Part of: Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $79,275.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a 70% win rate and $2.85M lifetime profit bought Timberwolves spread at 84¢ while also positioning across the same event.

  • This bettor has a huge track record: 70% wins across 4,994 resolved bets and $2.85M lifetime profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 522 events and 1,159 markets with $4.7M in similar event-based flow.
  • They bought Timberwolves at 84¢ before the market moved to 100%, showing the trade has already been validated by price action.

$3,871 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Highly profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought Timberwolves spread and the market has since moved strongly in their favor.

  • This bettor has won 70% of nearly 5,000 resolved trades and is up $2.85M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 522 events and $4.7M tracked in similar event bets.
  • They bought Timberwolves at 62¢, and the market has already moved to 70¢ after a rapid price jump.

$1,265 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market sports bettor with a large profitable track record bought Spurs across this event, making the trade worth following despite the market moving against the entry.

  • This bettor has a huge track record: 1,218 resolved bets, 64% winners, and about $4.8M in profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 164 events and nearly $2.0M in tracked correlated positions.
  • They bought Spurs at 43¢ on this spread, implying a much stronger view than the current 30¢ market price.

$1,214 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market sports bettor with a 74% win rate and $320k profit bought Spurs -5.5 despite the market moving against the entry.

  • This bettor has won 74% of 313 resolved bets and is up $320,718 lifetime.
  • They are a very active cross-market trader, with $7.1M placed across 592 events.
  • They put $17,800 across 3 markets on this event, suggesting a broader Spurs-side thesis.

$1,300 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market sports bettor with a solid 93-bet history and $51k profit bought Spurs spread despite a modest composite score.

  • This bettor is up $51k across 93 resolved bets, with a 58% win rate at roughly even-money entries.
  • They have traded across 37 events and 43 markets, suggesting a repeat sports-betting strategy rather than a one-off wager.
  • They bought Spurs at 53¢, above the current 50¢ market, implying conviction on the -5.5 spread.

$3,341 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 58%

Profitable sharps versus bigger cluster

Three profitable high-volume sports bettors are effectively buying Timberwolves against the spread amid a huge pre-event volume spike, though a larger linked Spurs cluster exists on the other side.

  • Three long-running bettors with positive lifetime profits are effectively buying Timberwolves around 51¢.
  • This market saw a massive 360x pre-game volume spike, suggesting unusually heavy positioning before tipoff.
  • There is conflicting sharp flow: a larger linked group put $246K on Spurs, so this is notable but not one-sided.

$14,450 on Timberwolves

Linked Spurs-side cluster

A strong coordinated Spurs-side move: 9 wallets bought the same side for $246K, with 8 linked by funder, during a huge pre-game volume spike.

  • 9 wallets are all buying Spurs, totaling $246K on the same side.
  • 8 of those wallets share a funder, suggesting one coordinated high-conviction position.
  • The featured wallet is a high-volume sports trader with 6,212 resolved bets and $38K lifetime profit.

$5,000 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Three wallets are buying Spurs -5.5, led by a highly profitable serial cross-market NBA bettor with 74% wins and $320k lifetime profit.

  • A bettor with 74% wins and $320k profit is adding to Spurs -5.5.
  • This wallet has traded 592 events and over $7M total, suggesting a deep sports-market track record.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $7.3k, pushing entries around 50–57¢ on a liquid spread market.

$7,338 on Spurs

91% sports sharp

Elite 91% winner with strong cross-market sports history is placing a $30k Spurs spread bet, backed by linked-wallet context.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $783k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 104 events with $3.1M placed and the same 91% hit rate.
  • A $30k buy at 49¢ implies they see Spurs -5.5 as meaningfully underpriced.

$30,000 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp trio buying spread

Three wallets bought Timberwolves against the spread, including a 93% winner with strong lifetime profit and extensive cross-market history, while the price moved sharply upward.

  • One bettor in this cluster wins 93% of resolved bets and is up about $748K lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought the same side within minutes, totaling $3.5K on Timberwolves.
  • The price moved from around 62¢ to 68¢ quickly, suggesting fast one-sided momentum.

$3,548 on Timberwolves

Top Holders

  1. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Outcome 39314099, $260,459 (53% win rate)
  2. 0x6ac5...4b6e Outcome 39314099, $138,479 (44% win rate)
  3. 0xbd14...d62a Outcome 39314099, $61,224 (92% win rate)
  4. 0xbddf...c684 Outcome 39314099, $50,677 (95% win rate)
  5. 0x4c0a...a9be Outcome 39314099, $18,000 (100% win rate)
  6. 0xf284...b9f9 Outcome 39314099, $15,500 (94% win rate)
  7. 0xd48a...6e90 Outcome 39314099, $15,238 (67% win rate)
  8. 0xe7a2...ae70 Outcome 39314099, $13,216 (53% win rate)
  9. 0x66ac...1635 Outcome 39314099, $10,778
  10. 0x86ff...5ea8 Outcome 39314099, $10,160

Related Theses

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Covers 4 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

ResolvedSpurs vs. Timberwolves$79,275 tracked13 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 10 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

MIN
49-33
Frost Bank Center
SAS
62-20
Draft Kings
Spread: SA -10.5O/U: 218.5ML: +320/-410
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

2d ago

$3,871 on Timberwolves at 84¢

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

2d ago

$1,265 on Timberwolves at 62¢

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

2d ago

$1,214 on Spurs at 43¢

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

2d ago

$1,300 on Spurs at 57¢

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

2d ago

$3,341 on Spurs at 53¢

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

2d ago

$14,450 on Timberwolves at 51¢

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

2d ago

$5,000 on Spurs at 50¢

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

2d ago

$7,338 on Spurs at 53¢

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

2d ago

$30,000 on Spurs at 49¢

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

2d ago

$3,548 on Timberwolves at 62¢

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

2d ago

$2,532 on Spurs at 49¢

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

2d ago

$3,415 on Timberwolves at 53¢

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

2d ago

$2,000 on Timberwolves at 53¢

Related Theses