Part of: UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $40,405.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable new wallet on Luque
A very new wallet with repeated large bets and early strong profitability just bought Vicente Luque at 32¢ during a major pre-fight volume surge, suggesting informed conviction despite modest size.
- This wallet is less than 6 days old, has already made 14 flagged bets, and is up $40.6k.
- They bought Vicente Luque at 32¢, a price that implies roughly a 3.1x payoff if they are right.
- Market activity spiked 155x above normal before the fight, showing money is rushing into this matchup.
$2,449 on Vicente Luque | Wallet win rate: 50%
83% win-rate sports bettor
A profitable sports bettor with an 83% win rate bought into a market seeing a 51x pre-fight volume surge, which is notable even though the individual bet size is modest.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $47k overall
- The market saw a 51x jump in volume before the fight, suggesting sharper money is showing up
- They bought Kelvin Gastelum at 70¢, a fairly direct conviction bet rather than a hedge
$2,977 on Kelvin Gastelum | Wallet win rate: 86%
79% win-rate underdog bet
A proven profitable trader with a 79% win rate and broad cross-market history just took a fresh $4.8k underdog position on Vicente Luque at 30¢.
- This bettor wins 79% of their resolved trades and is up $160k overall
- They have traded 91 markets across 59 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- Bought Vicente Luque at 30¢, meaning they see the underdog as meaningfully undervalued
$4,753 on Vicente Luque | Wallet win rate: 82%
3-wallet Gastelum pile-in
Three wallets put $20.3k into Kelvin Gastelum in a short burst, including a 1-day-old repeat bettor and one wallet with an 82% win rate, creating a credible coordinated signal despite mixed cluster quality.
- Three wallets bought $20.3k of Kelvin Gastelum within 11 minutes, showing clear one-sided conviction.
- One of the buyers wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $25.2k, giving the cluster at least one strong sharp signal.
- A 1-day-old wallet has already been flagged 6 times for large bets, suggesting aggressive fresh capital behind the same side.
$20,316 on Kelvin Gastelum
New whale betting big
A 1-day-old wallet has repeatedly deployed size on Polymarket and just put nearly $10k into Kelvin Gastelum, suggesting a new high-conviction entrant worth tracking despite no proven record yet.
- A 1-day-old wallet has already triggered 6 large-bet alerts with $27.7k flagged total
- This is a fresh $9.9k buy on Kelvin Gastelum at 70¢, showing clear conviction rather than profit-taking
- The bet is meaningful but not routine retail size, and the wallet’s repeated early activity makes it worth watching
$9,910 on Kelvin Gastelum | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0xf438...9559 — Outcome 10979579, $92,373 (73% win rate)
- 0x8982...59fb — Outcome 10979579, $9,910 (80% win rate)
- 0x37c1...c53a — Outcome 10979579, $7,009 (67% win rate)
- 0xca4e...f97e — Outcome 10979579, $4,461 (100% win rate)
- 0x5e30...acbf — Outcome 10979579, $3,043 (74% win rate)
- 0xd161...4cc1 — Outcome 10979579, $2,160 (73% win rate)
- 0x4b49...0397 — Outcome 10979579, $2,000 (77% win rate)
- 0x4f22...6482 — Outcome 10979579, $1,881 (96% win rate)
- 0x7762...309e — Outcome 10979579, $1,458 (91% win rate)
- 0xb925...0f4a — Outcome 10979579, $1,427
