Part of: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros
This prediction market covers the May 14 MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros, resolving to the team that wins the game. PolySpotter is tracking $1,444 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including alerts from high win-rate sports wallets and sharp MLB traders. The market is scheduled to resolve after the game is completed, with special rules for postponements, cancellations, or ties.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,617.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
98% winner buying underdog
A highly proven bettor with a 98% win rate and $401k lifetime profit bought Houston at 25¢ despite the market favoring Seattle.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $401k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 129 events with a strong track record.
- Entry at 25¢ on Houston implies a 4x payout if the underdog wins.
$1,444 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 98%
Profitable serial sports trader
A profitable serial sports trader with a large 700-bet history sold Seattle after a major price run-up, implying a contrarian lean toward Houston despite market momentum.
- This bettor has a long record: 700 resolved bets, 59% winners, and about $74k in profit.
- They are an active cross-market trader across 26 events with over $72k recently deployed.
- Selling Seattle at 78¢ after a 26-point move implies a contrarian Houston entry around 22¢.
$1,482 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 59%
90% winner riding steam
Sharp MLB bettor with a 90% resolved track record bought Seattle amid a major 1-day price move, suggesting momentum-backed conviction.
- This bettor has won 9 of 10 resolved bets and is up $2,579 lifetime.
- They bought Seattle at 78¢ as the market jumped 26 percentage points in the last day.
- The entry implies a strong favorite position, with current odds already near 80¢.
$1,100 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 94%
New sharp sports wallet
A 5-day-old repeat bettor with a perfect early record and +$24k P&L is buying Seattle in a liquid MLB market.
- This new bettor is 9-for-9 on resolved trades and is up $24,185 so far.
- They have already placed 19 flagged large bets totaling $68,816 in under 5 days.
- Buying Seattle at 51¢ suggests they see value in a near coin-flip market.
$2,591 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 88%
98% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate bought Houston at even odds, making the wallet track record the main signal despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor has won 147 of 150 resolved bets and is up $401K lifetime.
- They have traded across 128 events with a 98% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 50¢ means they are backing Houston as better than a coin flip.
$1,885 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 98%
Sharp MLB whale
Sharp-wallet override: a highly profitable bettor with an 89% win rate placed a $16.1k buy on Seattle at 53¢.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $802k lifetime.
- They put $16.1k on Seattle at 53¢, a meaningful bet even in an active market.
- Entry at 53¢ implies they see Seattle as mispriced near even odds.
$16,115 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0xd48a...6e90 — Outcome 91206258, $15,645 (67% win rate)
- 0xc33a...3da3 — Outcome 91206258, $9,722 (98% win rate)
- 0xcf3f...6d9e — Outcome 91206258, $5,000
- 0xd1ed...d7cb — Outcome 91206258, $4,800 (45% win rate)
- 0x9d94...017d — Outcome 91206258, $4,417
- 0x7760...21f0 — Outcome 91206258, $3,644 (65% win rate)
- 0x5482...b6ee — Outcome 91206258, $2,600
- 0x9495...9a27 — Outcome 91206258, $2,381 (65% win rate)
- 0xa1a9...e22e — Outcome 91206258, $1,856
- 0x4bb2...a656 — Outcome 91206258, $1,771 (72% win rate)
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