Part of: Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winner

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $189,143.

Categories: Esports, Games, counter strike 2, Sports

Notable Trades

Linked cluster follows elite esports bettors

A highly coordinated $126,000 Spirit position was backed by linked wallets and several exceptionally profitable bettors, including 88% and 96% long-term winners.

  • Sixteen wallets funded by two sources concentrated $126,098 on Spirit, including multiple large buys between 46¢ and 66¢.
  • Two participating bettors have exceptional records: 88% wins across 1,068 positions and 96% across 219 positions.
  • The market has since moved to 100% Spirit, so this is a strong historical signal but no longer an attractive live entry.

$126,098 on Spirit

Nine-wallet Spirit buying cluster

Nine wallets, including two linked by funding, bought Spirit in a $52,236 coordinated surge while the market saw a 61x volume spike.

  • Nine wallets bought Spirit together, totaling $52,236, with two wallets sharing a funder.
  • The market saw a 61x volume spike versus its recent average, signaling unusually concentrated interest.
  • This wallet added $15,096 to Spirit across seven buys, mostly between 46¢ and 54%, despite only a 56% historical win rate.

$15,096 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 56%

Coordinated FUT buying with sharp bettor

A large, coordinated FUT Esports position includes a proven 79% bettor and a major pre-event volume spike, though opposing linked Spirit activity makes the signal less clean.

  • Nine wallets committed $41,652 to FUT Esports, alongside a 61x surge in event volume and a 22-point price move.
  • One participating bettor has won 79% of 81 resolved trades, entering at average odds of 54% and earning $61,609.
  • A linked group also bought Spirit exposure, so the opposing flow adds meaningful uncertainty to the FUT thesis.

$41,652 on FUT Esports

Coordinated Spirit bets with serial trader

A coordinated Spirit position coincides with a major volume spike and a highly experienced cross-market bettor, though the bettor is adding to a position that has since fallen from 62% to 50%.

  • Three wallets bought Spirit for $9,050 amid a 96.2x volume spike.
  • This bettor has 582 resolved trades, a 71% win rate, and $154,423 in lifetime profit.
  • The wallet was adding to Spirit at 62%, but the market has since declined to about 50%, making the signal riskier to copy now.

$2,500 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 72%

Elite bettor backs FUT Esports

A highly profitable serial bettor with 86% wins across 374 positions is making a fresh $3,798 bet on FUT Esports at 38%.

  • This bettor wins 86% of trades across 374 resolved positions and is up $1.75 million.
  • They are placing $3,798 on FUT Esports at 38%, despite the market pricing the team around 36%.
  • The wallet has traded 4 markets in this event, indicating a broader event-specific thesis rather than an isolated bet.

$3,798 on FUT Esports | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 59262182, $34,734 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x67ac...edf1 Outcome 59262182, $21,994 (63% win rate)
  3. 0xf377...4159 Outcome 59262182, $15,000 (86% win rate)
  4. 0x4002...b012 Outcome 59262182, $13,947 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x8c0b...7aa5 Outcome 59262182, $10,284 (59% win rate)
  6. 0x7d78...29a5 Outcome 59262182, $10,125 (81% win rate)
  7. 0x4272...10c2 Outcome 59262182, $10,000 (88% win rate)
  8. 0x19ae...395c Outcome 59262182, $7,128 (49% win rate)
  9. 0xf148...0b4f Outcome 59262182, $7,073 (74% win rate)
  10. 0x3708...b397 Outcome 59262182, $7,020 (57% win rate)

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Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winner

ResolvedCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$189,143 tracked5 signalsEsportsGamescounter strike 2Sports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between FUT Esports and Spirit in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win Map 3 against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 3 against FUT Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 3. If Map 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Spirit
68¢
64¢
59¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winner

2h ago

$126,098 on Spirit at 66¢

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winner

9h ago

$15,096 on Spirit at 51¢

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winner

9h ago

$41,652 on FUT Esports at 41¢

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winner

9h ago

$2,500 on Spirit at 62¢

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winner

10h ago

$3,798 on FUT Esports at 38¢

Related Theses