Part of: France vs. Senegal

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $210,756.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

14-wallet draw cluster

A large 14-wallet cluster is buying the draw, backed by one bettor with a 93% resolved-bet record and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • 14 wallets put $62K on the same side, all backing the draw.
  • One participating bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $9.3K lifetime.
  • The market saw a 25x volume spike, and the draw can now be copied below many of their fills.

$62,357 on Yes

96% winner buying No

Elite 96% win-rate wallet with $1.44M profit bought No on a liquid soccer draw market amid a volume spike and No price move.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $1.44M lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 141 events with a 96% win rate.
  • No has already moved sharply, and this buy at 84¢ follows a 24.8x volume spike.

$3,359 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable whale-led No cluster

High-scoring cluster with $69k one-sided No buying, led by a highly profitable whale and supported by a major pre-event volume spike.

  • Three wallets put $69k on No at about 65¢, creating a strong one-sided cluster.
  • The largest buyer is up $11.2M lifetime with a 63% record across 1,686 resolved bets.
  • Market volume is surging 30x above normal, suggesting serious pre-match positioning.

$69,338 on No

88% winning sports bettor

Sharp sports bettor with an 88% win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Yes on the draw at 34¢.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $48K lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market record: 42 markets across 36 events with $321K traded.
  • Entry at 34¢ follows a 13-point move toward Yes, suggesting they are backing the draw momentum.

$1,260 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

13-wallet draw surge

Large 13-wallet Yes cluster drove a 21-point move with heavy pre-event volume, making the draw side worth surfacing despite some smaller counterflow.

  • 13 wallets bought the draw side for $56.6K, far outweighing the $10.2K counterflow on No.
  • The market’s draw odds jumped 21 points in a day, backed by a major volume spike.
  • Several participating wallets are profitable long-term, including one up $787K and another up $453K lifetime.

$56,572 on Yes

88% winner backs No

Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 88% resolved win rate, positive P&L, and is buying No on a liquid France-Senegal draw market.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $2.8k lifetime.
  • Their past wins came at 66¢ average odds, meaning they have beaten market expectations by about 21 points.
  • They bought No at 79¢, pricing the draw as unlikely shortly before the match window.

$1,513 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

94% winner backing draw

Sharp sports bettor with a 94% historical win rate and strong profits bought the draw at 22¢ amid a pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $98K lifetime.
  • They bought $8.9K of Yes at 22¢, implying a roughly 4.5x payout if France vs. Senegal ends level.
  • Market volume is running 10.9x above its historical average before the match.

$8,880 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with 838 resolved trades and $445k lifetime profit bought No on a liquid France-Senegal draw market.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 838 resolved trades and is up $445,770 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $1.33M deployed across 151 events.
  • They bought No at 79¢ as pre-game volume jumped 10.9x above normal.

$1,688 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

99% win-rate sports sharp

Elite sharp wallet with a 99% resolved win rate and $164.7k profit bought No on the draw market, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.

  • This bettor has won 87 of 88 resolved trades and is up $164.7k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 119 events with a 99% win rate.
  • Buying No at 79¢ implies they see the draw as less likely than the market's 21–22¢ price suggests.

$1,990 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

91% win-rate sports sharp

Surface this because a highly profitable sharp wallet with a 91% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought $3.8k of No on the draw outcome.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $196k lifetime.
  • They have traded 73 related markets across 56 events with the same 91% hit rate.
  • A $3.8k buy at 79¢ shows confidence that France vs. Senegal does not end in a draw.

$3,800 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 54988868, $490,559
  2. 0xf4e1...34a5 Outcome 15587734, $40,363 (87% win rate)
  3. 0x1eaf...9bf0 Outcome 15587734, $25,166 (63% win rate)
  4. 0xcdae...c02e Outcome 15587734, $24,404
  5. 0x63c2...afd4 Outcome 15587734, $22,999 (83% win rate)
  6. 0xb87b...3626 Outcome 15587734, $16,000 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x9703...69c2 Outcome 15587734, $15,730
  8. 0xfed7...b06a Outcome 15587734, $10,202 (54% win rate)
  9. 0x1aa2...0484 Outcome 15587734, $10,000
  10. 0x8b2c...d7e6 Outcome 15587734, $10,000 (97% win rate)

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Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

ResolvedFrance vs. Senegal$210,756 tracked10 signalsSportsFIFA World CupGamesSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 16, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

31d ago

$62,357 on Yes at 17¢

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

31d ago

$3,359 on No at 84¢

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

31d ago

$69,338 on No at 65¢

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

31d ago

$1,260 on Yes at 34¢

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

31d ago

$56,572 on Yes at 37¢

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

32d ago

$1,513 on No at 79¢

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

32d ago

$8,880 on Yes at 22¢

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

32d ago

$1,688 on No at 79¢

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

32d ago

$1,990 on No at 79¢

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

32d ago

$3,800 on No at 79¢

Related Theses