LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

This Polymarket tracks the LEC Regular Season best-of-three League of Legends match between Shifters and Fnatic, scheduled for April 24. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, while a cancellation, tie, or delay beyond 7 days without a winner leads to a 50-50 resolution. PolySpotter is tracking $1,188 in smart money on this market, including recent sharp-bettor activity around Fnatic.

This market refers to the LoL match between Shifters and Fnatic in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 24 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win the match against Fnatic. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against Shifters. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,554.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

97% win-rate bettor

A bettor with an exceptional 97% win rate and strong positive edge is backing Fnatic at 64¢, making this a copy-worthy sharp sports trade despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 97% of their resolved trades and is up about $96k overall
  • Their results are strong relative to price paid, not just from buying heavy favorites
  • They bought Fnatic at 64¢ in a liquid market, suggesting a straightforward sharp side rather than a thin-market punt

$1,188 on Fnatic | Wallet win rate: 97%

88% win-rate bettor

A very high-performing serial cross-market bettor with an 88% win rate bought Fnatic, making this a credible sharp-money signal despite the modest size and otherwise routine market conditions.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $597k lifetime
  • They have traded 506 markets across 250 events, showing a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • They bought Fnatic at 63¢, close to the current market, suggesting steady conviction from a proven bettor

$1,246 on Fnatic | Wallet win rate: 88%

86% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 86% win rate bought Shifters into a major pre-match volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up nearly $698k on $1.76M invested
  • They have bet 157 markets across 116 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • Bought Shifters at 39¢ as volume jumped 241x above normal, suggesting informed conviction before the match

$3,155 on Shifters | Wallet win rate: 86%

86% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 86% win rate bought Shifters at 38¢ during an extreme pre-match volume spike, making this a credible copy-trade signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $698k on $1.76M invested
  • They trade heavily across 156 markets and 115 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • They bought Shifters at 38¢ during a 381x volume spike, implying they see the underdog as meaningfully mispriced

$3,441 on Shifters | Wallet win rate: 86%

5-wallet Fnatic pile-in

Five wallets piled into Fnatic at the same price, led by several undefeated small-sample wallets and a high-volume serial cross-market trader, making this coordinated esports buy flow worth surfacing.

  • Five wallets bought Fnatic within seconds, putting $10.5k on the same side at 63¢.
  • Four of the wallets are 14 for 14 on resolved bets, while another has traded 571 markets across 559 events.
  • The market saw a 241x volume spike, which suggests this was part of a broader rush into the match.

$10,533 on Fnatic

82% win-rate bettor

A proven high-win-rate bettor with strong edge bought Fnatic at 63¢, making this a reasonable copy-trade despite the modest size in a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and is up nearly $18k overall
  • Their results beat the prices they usually pay by a wide margin, which suggests real edge rather than just buying heavy favorites
  • They bought Fnatic at 63¢, a clear fresh position on a mainstream match market

$991 on Fnatic | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0x40ea...832f Shifters, $37,294 (0% win rate)
  2. 0xdd92...6b2a Shifters, $30,049 (43% win rate)
  3. 0x1341...0853 Shifters, $27,260 (86% win rate)
  4. 0x996a...e3cc Fnatic, $22,467 (100% win rate)
  5. 0xd812...2558 Shifters, $17,361 (86% win rate)
  6. 0xf164...8fa4 Fnatic, $13,905 (54% win rate)
  7. 0xee00...cea1 Fnatic, $9,750 (62% win rate)
  8. 0x9c1c...7980 Fnatic, $8,693 (51% win rate)
  9. 0x183f...85e3 Fnatic, $8,432 (54% win rate)
  10. 0xdd88...dadb Fnatic, $7,432 (53% win rate)

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LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

1h$20,554 tracked6 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Shifters
0¢
Fnatic
100¢

This market refers to the LoL match between Shifters and Fnatic in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 24 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win the match against Fnatic. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against Shifters. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Fnatic
102¢
81¢
60¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

4h ago

$1,188 on Fnatic at 64¢

64¢100¢36¢

LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

5h ago

$1,246 on Fnatic at 63¢

63¢100¢37¢

LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

6h ago

$3,155 on Shifters at 39¢

39¢0¢39¢

LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

6h ago

$3,441 on Shifters at 38¢

38¢0¢38¢

LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

6h ago

$10,533 on Fnatic at 63¢

63¢100¢37¢

LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

6h ago

$991 on Fnatic at 63¢

63¢100¢37¢

Related Theses

Shifters vs Fnatic Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter