Part of: Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $28,947.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor on Raptors

A high-volume, highly profitable sports bettor with a 72% win rate bought Raptors +4.5 at 43¢ during a major pregame volume surge, and the market has already moved sharply in their favor.

  • This bettor wins 72% of 3,517 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
  • They bought Raptors +4.5 at 43¢, and the market is now 56¢ after a 193x pregame volume spike
  • The same wallet has been active across 3 related game markets with $32k of same-event action

$1,535 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 73%

91% winner in 4-wallet cluster

Four wallets piled into Raptors against the spread, led by a standout bettor with a 91% win rate and nearly $1.0M profit, creating a credible coordinated sports signal despite mixed quality across the other wallets.

  • A bettor who wins 91% of their trades and is up $959k joined this Raptors bet.
  • Four wallets bought the same side within minutes, totaling $5.6k of one-sided flow.
  • They entered around 52-57¢, a near coin-flip price on a market with only $8.6k liquidity.

$5,585 on Raptors

98% win-rate sports bettor

A bettor with an exceptional 98% win rate and strong edge is taking Raptors +4.5 at 52¢, making this a sharp sports trade worth following despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades with $32.8k profit on about $105k invested
  • They bought Raptors +4.5 at 52¢, a near coin-flip price that suggests they see the spread as mispriced
  • The market is liquid and active, so this looks more like a sharp opinion than a random thin-market punt

$999 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 97%

Sharp cluster on Cavaliers

Three wallets piled into Cavaliers -4.5 for $15.9k during a 43.8x volume spike, including two highly profitable bettors with exceptional long-run records.

  • Two proven bettors in this cluster have made $1.5M and $6.4M with 90% and 72% win rates across 505 and 3,517 resolved bets.
  • Three wallets bought Cavaliers -4.5 within minutes for $15.9k total, showing coordinated conviction rather than a lone bet.
  • They got in at 50-52¢ and the market has already moved to 56¢, confirming immediate price follow-through.

$15,904 on Cavaliers

75% win-rate sports bettor

A profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate and $278k P&L is taking the Raptors side at 53¢ in an NBA spread market.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $278k across about $769k invested
  • They have bet across 50 markets in 48 events, which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt
  • They bought Raptors +4.5 at 53¢, a meaningful position even in a fairly liquid $32k market

$4,924 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1b4d...e246 Outcome 10757309, $32,495 (70% win rate)
  2. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Outcome 10757309, $24,325 (53% win rate)
  3. 0x3de4...b032 Outcome 10757309, $20,000 (73% win rate)
  4. 0xe5ef...9e7a Outcome 10757309, $19,378 (49% win rate)
  5. 0xf28e...cab2 Outcome 10757309, $17,038 (90% win rate)
  6. 0xa38a...821d Outcome 10757309, $10,214 (58% win rate)
  7. 0x1d1a...0df6 Outcome 10757309, $9,847 (86% win rate)
  8. 0x2579...9d48 Outcome 10757309, $8,824 (64% win rate)
  9. 0xd106...c79c Outcome 10757309, $8,131 (53% win rate)
  10. 0x4370...61ae Outcome 10757309, $7,178 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

ResolvedCavaliers vs. Raptors$28,947 tracked5 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 26 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

CLE
52-30
Scotiabank Arena
TOR
46-36
Draft Kings
Spread: CLE -4.5O/U: 218.5ML: -185/+154
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

24d ago

$1,535 on Raptors at 43¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

24d ago

$5,585 on Raptors at 54¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

24d ago

$999 on Raptors at 52¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

24d ago

$15,904 on Cavaliers at 51¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

24d ago

$4,924 on Raptors at 53¢

Related Theses