Part of: Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC

Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-19?

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $264,046.

Notable Trades

Three-wallet coordinated No position

Three wallets coordinated $11,050 in No shares at 39¢, alongside an extreme volume spike and related-event positioning, making this a meaningful bearish soccer signal despite mixed wallet quality.

Three wallets bought $11,050 of No at 39¢, with the position already marked around 42¢.
The trade coincided with a 9,130x historical volume spike and positioning across three related event markets.
One participant has won 72% of 35,651 resolved bets and earned $5.4M lifetime, though the other wallets are less proven.

$11,050 on No

Perfect-record bettor scaling into Yes

A proven bettor with 39 straight wins and $1.35M profit added $102.9K to an existing large Yes position amid an extreme volume spike.

This bettor has won 39 of 39 resolved positions and earned $1.35M in profit.
They added $102.9K to an existing $220K Yes position, showing strong conviction on Seattle.
The trades drove a reported 9,130x surge over historical volume, despite the market being highly liquid.

$102,910 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettors stack Seattle Yes

A concentrated $81,000 Yes position combines a 100%-win-rate bettor adding to an existing stake with a highly profitable 72%-win-rate trader and an extreme event-volume spike.

Three wallets put $81,045 on Yes, including a bettor with 39 wins from 39 resolved positions and $1.35 million in profit.
The largest wallet is adding to a $220,000 existing Yes position, while another trader has a 72% win rate across 35,651 resolved bets and $5.4 million in profit.
Trading volume was 2,260 times the historical average, although the market has only moved modestly from roughly 56% to 58%.

$127,045 on Yes

Veteran cross-market bettor scales into Yes

A highly active, profitable cross-market trader made a fresh Yes bet alongside positioning in two other markets during an extreme pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has resolved results across 35,651 markets, a 72% win rate, and $5.4M in reported profit.
They placed $25,916 across three markets in the same event, including this $3,826 Yes bet at 56¢.
The market saw a 4,866x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong pre-event positioning.

$3,826 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%

Serial cross-market bettor buys Yes

A highly experienced serial cross-market trader made a fresh $16.4K Yes position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, making this a strong directional trade worth monitoring despite only moderate historical edge versus entry prices.

This bettor has traded 2,213 markets across 1,297 events and is up $5.4M lifetime.
They placed $16,368 on Yes across three purchases, with the market's volume running 6,257× its historical average.
The position entered around 54¢, implying a substantially higher view of Seattle's win probability than the market's current 56% price suggests.

$16,368 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%

95% winner scaling into No

A highly profitable 95% win-rate trader is adding $1,838 to an existing No position at 44¢.

This bettor has won 55 of 58 resolved positions and is up $1.46M.
The trader is adding $1,838 to an existing No position, bringing total investment to over $6,000.
They have traded across 73 events and 81 markets, suggesting a sustained, repeatable edge.

$1,838 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

Elite sharp buying No

A highly proven bettor with an 89% win rate and substantial edge is taking a fresh $1,009 position on No.

This bettor has won 89% of 2,448 resolved positions and is up $3.2 million.
The trade is a fresh $1,009 bet on No at 40¢, despite Yes being the slight market favorite.
The wallet has traded across 1,598 markets with a reported 31% edge over implied odds.

$1,009 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

0x7ad7...42aa — Outcome 10702731, $220,000 (100% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 54497261, $13,520
0x9f41...8f27 — Outcome 10702731, $7,098 (86% win rate)
0x0a77...9d74 — Outcome 10702731, $1,573
0x8532...738b — Outcome 10702731, $1,000 (50% win rate)
0x03c6...3dd2 — Outcome 10702731, $820
0x71bf...f6ed — Outcome 10702731, $693 (97% win rate)
0x0f17...2c20 — Outcome 10702731, $409
0xb47e...c602 — Outcome 10702731, $375
0xf6aa...178e — Outcome 10702731, $300 (86% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout

Covers 14 related markets

Paraguay fails to win

Covers 3 related markets

Austria routs Argentina after halftime

Covers 9 related markets

Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless

Covers 10 related markets

Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet

Covers 8 related markets

Ecuador wins big to nil

Covers 7 related markets

Tunisia beats Japan 3-0

Covers 9 related markets

Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-19?

ResolvedSeattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC$264,046 tracked7 signalsGamesSoccerSportsMLS

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 19, 2026 If Seattle Sounders FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No”

58¢

48¢

39¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction