Part of: Spurs vs. Thunder

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $145,156.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

92% cross-market sharp

A highly profitable 92% win-rate bettor with extensive cross-market history bought Spurs despite a sharp market move, making the wallet’s track record the key signal.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $221k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 104 events, with $564k total deployed.
  • They bought Spurs at 89¢, and the market has since moved to 76¢, offering a cheaper entry than their fill.

$5,900 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 94%

16-wallet Spurs surge

Strong coordinated Spurs buying, a 17x volume spike, and a highly profitable wallet make this worth surfacing despite the wallet also hedging with Thunder.

  • Sixteen wallets bought Spurs in the same window, totaling $83.8K.
  • This wallet is up $14.1M lifetime across $62.5M traded, with a 64% win rate.
  • Spurs moved from this bettor’s 50¢ entry to 66¢ as pre-game volume spiked 17x.

$3,963 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 64%

98% last-minute sports sharp

Elite 98% win-rate sports bettor bought Spurs seconds before resolution, with one-sided cluster flow and a major volume spike supporting the same side.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $441,971 lifetime.
  • They bought Spurs seconds before resolution, a timing pattern they have repeated across 149 events.
  • Seven wallets are all betting Spurs, totaling $66,001 on the same side.

$3,808 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 98%

Sharp Thunder cluster

Surface because a highly profitable 85% winner joined a $54k Thunder cluster despite some opposing Spurs flow.

  • One bettor in this group wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $582k lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought $54k of Thunder, with the sharp wallet adding alongside other profitable high-volume bettors.
  • Market volume spiked 56x before the game, though there is also meaningful money on Spurs.

$54,297 on Thunder

99% winner joins Spurs cluster

Surface because a highly profitable 99% sports/cross-market wallet joined a $45k one-sided Spurs cluster during a major pre-game volume spike.

  • A bettor who has won 279 of 282 resolved bets is buying Spurs and is up $212k lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought $45k of Spurs at 53–54¢, all in the same direction before tipoff.
  • Market volume is running 76x above its historical pace, suggesting this line is drawing unusual attention.

$45,301 on Spurs

6-wallet Spurs push

Surfacing despite this wallet’s poor record because six wallets put nearly $47k on Spurs and this account added aggressively as the price moved from 43¢ to 51¢.

  • Six wallets are all betting Spurs, totaling about $46.9k on the same side.
  • This wallet added $7.9k and kept buying as the price rose from 43¢ to 51¢.
  • The same account is positioned across 7 markets in this game, suggesting a broader Spurs thesis.

$7,910 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 51%

98% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 98% historical win rate bought Spurs +3.5 at 51¢, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $208,797 lifetime.
  • They have traded 141 sports events with the same exceptional 98% hit rate.
  • Buying Spurs at 51¢ suggests they see value on the underdog side of this spread.

$3,978 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 98%

Profitable 77% sports bettor

Sharp sports bettor with a 77% record and strong lifetime profit bought $5,000 of Thunder -3.5 at even odds.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $78.9K lifetime.
  • They put $5,000 on Thunder -3.5 at 50¢ in a liquid NBA spread market.
  • Entry at even odds suggests they see Thunder covering as better than a coin flip.

$5,000 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 79%

91% sharp sports bettor

Sharp sports bettor with a 91% record and strong profits bought $15k of Spurs +3.5 despite only a modest composite score.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $148k lifetime.
  • They put $15k on Spurs +3.5 at 51¢ in a tight 50/50 spread market.
  • Their past wins came at 67¢ average odds, suggesting a strong record beyond simply buying heavy favorites.

$15,000 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9495...9a27 Outcome 79939935, $263,210 (64% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 79939935, $164,314 (62% win rate)
  3. 0x1117...3532 Outcome 79939935, $100,000 (65% win rate)
  4. 0xb853...0d33 Outcome 79939935, $64,528 (40% win rate)
  5. 0xbddf...c684 Outcome 79939935, $34,543 (89% win rate)
  6. 0x82ba...0a52 Outcome 79939935, $12,500 (88% win rate)
  7. 0x6c85...94a4 Outcome 79939935, $10,000 (79% win rate)
  8. 0x67b6...00bc Outcome 79939935, $8,000 (43% win rate)
  9. 0x7b47...d615 Outcome 79939935, $8,000 (47% win rate)
  10. 0x1a38...8fb5 Outcome 79939935, $6,902 (69% win rate)

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Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

ResolvedSpurs vs. Thunder$145,156 tracked9 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 30 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

SAS
62-20
Paycom Center
OKC
64-18
Draft Kings
Spread: OKC -3.5O/U: 211.5ML: +120/-142
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

10d ago

$5,900 on Spurs at 89¢

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

11d ago

$3,963 on Spurs at 50¢

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

11d ago

$3,808 on Spurs at 52¢

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

11d ago

$54,297 on Thunder at 48¢

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

11d ago

$45,301 on Spurs at 53¢

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

11d ago

$7,910 on Spurs at 48¢

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

11d ago

$3,978 on Spurs at 51¢

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

11d ago

$5,000 on Thunder at 50¢

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

12d ago

$15,000 on Spurs at 51¢

Related Theses