Part of: Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 14, 2026 If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
48 smart money signals detected, totaling $407,631.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor fading favorite
A proven 75% lifetime bettor with positive P&L is fading Real Madrid after a sharp price run-up, effectively backing No at 10¢.
- This bettor has won 75% of 258 resolved trades and is up $23K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 65 events with $137K in tracked activity.
- They sold Yes at 90¢ after a fast 21-point price jump, effectively backing No at 10¢.
$1,193 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
Sharp serial trader fading favorite
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 75% record and positive lifetime P&L is fading Real Madrid after a sharp upward move and volume spike.
- This bettor has won 75% of 258 resolved bets and is up $23.3K lifetime.
- They are fading an 88% favorite after a fast 21-point move upward in under 3 minutes.
- Market volume is running 14.4x above normal, suggesting unusually heavy pre-game positioning.
$1,153 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
92% sports sharp buying
Proven high-performing sports/cross-market bettor bought $12.3k of Real Madrid Yes amid a sharp pre-event volume and price surge.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $490k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 58 events with the same 92% win rate.
- The buy came during a 20x volume spike and a fast 21-point move upward in under 3 minutes.
$12,258 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Perfect-record bettor fades favorite
Surface due to a perfect-record profitable wallet fading Real Madrid at 86%, despite two other sellers appearing to be profit-taking after the price run-up.
- One seller has won 11 of 11 resolved bets and is up $16.9k lifetime.
- The trade is equivalent to buying No at 14¢ against an 86% favorite.
- Three wallets sold $7.4k of Yes after a sharp 21-point price jump.
$7,367 on No
Serial sports bettor chasing momentum
Surface because a very active sports trader is buying into a fast-moving Real Madrid Yes market amid a major volume spike, though their lifetime P&L is slightly negative.
- This bettor has traded 348 events and wins 78% of resolved bets across 809 outcomes.
- The market saw a 19.8x volume spike and Yes jumped 21 points in under 3 minutes.
- They put $16K on Yes at 88¢, showing conviction despite already-high odds.
$16,093 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
92% winner-led cluster
Three wallets, including a highly profitable 92% winner, simultaneously bought Real Madrid Yes at 67¢ before the market jumped to 86¢.
- One bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $114,948 lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same side within 1 second, totaling $5.1K at 67¢.
- The market moved sharply after their entry, with Yes rising from 67¢ to 86¢.
$5,104 on Yes
Serial sports trader fading move
Serial cross-market trader with a large 1,677-bet history is fading Real Madrid after a sharp 17-point Yes move, making this a notable contrarian sports trade.
- This bettor has a deep track record, winning 71% of 1,677 resolved bets with $9,260 in profit.
- They are fading Real Madrid after Yes jumped 17 percentage points in a highly active market.
- The trade converts to buying No at 14¢, a contrarian position against the current 86% favorite.
$1,634 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%
New profitable sports wallet
Very new wallet is making repeat $3k-sized Real Madrid bets and already has an early profitable resolved position, with market volume spiking ahead of the match.
- This wallet is less than 6 hours old but has already placed nearly $5.9k in flagged bets.
- It has one resolved win so far and is up $3.9k on $6.9k invested.
- Market activity is running 14x above normal, suggesting fresh attention before resolution.
$2,966 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
86% win-rate sports sharp
Surface because a highly profitable 86% win-rate serial sports trader is buying Real Madrid Yes despite the market being very liquid and recently drifting down.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $686k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $689k deployed across 176 events.
- Buying Yes at 71¢ goes against a recent 10-point weekly price drop.
$2,201 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
New repeat whale
A brand-new wallet has repeatedly placed large bets, including a $20k Real Madrid Yes buy, with $94.5k flagged across 12 recent alerts and early positive P&L despite limited history.
- This wallet is only 4.5 hours old but has already made $94.5k in flagged large bets.
- The bettor is already up about $10.4k on $52.1k invested, though the track record is still very small.
- They bought $20k of Yes at 74¢ while the market sits around 70–71¢, signaling conviction despite recent price weakness.
$20,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
Top Holders
- 0x5af4...a7df — Yes, $177,382 (40% win rate)
- 0xe26c...88cf — No, $170,065 (100% win rate)
- 0x9f2f...2ca8 — Yes, $130,000 (50% win rate)
- 0x39d3...9ef0 — No, $110,677 (44% win rate)
- 0x5c3a...020b — Yes, $105,931 (57% win rate)
- 0x2d7b...e2ce — No, $105,349 (100% win rate)
- 0x57cd...a0fb — No, $99,999 (52% win rate)
- 0x1eaf...9bf0 — Yes, $66,159 (65% win rate)
- 0x62ca...1760 — No, $60,000 (96% win rate)
- 0x84cf...2f63 — Yes, $54,779 (51% win rate)
