Part of: UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)

This market will resolve to "Kyoji Horiguchi" if Kyoji Horiguchi is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manel Kape at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026. It will resolve to "Manel Kape" if Manel Kape is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $49,512.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable UFC sharp with momentum

Profitable high-volume bettor bought Horiguchi at 50¢ alongside one-sided market flow, a volume spike, and a 33-point price move.

This bettor has won 72% of 1,306 resolved bets and is up $121,925 lifetime.
Five wallets bought the same side for $21,431 as Horiguchi moved up 33 percentage points.
They entered at 50¢ before the market moved to 64¢, so the edge was strongest before the jump.

$1,000 on Kyoji Horiguchi | Wallet win rate: 72%

Sharp UFC bettor joins one-sided flow

Sharp profitable UFC bettor bought Kyoji Horiguchi amid coordinated one-sided flow, a major volume spike, and a 33-point price move.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $29.7K lifetime.
Five wallets bought the same side for $21.4K total, pushing Horiguchi up 33 points.
Market volume spiked 44.7x ahead of the fight, suggesting strong late positioning.

$2,322 on Kyoji Horiguchi | Wallet win rate: 87%

Sharp UFC bettor backing favorite

Sharp UFC bettor with a 78% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Manel Kape at 62¢.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $26K lifetime.
Their wins came at much tougher average odds around 50¢, suggesting real betting edge.
They bought Manel Kape at 62¢ in a liquid UFC market with a tight 1¢ spread.

$2,900 on Manel Kape | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp Kape result rush

Strong one-sided Kape cluster with major price impact, including a 97% winner and a highly profitable high-volume bettor entering before the move to 100%.

Three wallets pushed the same side, buying nearly $12K of Manel Kape before the market moved to 100%.
One bettor has won 97% of 114 resolved bets, while another is up $426K lifetime across heavy volume.
The trade came during a 32.7x volume spike and a 56-point move toward Kape.

$11,912 on Manel Kape

Sharp UFC bettor backing favorite

Sharp UFC bettor with a 78% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Manel Kape at 62¢.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $26K lifetime.
Their wins came at much tougher average odds around 50¢, suggesting real betting edge.
They bought Manel Kape at 62¢ in a liquid UFC market with a tight 1¢ spread.

$2,000 on Manel Kape | Wallet win rate: 83%

77% sports sharp on Kape

Sharp 77% lifetime winner and serial cross-market sports bettor put $18.8k on Manel Kape amid a major pre-fight volume spike.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades across 306 bets and is profitable lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.73M deployed across 96 events.
The $18.8k buy came during a 105x pre-fight volume spike, suggesting strong late interest.

$18,845 on Manel Kape | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp UFC bettor backing favorite

Sharp UFC bettor with a 78% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Manel Kape at 62¢.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $26K lifetime.
Their wins came at much tougher average odds around 50¢, suggesting real betting edge.
They bought Manel Kape at 62¢ in a liquid UFC market with a tight 1¢ spread.

$1,300 on Manel Kape | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp UFC bettor backing favorite

Sharp UFC bettor with a 78% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Manel Kape at 62¢.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $26K lifetime.
Their wins came at much tougher average odds around 50¢, suggesting real betting edge.
They bought Manel Kape at 62¢ in a liquid UFC market with a tight 1¢ spread.

$2,293 on Manel Kape | Wallet win rate: 83%

93% winner backs Kape

Sharp UFC bettor with a 93% resolved win record and strong profit is buying Manel Kape at 61¢.

This bettor has won 14 of 15 resolved bets and is up $17.6K lifetime.
Their average winning entry was 47¢, suggesting they have beaten market prices by a wide margin.
A $2.6K buy on Kape is a fresh conviction bet in a liquid UFC market.

$2,600 on Manel Kape | Wallet win rate: 93%

96% win-rate sports sharp

Elite sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and $266k profit is buying Manel Kape at 60¢, with serial cross-market success across 69 events.

This bettor has won 96% of 598 resolved positions and is up $266,814 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 69 events with the same 96% win rate.
Entry at 60¢ suggests they see Kape as meaningfully underpriced despite an already liquid market.

$2,113 on Manel Kape | Wallet win rate: 95%