Busan: Rio Noguchi vs Clement Chidekh
This Polymarket tracks the Busan tennis match between Rio Noguchi and Clement Chidekh, scheduled for April 12 at 9:00 PM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with a 50-50 resolution only if the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed more than 7 days. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,961 in smart money activity on this market, including signals from sports bettors reacting to both sides.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,890.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
29-0 serial sports bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with a perfect 29-for-29 resolved record bought Rio Noguchi even after a huge breakout, making this a notable momentum-following sports trade.
- This bettor has won 29 of 29 resolved markets and is up $28.6k across roughly $445k invested
- They trade across many related events and just bought after Rio Noguchi jumped about 53 points from its prior range
- The entry was 90¢ in a liquid market, signaling they still saw value despite Rio already trading as a heavy favorite
$1,961 on Rio Noguchi | Wallet win rate: 97%
Pro bettor flips sides
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 73% win rate flipped from Chidekh into Rio Noguchi, suggesting a deliberate thesis change rather than routine whale activity.
- This bettor has won 1,581 of 2,164 resolved bets and is up $3.77M lifetime
- They closed a prior Chidekh position and opened a fresh $1.5k buy on Rio Noguchi at 37¢, signaling a real view change
- The trade landed near the best price in a modest-volume market, and Rio has already moved from 37¢ to 39¢
$1,526 on Rio Noguchi | Wallet win rate: 73%
Proven bettor fading Rio
A profitable high-volume bettor with a 75% win rate sold Rio Noguchi at 35¢, which translates into a buy signal on Clement Chidekh at 65¢, making this worth surfacing despite the modest alert score.
- This bettor wins 75% of their trades across 677 settled bets and is up about $267k lifetime
- They sold Rio Noguchi at 35¢, which is equivalent to buying Clement Chidekh around 65¢
- The bet was meaningful for this market size, at about 26% of 24-hour volume
$1,403 on Clement Chidekh | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 23857088, $9,580 (73% win rate)
- 0x844e...4efd — Outcome 23857088, $6,376 (56% win rate)
- 0x578a...6f10 — Outcome 23857088, $1,951
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 23857088, $1,543 (65% win rate)
- 0xea8d...e9d3 — Outcome 23857088, $427
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 23857088, $292
- 0xf40a...29e7 — Outcome 17233849, $273
- 0x25bf...7a56 — Outcome 23857088, $236
- 0xf02f...1ed8 — Outcome 23857088, $154 (71% win rate)
- 0x5d9e...e0e3 — Outcome 23857088, $112
