Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 BO3 match between Spirit and 9z in IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, scheduled for June 13 at 12:30 PM ET and resolving by June 14, 2026. The market resolves to the winning team, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $2,044 in smart money and 1 signal, including recent alerts pointing to sharp interest around 9z and linked-wallet underdog flow.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Spirit and 9z in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 13 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against 9z. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win the match against Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
36 smart money signals detected, totaling $304,439.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial bettor fade
A profitable high-volume serial bettor joined a 9-wallet one-sided move against Spirit, though the market has since moved sharply the other way.
- This bettor has a long record: 1,070 resolved trades, 59% wins, and about $347K in profit.
- Nine wallets are all taking the 9z side, totaling about $15.4K in the same direction.
- The trade faded Spirit at an effective 59¢ on 9z, but Spirit has since moved up to about 70%.
$2,044 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable bettor joins 11-wallet move
High-conviction 9z buy from a profitable high-volume bettor, backed by 11-wallet one-sided flow and a 25-point price move.
- This bettor has won 73% of 2,123 resolved bets and is up about $98.9k lifetime.
- 11 wallets bought 9z in the same direction, totaling about $19.8k of coordinated flow.
- 9z has already moved from this entry at 69¢ to 76¢, showing strong market momentum.
$3,151 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 73%
94% winner joins 9-wallet push
A highly profitable 94% winning wallet bought 9z before a major price move, alongside 9 wallets all betting the same direction.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $85.7k lifetime.
- Nine wallets all bought 9z, totaling $14.2k in one-sided flow.
- 9z moved from this bettor’s 37¢ entry to 64¢, confirming strong market momentum.
$2,678 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 94%
91% winner on 9z surge
A proven 91% winner bought 9z alongside one-sided cluster flow, and the market has already moved sharply in that direction.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $7,915 lifetime.
- Nine wallets bought the same side, totaling about $14k on 9z.
- The 9z price jumped from the bettor’s 49¢ entry to 64¢, confirming strong market momentum.
$1,417 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 91%
Serial esports trader riding steam
Composite is supported by a serial cross-market bettor plus a large pre-event volume spike and a 20-point move toward Spirit, though the wallet's lifetime P&L is slightly negative.
- This bettor has traded across 25 events and won 71% of 112 resolved bets.
- Spirit has seen a 15.5x pre-match volume spike and moved up about 20 percentage points.
- Entry at 78¢ follows strong market momentum, with current odds still tightly quoted at 77–78¢.
$1,250 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 71%
75% winner with 9-wallet flow
A proven profitable esports bettor made a $30k Spirit buy, backed by 9-wallet same-side flow and a strong serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $177,752 lifetime.
- Nine wallets bought the same side for $43,492, suggesting coordinated conviction.
- They have traded 97 related events with a 75% win rate, and this position is now available below their 77–81¢ entries.
$30,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 75%
91% winner in linked Spirit flow
Sharp 91% lifetime winner is buying Spirit alongside a 13-wallet one-sided cluster, making this worth surfacing despite the price moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $245k lifetime.
- 13 wallets have all bought Spirit in the same window, totaling about $40k.
- The trader entered at 68¢, while Spirit is now around 48¢, offering a cheaper but volatile copy entry.
$2,362 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 91%
Repeat linked-wallet push
A repeat linked-wallet cluster bought Spirit during a sharp 18.5-point move, though the individual trade size is modest and the wallet’s historical edge is not especially strong.
- Four wallets sharing the same funder have been seen before and are again positioned the same way.
- The trade came during a fast 18.5-point move in under a minute, suggesting momentum behind the entry.
- The wallet is up about $48K lifetime, though its resolved-bet win rate is only 49%.
$1,148 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 49%
Sharp esports cross-market bettor
Surfaced because a proven profitable bettor with a 75% win rate and extensive cross-market history placed a $20k Spirit bet as part of a larger $61.5k event position.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $177,752 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 97 events, with $61,500 positioned across 3 markets in this event.
- The $20,000 Spirit buy helped drive a fast 18.5-point price move, signaling strong conviction.
$20,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable serial esports sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market esports bettor bought $5.5k of Spirit amid a volume spike and rapid price move, making this worth surfacing despite the price pulling back.
- This bettor has won 73% of 1,086 resolved bets and is up $1.46M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 408 events, with $15.6k positioned across 3 markets in this event.
- The market saw a 24x volume spike and Spirit moved up 18.5 points in under a minute around the trade.
$2,100 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0x3b4c...e850 — Spirit, $141,749
- 0x47a8...52f9 — 9z, $125,000 (98% win rate)
- 0xee00...cea1 — Spirit, $110,405 (62% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — 9z, $74,159 (62% win rate)
- 0xc44f...d49f — Spirit, $65,977 (74% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — 9z, $65,000 (61% win rate)
- 0x4713...4d21 — 9z, $60,076 (44% win rate)
- 0x1136...0c2e — Spirit, $58,642 (49% win rate)
- 0x87da...53d1 — Spirit, $53,289 (73% win rate)
- 0xfdf6...00a1 — 9z, $51,077 (51% win rate)
Related Theses
Team WE beats NIP
Covers 3 related markets
RED Canids beat FURIA
Covers 3 related markets
LYON dominates Team Liquid
Covers 4 related markets
Movistar KOI wins series
Covers 4 related markets
Vitality sweeps MOUZ
Covers 3 related markets
Top Esports take series
Covers 4 related markets
LGD wins despite ThunderTalk upsets
Covers 4 related markets
