Part of: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

This prediction market covers the May 14 MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros, resolving to the team that wins the game. PolySpotter is tracking $1,444 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including alerts from high win-rate sports wallets and sharp MLB traders. The market is scheduled to resolve after the game is completed, with special rules for postponements, cancellations, or ties.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,617.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

98% winner buying underdog

A highly proven bettor with a 98% win rate and $401k lifetime profit bought Houston at 25¢ despite the market favoring Seattle.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $401k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 129 events with a strong track record.
  • Entry at 25¢ on Houston implies a 4x payout if the underdog wins.

$1,444 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 98%

Profitable serial sports trader

A profitable serial sports trader with a large 700-bet history sold Seattle after a major price run-up, implying a contrarian lean toward Houston despite market momentum.

  • This bettor has a long record: 700 resolved bets, 59% winners, and about $74k in profit.
  • They are an active cross-market trader across 26 events with over $72k recently deployed.
  • Selling Seattle at 78¢ after a 26-point move implies a contrarian Houston entry around 22¢.

$1,482 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 59%

90% winner riding steam

Sharp MLB bettor with a 90% resolved track record bought Seattle amid a major 1-day price move, suggesting momentum-backed conviction.

  • This bettor has won 9 of 10 resolved bets and is up $2,579 lifetime.
  • They bought Seattle at 78¢ as the market jumped 26 percentage points in the last day.
  • The entry implies a strong favorite position, with current odds already near 80¢.

$1,100 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 94%

New sharp sports wallet

A 5-day-old repeat bettor with a perfect early record and +$24k P&L is buying Seattle in a liquid MLB market.

  • This new bettor is 9-for-9 on resolved trades and is up $24,185 so far.
  • They have already placed 19 flagged large bets totaling $68,816 in under 5 days.
  • Buying Seattle at 51¢ suggests they see value in a near coin-flip market.

$2,591 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 88%

98% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate bought Houston at even odds, making the wallet track record the main signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor has won 147 of 150 resolved bets and is up $401K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 128 events with a 98% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 50¢ means they are backing Houston as better than a coin flip.

$1,885 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 98%

Sharp MLB whale

Sharp-wallet override: a highly profitable bettor with an 89% win rate placed a $16.1k buy on Seattle at 53¢.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $802k lifetime.
  • They put $16.1k on Seattle at 53¢, a meaningful bet even in an active market.
  • Entry at 53¢ implies they see Seattle as mispriced near even odds.

$16,115 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd48a...6e90 Outcome 91206258, $15,645 (67% win rate)
  2. 0xc33a...3da3 Outcome 91206258, $9,722 (98% win rate)
  3. 0xcf3f...6d9e Outcome 91206258, $5,000
  4. 0xd1ed...d7cb Outcome 91206258, $4,800 (45% win rate)
  5. 0x9d94...017d Outcome 91206258, $4,417
  6. 0x7760...21f0 Outcome 91206258, $3,644 (65% win rate)
  7. 0x5482...b6ee Outcome 91206258, $2,600
  8. 0x9495...9a27 Outcome 91206258, $2,381 (65% win rate)
  9. 0xa1a9...e22e Outcome 91206258, $1,856
  10. 0x4bb2...a656 Outcome 91206258, $1,771 (72% win rate)

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Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

18hSeattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros$24,617 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros, scheduled for May 14 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

SEA
8
22-23
Final
HOU
3
17-28
SEA -119HOU -102O/U 9
Venue
Daikin Park, Houston
Attendance
24,398
Price History — “Seattle Mariners
63¢
54¢
46¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

6d ago

$1,444 on Houston Astros at 25¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

6d ago

$1,482 on Houston Astros at 22¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

6d ago

$1,100 on Seattle Mariners at 78¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

6d ago

$2,591 on Seattle Mariners at 51¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

6d ago

$1,885 on Houston Astros at 50¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

6d ago

$16,115 on Seattle Mariners at 53¢

Related Theses