-rate cross-market trader joining despite the entry now being above market.
- 12 wallets bought the same side, totaling $124K on Over.
- This bettor has won 84% of 116 resolved bets and regularly trades across sports markets.
- Volume spiked 72x and Over jumped about 30 points, signaling strong one-way momentum.
$3,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 86%
12-wallet Over surge
High-conviction one-sided flow: 12 wallets bought Over amid a 72x volume spike and a 30-point price move, despite this individual wallet having negative lifetime P&L.
- 12 wallets are all buying Over, totaling $124K in the same direction.
- Volume spiked 72x above normal as the Over price jumped about 30 points.
- This trade entered at 75¢, while the market is now around 64¢, offering a cheaper entry than the flagged buy.
$6,750 on Over | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable cluster chased Over
A profitable 4-wallet cluster bought $41k of Over before a major 40-point move, alongside a 136x pre-event volume spike and strong price impact.
- Four wallets bought $41k of Over, mostly around 52–53¢ before it jumped to 72¢.
- The two largest bettors are up about $701k and $2.38M lifetime across thousands of resolved trades.
- Volume spiked 136x above normal and the Over price is up 40 points in 24 hours.
$14,798 on Over
Top Holders
- 0x9732...1539 — Outcome 21683004, $117,479 (100% win rate)
- 0x1eaf...9bf0 — Outcome 21683004, $50,004 (63% win rate)
- 0x332a...c9a2 — Outcome 21683004, $23,000 (48% win rate)
- 0xf28e...cab2 — Outcome 21683004, $10,499 (89% win rate)
- 0xa80e...6aa1 — Outcome 21683004, $9,999 (52% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Outcome 21683004, $9,345 (54% win rate)
- 0x4582...619e — Outcome 21683004, $7,000 (81% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 21683004, $4,909 (55% win rate)
- 0xddc3...029c — Outcome 21683004, $4,500 (92% win rate)
- 0x05e3...4b87 — Outcome 21683004, $4,167 (98% win rate)
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