Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

15 smart money signals detected, totaling $62,284.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Linked sharp esports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports trader from a 5-wallet linked cluster bought the underdog at 29¢ and the price has already moved up to 34¢.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 354 resolved trades and is up $122k lifetime
  • Five linked wallets share the same funder, suggesting a coordinated bettor spread across accounts
  • They bought Team Spirit at 29¢ and the market is already up to 34¢, pointing to early value on the underdog

$1,195 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 67%

93% win-rate esports sharp

A proven sharp bettor with a 93% win rate and six-figure profit just bought the underdog in a major esports match at 40¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $132.7k on $328.9k invested
  • They have a long pattern across 44 events and 58 markets, not a one-off lucky streak
  • Bought Team Spirit at 40¢, which prices the underdog well above the current 34¢ market

$2,077 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp cluster buying underdog

A 6-wallet cluster piled into Team Spirit with $15.3k, including two extremely sharp wallets with 93% and 96% win rates, making this coordinated underdog buying worth surfacing despite mixed wallet quality.

  • Two standout bettors in this group win 93% and 96% of their trades and are up about $496k combined
  • Six wallets put $15.3k on Team Spirit, and one trader sold Falcons at 59¢ to flip into the same view
  • They bought an underdog around 40¢ while the market now prices Team Spirit at 30¢, showing clear conviction against the crowd

$15,283 on Team Spirit

46-0 sharp joins cluster

A proven sharp wallet with a perfect 46-0 resolved record joined a 10-wallet one-sided move into Team Falcons before the market moved sharply higher.

  • This bettor has won 46 of 46 resolved trades and is up $193k
  • 10 wallets all bought Team Falcons for a combined $23k
  • They entered at 60¢ and the market is now 74¢, showing immediate follow-through

$1,253 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 98%

90% win-rate esports bettor

A highly profitable esports bettor with a 90% win rate joined a 10-wallet one-sided push into Team Falcons before the market moved sharply in their favor.

  • This bettor wins 90% of their trades and is up $75k across 349 resolved positions
  • 10 wallets all bought Team Falcons, with nearly $23k total backing the same side
  • They bought at 64¢ and the market is now 74¢, showing fast confirmation after entry

$1,872 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 91%

10-wallet Falcons pile-in

A very new wallet with heavy repeat activity joined a 10-wallet one-sided push into Team Falcons, suggesting coordinated conviction despite the weak individual track record.

  • 10 wallets all bought Team Falcons, putting nearly $23k behind the same side
  • This 2-day-old wallet has already made 24 flagged bets and put over $62k to work, showing aggressive conviction
  • The bettor entered at 65¢ and the market is now 74¢, so the move already went in their favor

$1,979 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 38%

96% win-rate esports buyer

A proven sharp wallet with a 96% win rate bought Team Spirit alongside 5 other wallets during a major one-sided flow spike, making this a strong esports signal despite the modest individual size.

  • This bettor wins 96% of their trades and is up $363k across 246 resolved bets
  • 6 wallets all bought Team Spirit in the same burst, totaling nearly $14k
  • They entered at 39¢, near the current ask, on a market seeing a 51.6x volume spike

$982 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 96%

93% win-rate esports sharp

A highly profitable esports bettor with a 93% win rate sold Team Falcons at 59¢, which translates to buying Team Spirit around 41¢ in a heavily traded match market.

  • This bettor wins 93% of their resolved trades and is up $132.7k across 42 settled positions
  • They sold Team Falcons at 59¢, which is equivalent to buying Team Spirit around 41¢
  • This wallet also trades across many related markets with the same strong hit rate: 58 markets across 44 events

$3,668 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 93%

Perfect-record esports bettor

A bettor with a perfect 14-for-14 resolved record and nearly $466k profit is making another sizable esports bet as part of a broader 3-market event thesis.

  • This bettor is 14 for 14 on resolved markets and up $465.8k overall
  • They placed $3.9k on Team Falcons at 58¢ while also betting 3 related markets in the same event
  • Buying at 58¢ means they likely see Team Falcons as better than the market's current ~60% odds

$3,950 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial sports bettor

This is worth surfacing because a very active, highly profitable sports trader with 1,071 resolved bets and nearly $497k profit is buying Team Spirit at 63¢.

  • This bettor wins 68% of 1,071 resolved trades and is up $496.7k lifetime
  • They have placed $1.38M across 177 related markets, showing a repeatable cross-market betting edge
  • They bought Team Spirit at 63¢ in a liquid market, a sign of steady conviction rather than a random punt

$1,372 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 68%

Top Holders

  1. 0x153a...9d6d Outcome 10043999, $37,135 (60% win rate)
  2. 0x3993...cded Outcome 10043999, $29,200 (68% win rate)
  3. 0xee00...cea1 Outcome 10043999, $24,283 (62% win rate)
  4. 0xef62...cf76 Outcome 10043999, $22,831 (53% win rate)
  5. 0xb66a...800e Outcome 10043999, $13,364 (93% win rate)
  6. 0x6bf5...606b Outcome 10043999, $9,703
  7. 0xbb35...b62a Outcome 10043999, $8,741 (38% win rate)
  8. 0xd06c...cdaf Outcome 10043999, $8,488 (96% win rate)
  9. 0x93bc...8ca3 Outcome 10043999, $7,775 (80% win rate)
  10. 0x3833...33d1 Outcome 10043999, $6,377 (98% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Resolved$62,284 tracked15 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between Team Spirit and Team Falcons in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 19 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Team Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

12h ago

$1,195 on Team Spirit at 29¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

12h ago

$2,077 on Team Spirit at 40¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

12h ago

$15,283 on Team Spirit at 40¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

12h ago

$1,253 on Team Falcons at 60¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

12h ago

$1,872 on Team Falcons at 64¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

12h ago

$1,979 on Team Falcons at 65¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

12h ago

$982 on Team Spirit at 39¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

12h ago

$3,668 on Team Spirit at 41¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

13h ago

$3,950 on Team Falcons at 58¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

14h ago

$1,372 on Team Spirit at 63¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

15h ago

$13,967 on Team Falcons at 61¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

15h ago

$1,978 on Team Falcons at 64¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

12h ago

$5,860 on Team Falcons at 65¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

15h ago

$3,883 on Team Spirit at 35¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

16h ago

$2,966 on Team Falcons at 62¢

Related Theses