This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $19.5K lifetime. They are a serial sports market trader across 33 events with $211K in tracked volume. They bought No at 53¢ while the market has moved sharply away from Yes over the past day.

Part of: Ecuador vs. Curaçao - Halftime Result

Ecuador leading at halftime?

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,385.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Games, Sports, Soccer

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster buying NO

Strong cluster alert: three wallets bought No together, including a proven 90% winner, amid a major volume spike and rapid price move against Ecuador leading at halftime.

A bettor who wins 90% of resolved bets and is up $19.5K joined this No position.
Three wallets bought the same side for $8.9K, with two wallets sharing a funder.
The market saw a 41.9x volume spike and Yes dropped 15.5 points in under a minute.

$8,943 on No

Profitable serial sports bettor

A profitable serial sports trader with 333 resolved bets is taking a Yes position amid a major pre-game volume spike and fast odds movement.

This bettor has won 71% of 333 resolved bets and is up $75.6K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with $574.8K bet across 89 related markets.
Market volume spiked 41.9x, while the trader bought Yes at 43¢ and it is now available cheaper around 38¢.

$1,255 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

90% winner buys No

Sharp sports bettor with a 90% long-term win rate and strong cross-market history bought No on Ecuador leading at halftime.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $19.5K lifetime.
They are a serial sports market trader across 33 events with $211K in tracked volume.
They bought No at 53¢ while the market has moved sharply away from Yes over the past day.

$1,269 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

84% winning serial bettor

Sharp wallet with an 84% win rate and $426k lifetime profit bought Yes at 67¢, making the trader's track record the main signal despite modest trade size.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $426,859 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 222 events, with $648,055 tracked in similar activity.
Entry at 67¢ implies they see Ecuador leading at halftime as meaningfully more likely than the market price.

$1,340 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Elite 82% sports bettor

Elite profitable wallet with an 82% win rate and $1.8M lifetime profit is buying Yes on Ecuador to lead at halftime.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $1.8M lifetime.
They have a long cross-market track record across 62 events with $322k in recent related activity.
Buying Yes at 66¢ implies confidence Ecuador leads at halftime despite an already liquid market.

$1,980 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

84% winner leads cluster

High-score one-sided cluster led by a proven 84% winner with strong lifetime profit, despite the market moving against their entries.

A bettor in this group wins 84% of their bets and is up $426,859 lifetime.
Six wallets bought $14,298 of Yes in the same direction on this halftime market.
They entered around 66¢ on average, while the market is now near 57¢.

$14,298 on Yes

88% winner buying Yes

Surfaced because a proven sharp wallet with 88% wins and $40.6k profit is buying Yes despite only a modest signal score.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $40.6k lifetime.
They have beaten average market odds by about 30 percentage points across 97 resolved bets.
Entry at 64¢ suggests they see Ecuador leading at halftime as underpriced.

$1,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 74555433, $9,659 (71% win rate)
0xf0f0...9a41 — Outcome 74555433, $6,450 (68% win rate)
0x203d...2b2c — Outcome 74555433, $6,024 (51% win rate)
0x26b4...b8a9 — Outcome 74555433, $4,918 (51% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10054096, $4,611
0x15ec...267d — Outcome 74555433, $4,000 (76% win rate)
0x3e04...564d — Outcome 74555433, $3,000 (82% win rate)
0xbe7e...6d00 — Outcome 74555433, $2,993 (69% win rate)
0xd4da...3175 — Outcome 74555433, $2,406 (52% win rate)
0x30d5...36bf — Outcome 74555433, $2,050 (67% win rate)

Related Theses

Knicks cover low-scoring game

Covers 4 related markets

Haiti covers high-scoring match

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Sabalenka beats Kasatkina

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Rays beat the Orioles

Covers 1 related market

Ecuador leading at halftime?

ResolvedEcuador vs. Curaçao - Halftime Result$30,385 tracked7 signalsFIFA World CupGamesSportsSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 20, 2026 If Ecuador wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.