Part of: SC Braga vs. CF Estrela da Amadora

Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-16?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,521.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Primeira Liga

Notable Trades

Elite 88% sports bettor

Elite sports bettor with an 88% long-run win rate bought Braga No at 43¢ before the market moved sharply to 64¢.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $785K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 171 events with $1.5M in tracked activity.
They bought No at 43¢, and the market has already moved to 64¢ in their favor.

$1,244 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Sharp bettors backing No

Three wallets bought $6.7k of No, led by two highly profitable serial sports bettors with 86–88% win rates and strong lifetime profits.

Two bettors in this cluster win 86–88% of their resolved bets and are up about $2.3M combined.
Three wallets bought the same side, putting $6.7k on Braga not winning at 43¢.
Market volume spiked 48x ahead of the match, supporting this as coordinated pre-game positioning.

$6,734 on No

Elite bettor fading favorite

Elite sports bettor with an 86% win rate and $1.5M lifetime profit is buying Braga No despite Yes being favored.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $1.5M lifetime.
They are a serial sports trader across 584 events with the same 86% hit rate.
Entry at 43¢ on No means they are fading Braga as the slight favorite.

$2,544 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

Profitable bettor pre-match whale

A profitable sports bettor put $29k on Braga Yes in a previously quiet market, creating a major pre-event volume spike despite only a moderate historical win rate.

This bettor is up $56.9k lifetime across 59 resolved bets.
They bought $29k of Braga Yes, a large position versus the market’s $44.8k liquidity.
The bet was nearly 3x the prior 24h volume and came during a 3336x pre-event volume spike.

$29,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%

Top Holders

0xa796...82fd — Outcome 11008987, $48,554 (59% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 98157744, $3,018
0x0d2d...7ff5 — Outcome 11008987, $1,979
0xf40a...ea0a — Outcome 11008987, $1,201
0x7d7f...86d2 — Outcome 11008987, $820
0x800a...0b4d — Outcome 11008987, $734 (65% win rate)
0x629d...756c — Outcome 11008987, $720
0x31f3...0eac — Outcome 11008987, $488
0x44c5...8d45 — Outcome 11008987, $358 (77% win rate)
0xf89d...6f39 — Outcome 11008987, $273 (89% win rate)

Related Theses

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Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-16?

ResolvedSC Braga vs. CF Estrela da Amadora$39,521 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerPrimeira Liga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 16, 2026 If SC Braga wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No”

102¢

56¢

10¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction