Part of: Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez

Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,011.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable whale caught price move

A high-volume profitable wallet bought Nick Hardt before a sharp odds jump, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

This high-volume bettor is up $1.4M lifetime across 15,459 resolved bets.
They bought Nick Hardt at 80¢ before the market jumped to 92¢.
The market saw a 101x volume spike and a 39-point move toward Hardt.

$4,229 on Nick Hardt | Wallet win rate: 53%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A profitable serial sports trader bought Juan Estevez at 65¢ amid a major volume spike, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.

This bettor has a strong long-term record: 72% wins across 2,516 resolved markets and $146,812 profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 105 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
Market activity spiked 131x, but Juan Estevez has since dropped from their 65¢ entry to 20¢.

$1,563 on Juan Estevez | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable serial bettors on underdog

High-conviction underdog flow from serial sports traders, including a very profitable wallet, coincided with a 99x volume spike and sharp Juan Estevez price move.

A bettor up $16.2M lifetime bought Juan Estevez at 34¢.
Three wallets put $6.9k on the same underdog side as volume spiked 99x.
Juan Estevez moved up 31 percentage points during the alert window, suggesting strong one-sided momentum.

$6,933 on Juan Estevez

Fresh profitable tennis wallet

Very new wallet with early positive P&L is taking a fresh Nick Hardt position and already moved into profit, though the sample size is small.

This wallet is under 9 hours old but is already up $1.9K across early positions.
It bought Nick Hardt at 57¢, below the current 60¢ market price.
The bet is modest, but the fast profitable start makes this wallet worth watching.

$1,286 on Nick Hardt | Wallet win rate: 58%

Top Holders

0x84d0...95ba — Outcome 33323624, $21,371 (91% win rate)
0xacf8...e791 — Outcome 33323624, $2,754 (71% win rate)
0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 33323624, $2,212 (57% win rate)
0x498f...daaa — Outcome 33323624, $1,761
0x60ec...f7b0 — Outcome 33323624, $1,708 (70% win rate)
0xae30...079e — Outcome 33323624, $1,213 (61% win rate)
0x3054...055b — Outcome 33323624, $732
0x84bc...4aad — Outcome 33323624, $636
0x75a7...2d61 — Outcome 33323624, $601 (29% win rate)
0x5baf...3e56 — Outcome 33323624, $600

Related Theses

100 Thieves Win Valorant Map 2

Covers 1 related market

Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez

ResolvedAsuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez$14,011 tracked4 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Nick Hardt and Juan Estevez in the Asuncion 2, originally scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nick Hardt' if Nick Hardt advances against Juan Estevez. This market will resolve to 'Juan Estevez' if Juan Estevez advances against Nick Hardt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.