This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up about $1.95M lifetime. They are a serial cross-market trader across 36 events with the same 96% hit rate. Buying No at 56¢ fades a market where Yes has climbed 20.5 points over the past week.

Part of: San Marino vs. Bangladesh

Will San Marino win on 2026-06-05?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,989.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor is taking the contrarian San Marino win side, though the market has moved against the entry since the trade.

This bettor has a long record across 43 markets and is up $24.1K lifetime.
They are taking the contrarian San Marino win side at an effective 31¢ entry.
The market is now around 27¢, so copy entries are cheaper than the bettor’s price.

$1,642 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

84% winner leads No cluster

Three profitable serial sports traders bought No together, led by a bettor with an 84% record over 2,324 resolved markets and immediate price confirmation from ~74¢ to 88¢.

A bettor who wins 84% of resolved markets joined this trade and is up $67k lifetime.
Three wallets bought $8.3k of No together, including traders with millions in prior Polymarket volume.
Their average entry was about 74¢ and the market has already moved to 88¢, so this looks like sharp one-sided flow.

$8,271 on No

96% winner buys NO

Surface because a highly profitable 96% winner with extensive cross-market history is buying No despite recent Yes momentum.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up about $1.95M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 36 events with the same 96% hit rate.
Buying No at 56¢ fades a market where Yes has climbed 20.5 points over the past week.

$1,076 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

0xa8d9...48a6 — Outcome 18025928, $10,000 (51% win rate)
0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 83391716, $5,782 (63% win rate)
0x507e...beae — Outcome 18025928, $2,358 (50% win rate)
0x0c84...a8ed — Outcome 83391716, $2,324 (94% win rate)
0x2117...5c26 — Outcome 83391716, $1,828 (68% win rate)
0xe1fa...9c2c — Outcome 83391716, $1,500 (96% win rate)
0xa386...cb0f — Outcome 83391716, $1,399 (77% win rate)
0xfaee...c167 — Outcome 83391716, $1,241 (56% win rate)
0x23df...640a — Outcome 83391716, $1,013
0xdefa...d902 — Outcome 83391716, $1,000

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Will San Marino win on 2026-06-05?

ResolvedSan Marino vs. Bangladesh$10,989 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFifa Friendly

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 5, 2026 If San Marino wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.