Part of: Portugal vs. Croatia - More Markets
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $102,557.
Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Proven sports sharp on No
Sharp sports bettor with a 78% long-term win rate bought No at 43¢ alongside one-sided flow, and the market has already moved to 52¢.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $289K lifetime.
- They bought No at 43¢, and the market has already moved to 52¢ in their direction.
- Four wallets are betting the same way, totaling $45.6K on No.
$5,653 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp bettor joins 13-wallet Yes flow
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 77% record bought Yes, alongside 13-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $184,716 lifetime.
- 13 wallets have all bought Yes, totaling $130,514 on the same side.
- Volume is running 67x above normal before the match, suggesting strong market-wide conviction.
$6,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable new whale with crowd flow
High-conviction Yes buy from a profitable 3-day-old repeat whale, backed by 13-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This 3-day-old bettor is already up $33k and has had 10 large flagged bets totaling about $80k.
- 13 wallets are all betting Yes, with $130k in same-side buying on this market.
- Volume surged 67x before the match, suggesting a broader rush into the same position.
$15,421 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
97% winner leading No cluster
Surface: a highly profitable 97% lifetime bettor led a $27k same-direction cluster buying No before the market moved sharply in their favor.
- A bettor who has won 74 of 76 resolved bets is buying No here and is up $2.48M lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $27k of No, and the price has already moved from mid-40s/50s to 59%.
- The strongest entry was at 45¢, implying the lead bettor saw No as badly underpriced.
$27,138 on No
Profitable serial bettor cluster
A profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a $16.4k same-side move into Yes at 30¢, though part of the flow appears to be a No exit rather than fresh buying.
- A bettor with 251 resolved markets is up about $690k and is buying Yes at 30¢.
- Three wallets moved the same way for $16.4k, including a large No sale that converts to Yes exposure.
- This is a contrarian entry after Yes dropped 21 points in a very active market.
$4,386 on Yes
Sharp cluster buying No
High-conviction No flow from a six-wallet cluster includes multiple profitable sports bettors and coincides with a major pre-event volume spike, despite some opposing Yes activity.
- Several profitable bettors are backing No, including wallets up $289k and $63k lifetime.
- Six wallets put $34k on No around 43¢, with most of the money arriving within minutes.
- Market volume is spiking 44x before the match, suggesting this is not routine activity.
$34,036 on No
95% sports winner buying Yes
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 95% resolved win record is buying Yes on both teams to score despite this being a liquid market.
- This bettor has won 99 of 104 resolved trades and is up $63k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 47 events with a 95% hit rate.
- Entry at 58¢ suggests they see value even after the market moved 6.5 points today.
$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
Elite 88% sports bettor
Elite sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $2.1M lifetime profit bought No on both teams scoring despite recent Yes-side momentum.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $2.1M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader with activity across 723 events and $4.0M traded.
- Buying No at 42¢ goes against the market’s recent move toward Yes, suggesting a sharp contrarian view.
$4,623 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Sharp 81% sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with an 81% win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Yes on both teams to score.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $214K lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 72 events and $268K traded with the same 81% win rate.
- Entry at 58¢ follows a 7-point move toward Yes, suggesting they are backing the momentum.
$2,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 43%
Top Holders
- 0xc41d...74fd — Outcome 50470192, $143,299 (97% win rate)
- 0x36a7...b6e9 — Outcome 50470192, $63,000 (63% win rate)
- 0xab3e...de25 — Outcome 50470192, $50,433 (88% win rate)
- 0x4408...1b6a — Outcome 50470192, $39,749 (52% win rate)
- 0x0cc0...5765 — Outcome 50470192, $29,998 (76% win rate)
- 0xe872...819a — Outcome 50470192, $26,440 (79% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Outcome 50470192, $24,335 (56% win rate)
- 0x1171...98dc — Outcome 50470192, $23,000 (91% win rate)
- 0x1af3...b3b4 — Outcome 50470192, $22,000 (79% win rate)
- 0x6d11...c449 — Outcome 50470192, $20,474 (61% win rate)
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