Will Iraq finish last in Group I at the 2026 World Cup?

This market lets traders predict whether Iraq will end the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group I stage in last place. The outcome depends on the official FIFA group standings after all Group I matches and any applicable tiebreakers.

How does this Polymarket for Iraq in Group I resolve?

It resolves according to the team that officially finishes bottom of Group I in the 2026 World Cup group stage. If teams are tied at the bottom, FIFA’s official tiebreak procedure determines the final order.

When does the Iraq last-place Group I market resolve?

The group stage is scheduled for June 11–27, 2026, and this market has a listed resolution date of July 20, 2026. If no bottom-place team is declared within the rules’ timeframe, the market may resolve according to the stated cancellation or postponement conditions.

What smart money activity is tracked on this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $4,322 in smart money exposure and 1 smart money signal for this market. Recent alerts include an active winner in a thin market and activity from a profitable 458-bet bettor.

Where can I see Iraq World Cup prediction market odds?

You can follow this market on PolySpotter to monitor Polymarket odds, smart money signals, and market activity related to whether Iraq finishes last in Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

Part of: World Cup: Group I Last Place

Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

This prediction market asks whether Iraq will finish last in Group I during the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11–27, 2026. The market resolves based on the official FIFA Group I standings and tiebreak procedures, with resolution expected by July 20, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $4,322 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including alerts for an active winner in a thin market.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,522.

Categories: Soccer, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, world cup, FIFA World Cup, Group Futures

Notable Trades

Active winner in thin market

Experienced cross-market trader with positive lifetime P&L placed a relatively large bet in a thin World Cup market, adding to recent upward momentum on Yes.

This bettor has 313 resolved trades, wins 61% of them, and is up about $61K lifetime.
The $4.3K buy was nearly 60% of the market’s 24-hour volume, a sizable move for this thin order book.
Yes has already moved up 10.5 points this week, and this trade backs that momentum at 90¢.

$4,322 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable 458-bet bettor

Despite only a weak low-activity signal, the bettor has a large profitable track record and made a $4.2k buy that was nearly 2x recent volume in a thin World Cup group market.

This bettor has won 87% of 458 resolved bets and is up $10.5k lifetime.
The $4.2k buy was nearly 2x the market’s recent 24h volume, showing real conviction in a relatively thin market.
Entry at 84¢ means they are backing Iraq as a strong favorite to finish last.

$4,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

0x1341...0853 — Outcome 20804909, $5,846 (85% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 20804909, $3,830
0x41f0...3eeb — Outcome 20804909, $3,378 (60% win rate)
0x91d7...0dfc — Outcome 20804909, $1,000 (76% win rate)
0x373a...f4c1 — Outcome 20804909, $300 (61% win rate)
0x3329...43a6 — Outcome 20804909, $100
0x9a94...d5f9 — Outcome 20804909, $50
0x68cc...78e0 — Outcome 20804909, $48
0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 20804909, $23 (69% win rate)
0x238f...3015 — Outcome 20804909, $23

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Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

17d World Cup: Group I Last Place$8,522 tracked2 signalsSoccerSports2026 FIFA World Cupworld cupFIFA World CupGroup Futures

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes”

94¢

89¢

83¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction