Part of: Heat vs. Raptors

Spread: Raptors (-4.5)

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $76,716.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

94% win-rate sports sharp

A highly proven sports bettor with a 94% win rate and $457k profit bought into a pre-game volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market moving against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 94% of 1,133 resolved trades and is up $457k lifetime
  • They trade heavily across sports markets with the same strong record: 863 markets across 638 events
  • Bought Raptors -4.5 at 47¢ during a 246x pre-game volume surge, while the market now offers a cheaper 35¢ entry

$4,137 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 94%

Sharp bettor fading Raptors

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 76% win rate sold Raptors -4.5 at 47¢, which translates to buying Heat at 53¢ in a liquid market where the price has already moved in their favor.

  • This bettor wins 76% of their trades across 512 settled markets and is up nearly $56k
  • They sold Raptors -4.5 at 47¢, which is the same as buying Heat at 53¢, and the market is now 60¢ for Heat
  • The bet came during an 89.9x volume spike, suggesting sharper money was active before game time

$1,909 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 76%

97% win-rate sports sharp

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 97% win rate and $1.62M profit just placed a $53k bet on Heat in a market seeing an unusual pregame volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $1.62M across 324 settled positions.
  • They just put $53k on Heat at 53¢, a strong-sized bet in a spread market with a 94x volume spike.
  • This wallet has traded 338 markets across 247 events with the same strong results, suggesting repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit.

$53,067 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 68%

Sharp late-game cluster

Three profitable high-win-rate sports wallets all bought Raptors -4.5 right before resolution, creating strong coordinated late-game flow worth following.

  • Three wallets all bought Raptors -4.5 for $8.3k, including bettors with 98% and 94% win rates.
  • Two of these wallets have made over $1.25M combined profit across more than 1,800 resolved markets.
  • The bets landed about 1 minute before resolution at 47-48¢, suggesting they saw late-game value.

$8,288 on Raptors

94% win-rate sharp

A massively profitable, extremely high-win-rate sports trader with over 1,000 resolved bets bought Heat at 52¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 94% of 1,087 resolved trades and is up $14.8M lifetime
  • They have deployed $3.1M across 143 related markets, showing a repeatable multi-market edge
  • Bought Heat at 52¢ in a liquid market, implying they see the spread as mispriced near a coin flip

$1,569 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 95%

98% win-rate sports bettor

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 98% win rate and nearly $50k profit is buying Heat at 54¢, making this a strong follow despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 53 of 54 resolved markets and is up about $49.7k overall
  • They trade across 68 markets in 61 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • Buying Heat at 54¢ means they only need the Raptors to miss a 5-point win for this to pay out

$995 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 98%

Sharp-led 3-wallet cluster

Three wallets aligned on Heat for about $5k, led by a bettor with a 90% win rate and $1.1M profit, making this coordinated sports flow worth tracking despite the modest cluster size.

  • A bettor who wins 90% of 1,166 resolved trades and is up $1.1M joined this Heat buy.
  • Three wallets bought Heat within one minute for about $5,000 total, showing coordinated conviction.
  • They entered at 51-52¢ and the market is now 54¢, so the move is already going their way.

$5,000 on Heat

82% win-rate sharp

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 82% win rate and nearly $500k in profits is taking a fresh position on Heat at 50¢, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $491k on $2.07M invested
  • They have done this across 257 resolved bets and 149 events, which points to repeatable skill rather than a one-off hit
  • Bought Heat at 50¢, so the trade only needs to be right a bit more than half the time to have value

$1,752 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8f03...64d6 Outcome 12431056, $29,956 (95% win rate)
  2. 0xbddf...c684 Outcome 12431056, $15,431 (95% win rate)
  3. 0x37c1...c53a Outcome 12431056, $8,109 (67% win rate)
  4. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 12431056, $3,505 (87% win rate)
  5. 0x6975...11c1 Outcome 12431056, $2,000 (71% win rate)
  6. 0x791e...9bda Outcome 12431056, $1,843 (98% win rate)
  7. 0x156e...934e Outcome 12431056, $970
  8. 0xba07...d785 Outcome 12431056, $970
  9. 0x7ea5...de7b Outcome 12431056, $717 (65% win rate)
  10. 0xee0b...e9f4 Outcome 12431056, $493 (93% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

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Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Raptors (-4.5)

ResolvedHeat vs. Raptors$76,716 tracked8 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 9 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Raptors" if the Raptors win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Heat". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Heat". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

MIA
41-39
Scotiabank Arena
TOR
45-35
Draft Kings
Spread: TOR -4.5O/U: 236.5ML: +142/-170
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Raptors (-4.5)

33d ago

$4,137 on Raptors at 47¢

Spread: Raptors (-4.5)

33d ago

$1,909 on Heat at 53¢

Spread: Raptors (-4.5)

33d ago

$53,067 on Heat at 53¢

Spread: Raptors (-4.5)

33d ago

$8,288 on Raptors at 48¢

Spread: Raptors (-4.5)

33d ago

$1,569 on Heat at 52¢

Spread: Raptors (-4.5)

33d ago

$995 on Heat at 54¢

Spread: Raptors (-4.5)

33d ago

$5,000 on Heat at 51¢

Spread: Raptors (-4.5)

33d ago

$1,752 on Heat at 50¢

Related Theses