Part of: Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruud
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruud
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $59,651.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster buying underdog
Strong cluster of proven profitable wallets bought Alexei Popyrin, including two high-P&L sharp bettors and a serial cross-market trader, despite the price later falling from ~25¢ to 10¢.
- Several proven bettors are on the same side, including wallets up $11.2M, $482K, and $253K lifetime.
- One wallet wins 83% of resolved bets and bought Popyrin around 25¢ in this cluster.
- Popyrin is now trading near 10¢, meaning the same side is available far cheaper than the sharp cluster’s entry.
$18,649 on Alexei Popyrin
Sharp cluster backing underdog
Three wallets, including two highly profitable serial traders, are taking the same underdog side on Popyrin amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- Two strong bettors are on this side, including one up $253k with 83% wins and another up $482k with 80% wins.
- Three wallets put $8.9k behind Popyrin around 25¢, including a Ruud sell that equals buying Popyrin at 24¢.
- Market volume is running 43x above normal before the match, with one-sided flow toward the underdog.
$8,875 on Alexei Popyrin
93% winner backs favorite
Elite profitable sports bettor with a 93% track record bought Casper Ruud amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $959k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 87 events with a 93% hit rate.
- Market volume spiked 43x before the match, adding momentum behind the position.
$1,857 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 89%
93% winner buying favorite
Surfacing because a highly profitable sports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate is buying Casper Ruud with meaningful size.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $217K lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market record: 89 events and $311K traded with the same 93% win rate.
- A $6K buy at 75¢ shows conviction that Ruud is still underpriced despite being the favorite.
$6,000 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a long cross-market track record is buying Casper Ruud at 73¢.
- This bettor has won 72% of 7,635 resolved trades and is up $11.2M lifetime.
- They have traded across 1,842 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 73¢ backs the current favorite while still leaving room before the market’s 74% consensus price.
$1,697 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 63%
92% winner fades favorite
Surfaced because a highly profitable 92% winner is exiting Casper Ruud exposure, which converts to a Popyrin-leaning signal despite being position management rather than a fresh buy.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $98.5K lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 534 events with nearly $948K in total stakes.
- Selling Casper Ruud at 72¢ effectively leans toward Alexei Popyrin at 28¢.
$2,152 on Alexei Popyrin | Wallet win rate: 90%
Profitable new tennis whale
A 4-day-old wallet with repeat large-bet flags, early profit, and an 8-of-9 resolved record bought $5.5k of Casper Ruud at 74¢.
- This new wallet has won 8 of 9 resolved bets and is already up $2,418.
- It has now been flagged 4 times for large bets, totaling $12,563 in recent positions.
- A $5,548 buy at 74¢ shows strong conviction on the favorite in a liquid tennis market.
$5,548 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable new sports wallet
A repeat-flagged new wallet with early profitability is making another sizable tennis bet, buying Casper Ruud at 75¢.
- This new bettor is already up $664 after 7 resolved bets, winning 6 of them.
- They have now been flagged twice for large bets, with $4,726 total spotted across positions.
- Entry at 75¢ backs the favorite but still implies a clean 33% upside if Ruud wins.
$2,776 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Experienced profitable sports bettor with $293k lifetime profit is buying Ruud at 74¢ after extensive cross-market activity.
- This bettor is up $293k across 662 resolved bets, with a 66% win record.
- They have traded 345 events, suggesting a repeat sports bettor rather than a one-off whale.
- Buying Ruud at 74¢ means they are backing the favorite with roughly 35% upside to $1.
$2,648 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable high-volume serial sports trader bought Casper Ruud at 73¢, making the wallet track record the main reason to follow despite a modest single-trade size.
- This bettor has won 66% of 661 resolved trades and is up $292k lifetime.
- They are a heavy cross-market trader, active across 344 events with over $2.0M in flagged volume.
- The bet backs Casper Ruud at 73¢ in a liquid tennis market, suggesting confidence in the favorite at current odds.
$2,412 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 63%
Top Holders
- 0x5bec...b215 — Outcome 45160837, $96,404 (59% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 45160837, $39,755 (63% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 45160837, $12,301 (91% win rate)
- 0xa9c4...7433 — Outcome 45160837, $10,961 (77% win rate)
- 0x9d1d...e1a2 — Outcome 45160837, $9,060
- 0xda54...65d2 — Outcome 45160837, $6,666
- 0x6945...729c — Outcome 45160837, $6,216 (96% win rate)
- 0xcec1...9c0c — Outcome 45160837, $5,041 (62% win rate)
- 0x4df3...788f — Outcome 45160837, $2,859 (70% win rate)
- 0x7760...21f0 — Outcome 45160837, $2,591 (76% win rate)
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