Part of: VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-12?
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $328,057.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, bundesliga
Notable Trades
Late-game whale buys Yes
A repeat large bettor put nearly $69k on Stuttgart in the final minutes of a live match amid an extreme volume spike, suggesting strong late-game conviction despite only modest historical win-rate evidence.
- Nearly $69k hit Stuttgart Yes in the last 5 minutes, including one buy just seconds before resolution.
- Market volume exploded to almost 697x normal activity, backing the signal with unusual late-game flow.
- This wallet has been flagged many times before and is already up about $401k overall, even with a modest 67% win rate.
$68,781 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Late live-sports whale
A repeat large bettor put $118.6k into Stuttgart at 76¢ in the final 8 minutes before resolution as volume exploded, a strong live-sports timing signal despite only modest historical win-rate evidence.
- Placed $118.6k on Stuttgart in 3 buys at 76¢, all within the final 8 minutes before resolution.
- The strongest signal is timing: the biggest buy landed about 12 seconds before close, which can matter in live sports.
- Market activity was extreme with a 566x volume spike, and the price had already moved up 7 points in 24 hours.
$118,580 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Late contrarian sports bettor
A high-volume live-sports market saw a huge late volume spike, and a battle-tested wallet with 1,571 resolved bets stepped in 2.5 minutes before resolution to buy No at 25¢.
- This wallet has 1,571 resolved bets and is up about $39k overall, so this is not a random first-time trade.
- The bet came just 2.5 minutes before resolution, a strong timing signal in a live sports market.
- They bought No at 25¢ while Yes was 76%, a clear contrarian entry during a 394x volume spike.
$1,222 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%
Late live-sports whale
A wallet with a modestly positive track record made an $80k concentrated live-sports buy minutes before resolution during an extreme volume spike, suggesting conviction worth watching despite limited sample size.
- This wallet put nearly $80k on one side just 5 minutes before the match resolved.
- Market activity exploded to about 394x its normal level, and this bettor joined that surge at 76¢.
- The wallet has won 67% of 12 resolved bets and is up about $401k overall, though the track record is still limited.
$79,980 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable live sports timer
A highly profitable high-volume wallet bought Yes just 3 minutes before resolution into a massive pre-resolution volume surge, suggesting a live information edge worth watching despite a mediocre raw win rate.
- This wallet is up $1.3M across $53.3M traded, showing real staying power despite only a 48% hit rate.
- The bet came 3.2 minutes before resolution during a 394x volume spike, a pattern that can signal a live edge in sports markets.
- They paid 76¢ in a tight, liquid market, backing a strong favorite with fresh late conviction.
$2,070 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 48%
98% win-rate sharp bettor
A proven elite sports trader with a 98% win rate and $4.5M profit just put $20k into Yes amid a major pre-match volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $4.5M lifetime across 233 settled positions.
- They just put $20.1k on Yes at 74¢, a sizable wager from a trader with a long record of beating the market.
- Volume on this market is running nearly 1,945x normal ahead of the match, which supports the idea that informed money is piling in.
$20,074 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
98% winner joins cluster
A proven sharp wallet with a 98% win rate joined two others in a coordinated $27k buy on Stuttgart amid an extreme pre-match volume spike, making this one-sided flow worth following.
- One wallet wins 98% of its bets and is up $4.5M, and it bought Stuttgart at 74¢.
- Three wallets bought the same side within seconds for $27.4k total as volume ran 2920x above normal.
- The market is moving with the flow, up 4 points in a day, and 74¢ suggests they still see value despite Stuttgart already being favored.
$27,425 on Yes
New whale repeating big bets
A very new wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and just put nearly $10k into Stuttgart despite having no resolved history yet, making it a notable conviction signal worth watching.
- This wallet is less than 2 days old and has already triggered 8 large-bet alerts totaling about $47.5k
- The bettor just bought nearly $10k of Yes at 75¢, showing concentrated conviction rather than a small test trade
- The market is active and liquid, so this looks like deliberate sizing into a mainstream match rather than a random thin-market punt
$9,925 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%
Top Holders
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 58637735, $27,373 (63% win rate)
- 0x62ca...1760 — Outcome 58637735, $20,125 (96% win rate)
- 0x9c95...ed41 — Outcome 58637735, $20,000 (78% win rate)
- 0x1350...0841 — Outcome 58637735, $12,540 (91% win rate)
- 0xf142...57e7 — Outcome 58637735, $4,000
- 0xbe80...0784 — Outcome 58637735, $3,965
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 58637735, $2,572 (76% win rate)
- 0x8c2d...6443 — Outcome 58637735, $1,875
- 0x6ddc...03c3 — Outcome 58637735, $1,838
- 0xa85b...eb0e — Outcome 58637735, $1,379 (89% win rate)
