Part of: BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

23 smart money signals detected, totaling $377,615.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp linked cluster

A high-win-rate bettor joined a 7-wallet one-sided linked cluster buying Ben Shelton before a 27-point price jump, suggesting strong coordinated conviction worth following.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $276k lifetime
  • Seven wallets all bought Ben Shelton, with linked funding behind part of the group and $20k total flow
  • They entered at 48¢ and the price is now 74¢ after a 27-point jump

$3,476 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 88%

7-wallet Shelton cluster

A 7-wallet one-sided cluster with shared funding pushed Ben Shelton up sharply during a major volume spike, making this coordinated momentum bet worth surfacing despite the individual wallet’s weak standalone edge.

  • Seven wallets piled into Ben Shelton for $20.1k in the same direction, and two share a funder.
  • The market saw a 21.6x volume spike and Shelton's price jumped 27 points, showing strong follow-through.
  • This wallet trades heavily across sports markets, but the real signal here is the coordinated cluster rather than its solo track record.

$1,198 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 55%

80% winner backs underdog

A proven high-volume sports bettor with an 80% hit rate joined a 4-wallet one-sided move into Emilio Nava during a major pre-match volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction despite poor current mark-to-market.

  • This bettor has won 2,633 of 3,290 resolved bets across 171 events, showing a strong repeatable edge.
  • Four wallets all bought Emilio Nava for $14.3k total as volume jumped 36.8x above normal before the match.
  • The entry was 46¢ on a player now trading at 26¢, which shows they took a much more aggressive underdog view than the market does now.

$1,396 on Emilio Nava | Wallet win rate: 71%

Sharp bettor in 4-wallet cluster

A profitable sharp bettor with an 83% win rate joined a 4-wallet one-sided buy cluster on a tennis underdog during a major pre-match volume surge, making this a notable conviction signal despite the market moving hard against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 83% of their trades and is up about $15.8k on $125.8k invested
  • Four wallets all bought Emilio Nava, putting $14.3k behind the same underdog view
  • The market saw a 36.8x volume spike before the match, showing unusual attention around this setup

$1,675 on Emilio Nava | Wallet win rate: 83%

85% win-rate sports bettor

A profitable bettor with an 85% win rate put $10.1k into Ben Shelton during a major pre-match volume spike, and the price moved sharply in their favor.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $273k on about $911k invested
  • They bought $10.1k of Ben Shelton at 47¢ and 67¢, and the market is now 74¢
  • Match volume is running nearly 40x normal and Shelton's price jumped 20 points during the move

$10,104 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 88%

7-wallet Shelton cluster

Seven wallets piled into Ben Shelton for $28k in a short burst, including linked funding and one wallet with an 85% win rate, helping drive a 21-point price jump.

  • Seven wallets bought Ben Shelton for $28,020 in a coordinated burst, and 2 wallets share a funder.
  • One bettor in the group has won 85% of resolved trades and is up $273k, with buys as low as 47¢.
  • The flow helped push Shelton up 21 points in minutes, while market volume ran 36.8x above normal.

$28,020 on Ben Shelton

80% hitter buying breakout

A very active cross-market wallet with an 80% hit rate bought into a tennis market during a major volume and price breakout, making this a follow-worthy directional signal despite the small size and poor listed P&L.

  • This wallet has won 80% of 3,290 resolved bets across 171 events, showing a repeatable process.
  • They bought Emilio Nava after a 23x jump in market activity and a 35-point move beyond the market's prior range.
  • The fill was 66¢ and the market now sits near 54¢, offering a cheaper entry if following the same side.

$2,375 on Emilio Nava | Wallet win rate: 71%

85% win-rate tennis bettor

A profitable bettor with an 85% win rate put $32.7k into Ben Shelton during a sharp pre-match volume spike, making this worth watching despite the modest composite score.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $273k overall.
  • They put $32.7k on Ben Shelton in 4 buys, showing real conviction before the match.
  • The market saw a 30.5x volume surge, suggesting broader money was moving into this matchup.

$32,709 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 88%

85% winner backs favorite

A profitable wallet with an 85% win rate made a concentrated $26.5k buy into Ben Shelton during a sharp pre-match volume spike, suggesting conviction worth tracking despite the market already being fairly liquid.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $273k overall
  • They put $26.5k into Ben Shelton across 3 buys at 70-72¢, showing clear conviction
  • The market saw a 24x volume spike as this money came in, a sign of strong pre-match positioning

$26,486 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 88%

Proven serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 73% win rate reopened Ben Shelton after previously closing a position, joining a sharp-volume move in a very active market.

  • This bettor has won 1,586 of 2,170 resolved markets and is up $3.78M lifetime
  • They reopened Ben Shelton at 70¢ after previously closing a position, signaling fresh conviction rather than simple profit-taking
  • Market activity surged 24x normal and Shelton moved 19 points lower, suggesting a meaningful repricing around this match

$1,235 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe30e...6b87 Outcome 89514219, $97,003 (88% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 89514219, $38,024 (71% win rate)
  3. 0x153a...9d6d Outcome 89514219, $33,000 (63% win rate)
  4. 0x83d2...d196 Outcome 89514219, $24,731 (97% win rate)
  5. 0x9f13...e0fd Outcome 89514219, $19,283 (70% win rate)
  6. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 89514219, $5,236
  7. 0xc49f...9e05 Outcome 89514219, $5,000 (96% win rate)
  8. 0x4b49...0397 Outcome 89514219, $4,000 (77% win rate)
  9. 0x01c7...e995 Outcome 89514219, $3,946 (63% win rate)
  10. 0x8f76...aea6 Outcome 89514219, $3,274 (81% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

ResolvedBMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton$377,615 tracked23 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers on the tennis match between Emilio Nava and Ben Shelton in the BMW Open, scheduled for April 13 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emilio Nava' if Emilio Nava advances against Ben Shelton. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Emilio Nava. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$3,476 on Ben Shelton at 48¢

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$1,198 on Ben Shelton at 73¢

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$1,396 on Emilio Nava at 46¢

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$1,675 on Emilio Nava at 51¢

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$10,104 on Ben Shelton at 59¢

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$28,020 on Ben Shelton at 67¢

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$2,375 on Emilio Nava at 66¢

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$32,709 on Ben Shelton at 70¢

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$26,486 on Ben Shelton at 72¢

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$1,235 on Ben Shelton at 70¢

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$1,416 on Emilio Nava at 22¢

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$1,249 on Emilio Nava at 21¢

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$4,973 on Ben Shelton at 82¢

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$6,809 on Ben Shelton at 77¢

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$48,406 on Ben Shelton at 77¢

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$41,597 on Ben Shelton at 77¢

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$55,732 on Ben Shelton at 77¢

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$31,674 on Ben Shelton at 77¢

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$39,356 on Ben Shelton at 76¢

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$1,564 on Emilio Nava at 24¢

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$31,128 on Ben Shelton at 76¢

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$1,965 on Ben Shelton at 74¢

BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton

44d ago

$3,071 on Emilio Nava at 26¢

Related Theses