Part of: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between TheMongolz and G2 in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win the match against TheMongolz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $65,167.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Serial esports bettor
Serial cross-market sports/esports trader with a large sample and positive P&L bought $5.2k of TheMongolz at 80¢, making this worth surfacing despite only one signal.
- This bettor has a deep track record: 268 resolved bets with a 63% win rate and positive lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 29 events, suggesting this is part of a repeated strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- The $5.2k buy at 80¢ is meaningful size in a liquid esports market and backs the current favorite.
$5,171 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 71%
Proven esports sharp fades favorite
Sharp, highly experienced cross-market bettor with 79% wins and +$86k lifetime is fading TheMongolz by selling at 76¢, equivalent to buying G2 at 24¢.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $86k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 27 events, with $65k in similar positioning tracked.
- Selling TheMongolz at 76¢ is equivalent to buying G2 at 24¢ as the underdog.
$1,140 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp cluster backs underdog
Three wallets, including a highly profitable 79% winner and serial cross-market bettors, are taking the G2 underdog side amid a large pre-event volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 79% of resolved trades is effectively backing G2 and is up $86K lifetime.
- Three wallets put $7.3K on the same underdog side, with G2 priced around 24–25¢.
- Market volume is running 22x above its historical pace before the match, suggesting fresh attention on this side.
$7,340 on G2
Profitable esports whale
A very high-volume serial cross-market bettor with over $2M lifetime profit bought TheMongolz amid a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up about $2.1M lifetime across more than 26,000 resolved trades.
- They are a massive serial trader, with $9.5M flagged across 1,606 markets in 1,385 events.
- The market is seeing a 64x pre-event volume spike, suggesting momentum behind this side.
$1,563 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable serial esports bettor
A profitable serial cross-market sports/esports trader with 233 resolved bets bought $5,000 of G2 at 25¢ while the price broke far below its prior range.
- This bettor has a large track record: 233 resolved bets, a 60% hit rate, and about $83.9K in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 97 events with $629K of recent activity, suggesting this is part of a repeatable betting process.
- G2 was bought at 25¢ after a sharp move down from the prior 50–58¢ range, implying a contrarian value bet at roughly 4x payout.
$5,000 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable esports whale cluster
Three wallets pushed $12K onto TheMongolz amid a 40.7x pre-event volume spike, led by a profitable serial cross-market trader whose entry has already moved from 65¢ to 72¢.
- A profitable bettor with $90K lifetime profit led this move with a nearly $9K buy.
- Three wallets all bought TheMongolz, totaling $12K on the same side before the match.
- The market saw a 40.7x volume spike, and early 65¢ entries have already moved to 72¢.
$12,047 on TheMongolz
Profitable serial esports bettor
Serial cross-market trader with substantial positive P&L bought TheMongolz amid a major pre-event volume spike, though the price has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor has a long track record: 677 resolved bets, 57% wins, and about $74k in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 49 events, suggesting this is part of a repeat betting strategy rather than a one-off punt.
- Market volume spiked 26x before the match, but their 58¢ entry is now trading around 48¢.
$3,601 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Serial cross-market bettor with a strong positive P&L bought TheMongolz amid a large pre-event volume spike, despite the position moving against them since entry.
- This bettor has traded 60 markets across 38 events and is up $44.5K lifetime.
- They bought TheMongolz at 60¢ while the market now sits near 48¢, creating a cheaper entry than the original trade.
- Pre-match volume is running 25.9x above its usual pace, suggesting unusual attention on this matchup.
$1,191 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 54%
Profitable serial esports bettor
A highly experienced cross-market trader with strong lifetime profit bought $6.5k of G2 during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a long track record: 419 resolved bets, 60% wins, and about $452k in lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 232 events, with over $1.7M deployed in similar patterns.
- The market is seeing a 30x pre-event volume spike, and this bettor added $6.5k on G2 at 56¢.
$6,490 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 66%
Elite 93% esports sharp
Elite esports bettor with a 93% long-run win rate and $2.5M profit bought TheMongolz at 45¢ in a liquid BO3 market.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $2.54M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $5.3M traded across 396 events.
- Entry at 45¢ implies they see TheMongolz as meaningfully undervalued versus the market.
$7,723 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 88%
Related Theses
FUT wins in three maps
Covers 3 related markets
Spirit wins after dropping Game 1
Covers 3 related markets
FUT sweeps EDward Gaming
Covers 3 related markets
Monte beats paiN
Covers 4 related markets
G2 sweeps BIG
Covers 3 related markets
TYLOO sweeps 9z
Covers 3 related markets
B8 sweep BIG
Covers 3 related markets
FUT wins in three maps
Covers 4 related markets
