6 wallets all bought No in the same window, totaling $121.6k of one-sided flow. This wallet added $96.6k at 39¢, increasing an already large No position to over $321k invested. Market volume spiked 47.9x versus its historical average right before the game.

Part of: France vs. Morocco

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $860,292.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp sports bettor fades favorite

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 81% record and extensive cross-market history bought France No at 38¢.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $251K lifetime.
They have traded 94 related sports markets across 90 events, suggesting a repeatable edge.
Buying No at 38¢ goes against France as the 62% favorite.

$1,800 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

30-wallet No cluster with sharps

Large coordinated No flow with linked wallets and multiple exceptionally profitable serial sports traders is worth surfacing, though the equally large opposing Yes cluster makes it less clean.

30 wallets put $252k on No, including linked wallets moving together.
Several participating bettors have standout records, including 97–98% winners across 63–95 resolved positions.
This is a very liquid market, but the No buyers entered around 36–39¢ while No now trades near 39¢.

$138,205 on No

6-wallet No surge

Surfacing due to a large same-direction pregame No cluster and a $96.6k add, though the lead wallet has a poor lifetime record.

6 wallets all bought No in the same window, totaling $121.6k of one-sided flow.
This wallet added $96.6k at 39¢, increasing an already large No position to over $321k invested.
Market volume spiked 47.9x versus its historical average right before the game.

$96,631 on No | Wallet win rate: 47%

Elite bettor adding with crowd

Elite profitable sports bettor is adding to a large France Yes position amid broad one-sided flow and a major pre-game volume spike.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $5.6M lifetime.
They are adding $272K to an existing $1.75M Yes position at 61¢.
20 wallets are buying the same side, totaling $428K, alongside a 29x volume spike.

$271,852 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

87% sharp bettor buying No

Proven profitable wallet with an 87% record and strong cross-market history bought $78k of No at 39¢ on a liquid France match market.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $643k lifetime.
They have traded 28 related events with $2.0M deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
A $78k No entry at 39¢ implies they see France as meaningfully overvalued.

$78,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

Sharp sports bettor fading favorite

Proven sharp sports bettor with an 89% win rate and strong cross-market history bought $8k of France No at 39¢.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up about $771k lifetime.
They have a long cross-market record: 61 events, 94 markets, and nearly $800k deployed.
Buying No at 39¢ means they are fading France as the 62% market favorite.

$8,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

95% win-rate sports bettor

A proven profitable sports bettor with a 95% resolved record bought France amid a large pre-event volume spike, making this a plausible sharp follow despite modest sizing.

This bettor has won 38 of 40 resolved bets and is up $11.5k lifetime.
They bought France at 62¢, while market volume is running 21.6x above its historical average.
The wallet’s past wins came around 52¢ on average, suggesting a real edge rather than just betting heavy favorites.

$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

35-wallet linked buyer cluster

Large one-sided Yes flow from 35 wallets, including linked funding and several strong historical sports/event traders, makes this worth surfacing despite some opposing No activity and price weakness.

35 wallets bought the same side for about $256K, with 4 wallets sharing a funder.
Several participating bettors have strong records, including wallets winning 95%, 94%, and 87% of resolved trades.
This is meaningful coordinated flow, though the market has since moved from ~60¢ to 56¢ and there is a smaller opposing No cluster.

$256,135 on Yes

93% winner fading favorite

Proven sharp sports bettor with a 93% record and large profit is buying France No amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $406k lifetime.
They have a long cross-market record: 37 events, $2.4M traded, and the same 93% hit rate.
Buying No at 38¢ fades France as the favorite, with market volume spiking 42x before the match.

$4,487 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

80% cross-market sports bettor

Proven profitable sports bettor with an 80% resolved win rate and extensive cross-market history bought France Yes at 63¢.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $47.6K lifetime.
They have traded 36 markets across 32 events, suggesting a repeat sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
Entry at 63¢ implies they see France as meaningfully underpriced despite a liquid market.

$3,681 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%