Part of: Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?

This Polymarket tracks whether Kimi Antonelli will win the 2026 Formula 1 Italian Grand Prix at Monza, scheduled for September 6, 2026. The market resolves using the FIA’s official Final Classification and resolves to “Other” if the race is canceled or moved beyond September 13, 2026.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,036.

Categories: Formula 1, f1, Sports, Grand Prix, Games

Notable Trades

Serial trader scales into Antonelli

A serial cross-market trader added $3,036 to an existing Yes position at 87–89¢ in a thin market before the price surged to 99¢, though their overall record is only moderately strong.

  • The trader added $3,036 at 87–89¢, and Yes has since risen to 99¢.
  • This was an increase to an existing $6,586 position, signaling reinforced conviction rather than a first-time punt.
  • The wallet has traded across 64 markets and is up $35,147, but its 64% win rate is not exceptional relative to its typical 80¢ entries.

$3,036 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 42250624, $26,525
  2. 0x168a...da29 Outcome 42250624, $25,348 (82% win rate)
  3. 0x1e3a...9e14 Outcome 42250624, $3,792
  4. 0x5452...d448 Outcome 42250624, $2,318 (78% win rate)
  5. 0x775d...6beb Outcome 42250624, $2,188 (76% win rate)
  6. 0x3f58...d93a Outcome 42250624, $1,736
  7. 0x16cb...2704 Outcome 42250624, $1,578 (75% win rate)
  8. 0x8f41...260e Outcome 42250624, $1,570 (58% win rate)
  9. 0x5159...d7ae Outcome 42250624, $1,500
  10. 0x521b...55d1 Outcome 42250624, $1,324

Related Theses

England fails to win

Covers 1 related market

Japan fails to win

Covers 1 related market

Norway-France stays under 4.5

Covers 1 related market

France Sweden stays low scoring

Covers 1 related market

Panama England exceed 2.5 goals

Covers 2 related markets

Spain Austria stays under 3.5

Covers 1 related market

Portugal Croatia stays low scoring

Covers 1 related market

Australia Egypt stays low scoring

Covers 1 related market

Argentina Cabo Verde stays low-scoring

Covers 1 related market

England will not win

Covers 1 related market

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?

1dItalian Grand Prix: Driver Winner$3,036 tracked1 signalFormula 1f1SportsGrand PrixGames

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Price History — “Yes
102¢
53¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?

5d ago

$3,036 on Yes at 88¢

Related Theses