Part of: Asuncion 2: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nick Hardt

Asuncion 2: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nick Hardt

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,997.

Notable Trades

Profitable tennis flow hit

One-sided Nick Hardt flow included a highly profitable bettor and coincided with a 14x volume spike and a move to 100%, though it is likely no longer copyable at current odds.

Three wallets put $10k behind Nick Hardt, including a bettor up $15.9M lifetime.
The market saw a 14x volume spike and has since moved to 100% Hardt.
The cluster’s effective entry was around 52¢, suggesting they caught a major mispricing.

$10,052 on Nick Hardt

Serial sports bettor chasing steam

High composite from a serial sports bettor plus a major pre-match volume spike and price move toward Nick Hardt, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is negative.

This bettor has 976 resolved trades and wins 68% of them, showing deep sports-market activity.
Nick Hardt saw a 25-point price jump alongside a 24.5x volume spike before the match.
The wallet bought Hardt at 84¢, implying confidence despite the market now sitting closer to 78¢.

$3,407 on Nick Hardt | Wallet win rate: 68%

Profitable serial bettor

A massively active, profitable serial bettor bought Nick Hardt at 37¢ before the market moved to 50¢ amid a 40x pre-event volume spike.

This bettor is up about $4.0M across more than 46,000 resolved markets.
They bought $7.4K at 37¢ before Nick Hardt moved to 50¢.
Market volume spiked about 40x, suggesting fresh pre-match momentum.

$7,400 on Nick Hardt | Wallet win rate: 55%

Elite sharps on underdog

Multiple highly profitable wallets, including 96%, 80%, and 100% historical winners, bought Thiago Seyboth Wild together, though the market has since moved sharply against them.

Several proven bettors are aligned here, including wallets with 96%, 80%, and 100% resolved win records.
Five wallets bought $23k of the same side, with one bettor up $1.5M lifetime adding the largest trade.
The price has fallen to 16¢ after their buys, making this a high-risk but much cheaper follow than their entries.

$23,137 on Thiago Seyboth Wild

Top Holders

0x9ac2...be3d — Outcome 11515717, $81,606 (80% win rate)
0x7670...4595 — Outcome 11515717, $33,293
0xb148...9355 — Outcome 11515717, $7,924 (100% win rate)
0xfcf1...99d3 — Outcome 11515717, $3,398 (72% win rate)
0xf12f...b30f — Outcome 11515717, $2,190 (95% win rate)
0x58e4...73f9 — Outcome 11515717, $1,777 (48% win rate)
0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 11515717, $1,582 (69% win rate)
0x33fd...a585 — Outcome 11515717, $1,500
0xdef0...664e — Outcome 11515717, $1,166 (97% win rate)
0x2374...a426 — Outcome 11515717, $1,029 (88% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 6 related markets

Asuncion 2: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nick Hardt

ResolvedAsuncion 2: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nick Hardt$43,997 tracked4 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Seyboth Wild and Nick Hardt in the Asuncion 2, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Seyboth Wild' if Thiago Seyboth Wild advances against Nick Hardt. This market will resolve to 'Nick Hardt' if Nick Hardt advances against Thiago Seyboth Wild. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.