Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva
This Polymarket covers the Internazionali BNL d'Italia tennis match between Coco Gauff and Mirra Andreeva, scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 19, 2026 if a winner is determined within the rules. PolySpotter is tracking $4,342 in smart money and 1 signal, including sharp-wallet activity around both Gauff and Andreeva.
26 smart money signals detected, totaling $146,096.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
87% winner fades favorite
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 87% resolved win rate sold the favorite at 84¢, effectively backing the underdog before a 10-point move.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades across 156 markets and is profitable lifetime.
- They sold the 84¢ favorite, which is equivalent to backing the underdog at 16¢.
- The market has already moved their way, with the favorite falling from 84¢ to 74¢.
$4,342 on Mirra Andreeva | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable sharp buying longshot
Sharp profitable wallet bought Mirra at 4¢ after closing a much larger Coco position, and the longshot has already doubled to 8¢.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up about $1.0M lifetime.
- They bought Mirra at 4¢, and the market has already moved to 8¢ after a sharp price swing.
- The stake is small versus their prior $75.7k Coco position, so this looks like a speculative reversal or hedge rather than full-size conviction.
$1,988 on Mirra Andreeva | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable serial flipper
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader flipped into Coco Gauff before a sharp move from 69% to 90% amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 67% of 1,458 resolved bets and is up $96K lifetime.
- They flipped from Mirra Andreeva into Coco Gauff, buying Coco at 69¢ before the market jumped to 90¢.
- Volume spiked 36.6x and Coco’s price moved up 18 percentage points, supporting the direction of the bet.
$1,700 on Coco Gauff | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Coco Gauff before a major odds move, with volume and price momentum confirming the trade.
- This bettor has won 68% of 146 resolved trades and is up $290K lifetime.
- They bought Coco Gauff at 64¢ before the market surged to 90¢.
- The market saw a 36.6x volume spike and an 18-point price move toward Gauff.
$9,000 on Coco Gauff | Wallet win rate: 69%
80% winner buying momentum
A profitable 80% winner bought Coco Gauff amid a major volume spike and sharp price move, making this a copy-worthy momentum trade despite modest size.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $7.6K lifetime.
- Coco Gauff has surged 40 points over the past day, with a 36.6x pre-event volume spike.
- Entry at 86¢ got ahead of the current 90¢ price, suggesting the trader caught the move early.
$2,270 on Coco Gauff | Wallet win rate: 81%
New wallet caught move early
A 4-day-old wallet with early profit bought Coco Gauff at 75¢ before a sharp move to 90¢ amid a large pre-event volume spike.
- A 4-day-old wallet bought Coco Gauff at 75¢ before the market jumped to 90¢.
- The market saw a 36.6x volume spike and Coco Gauff’s price moved up 18 percentage points.
- The wallet is small-sample but already profitable, up $133 across 3 resolved bets.
$1,100 on Coco Gauff | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable sharp caught move
Sharp, highly profitable tennis bettor bought Coco Gauff before a major price move, with volume and price action confirming the trade.
- This bettor has won 77% of resolved bets and is up about $1.0M lifetime.
- They bought Coco Gauff at 73¢ before the market jumped to 90¢.
- Volume spiked 36x and the price moved sharply in the same direction.
$1,100 on Coco Gauff | Wallet win rate: 77%
89% winner leading cluster
Sharp 89% lifetime winner bought Mirra Andreeva, with supporting one-sided cluster flow, a volume spike, and rapid price movement despite the current quote being below their entry.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up about $29.9k lifetime.
- Six wallets bought Mirra Andreeva in the same window, totaling $9.4k on one side.
- Market activity spiked 38x and Mirra moved sharply; the current 38¢ quote is well below this bettor’s 64¢ entry.
$3,022 on Mirra Andreeva | Wallet win rate: 89%
Six-wallet Mirra push
Coordinated Mirra buying and a major volume/price spike make this notable, though this specific bettor has only a modest track record and the entry is now far above the current market.
- 6 wallets bought Mirra the same way, totaling $9,435 in one-sided flow.
- Market volume spiked 38x and Mirra moved up 15.5 points in 5 minutes during the buying wave.
- This bettor has traded across 29 events with a 69% hit rate, but is roughly flat lifetime.
$1,600 on Mirra Andreeva | Wallet win rate: 69%
Profitable serial bettor cluster
A profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Mirra alongside a 6-wallet same-side flow and a major volume spike, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has 1,458 resolved bets, wins 67% of them, and is up about $97k lifetime.
- Six wallets bought Mirra in the same window for $9.4k during a 38x volume spike.
- The entry was 64¢ but Mirra is now around 38¢, so the trade is notable but no longer has momentum.
$1,100 on Mirra Andreeva | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0x9ac2...be3d — Outcome 85842891, $50,000 (77% win rate)
- 0x336b...1233 — Outcome 85842891, $24,062 (47% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 85842891, $20,750 (73% win rate)
- 0x5375...aeea — Outcome 53624548, $20,015 (44% win rate)
- 0x1117...3532 — Outcome 53624548, $20,000 (61% win rate)
- 0x9a8c...ba13 — Outcome 85842891, $16,232 (68% win rate)
- 0x1ef5...dc05 — Outcome 85842891, $13,619 (88% win rate)
- 0x8a3a...eb9a — Outcome 85842891, $13,535 (100% win rate)
- 0xb5a4...5780 — Outcome 85842891, $11,663 (76% win rate)
- 0xa1b3...0329 — Outcome 85842891, $10,211 (42% win rate)
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