Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

20 smart money signals detected, totaling $109,763.

Categories: Games, Tennis, Sports

Notable Trades

87% serial sports trader

Surface because this is a very active cross-market sports trader with an 87% resolved win rate making a $24.8k Ruud buy amid a pre-match volume spike and rapid price move, despite negative lifetime P&L.

  • This bettor has won 87% of 240 resolved bets across 219 events, with $4.8M in cross-market activity.
  • They put $24.8k on Casper Ruud at 89¢ during a 24.6x pre-event volume spike.
  • Ruud also moved up 11 percentage points in five minutes, suggesting strong short-term momentum around the same side.

$24,772 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 87%

94% winner backing Ruud

A highly profitable 94% win-rate wallet is effectively backing Casper Ruud, with a strong serial cross-market record and recent price movement supporting the direction.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $339K lifetime.
  • They are effectively buying Casper Ruud at 80¢ by selling Lorenzo Musetti at 20¢.
  • Musetti’s price dropped 11 points in five minutes, matching this sharp wallet’s direction.

$1,558 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 89%

Profitable serial bettor on underdog

A highly profitable serial sports bettor bought Musetti alongside one-sided wallet flow and a large pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 73% of nearly 5,000 resolved bets and is up $7.9M lifetime.
  • Five wallets are all buying the same side, totaling about $15k on Musetti.
  • Market activity jumped 23.7x above normal before the match, suggesting fresh conviction on the underdog.

$5,528 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable whale joins 5-wallet push

A high-volume profitable tennis trader joined a 5-wallet one-sided push on Musetti amid a 23.7x pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor is a major sports trader with $685K lifetime profit across $97M invested.
  • Five wallets are all buying Lorenzo Musetti, totaling $15K on the same side.
  • Volume is running 23.7x above normal before the match, suggesting fresh momentum behind Musetti.

$1,870 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 53%

Proven tennis bettor joins flow

Surface: proven 73% winner with positive P&L is buying Casper Ruud alongside one-sided flow from four wallets and a pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 213 resolved trades and is up $17,098 lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought Casper Ruud in the same window for $7,803 total.
  • Market volume is spiking 18.8x above normal, suggesting fresh money is moving in before the match.

$2,000 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable serial sports trader

A high-volume, profitable serial cross-market trader joined one-sided Casper Ruud flow during a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has a massive history across 40,115 resolved bets and is up $682k lifetime.
  • Four wallets are all buying Casper Ruud, totaling $7.8k on the same side.
  • Market volume spiked 18.8x before the match, suggesting fresh positioning around Ruud.

$1,037 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 53%

Profitable bettors chasing move

Surface with caution: several profitable tennis bettors pushed Ruud higher during a sharp volume spike, though opposing flow on Musetti weakens the signal.

  • Two profitable wallets joined the Ruud side, including one up $2.25M lifetime across 27k resolved bets.
  • Ruud jumped about 11 points in five minutes during a 30x pre-match volume spike.
  • This is not one-sided overall: a larger group also bought Musetti, so the signal is momentum-driven rather than clean consensus.

$5,574 on Casper Ruud

Elite sharp buying underdog

Elite sports bettor with a 93% win rate and $2.58M profit is buying Musetti alongside one-sided flow and a major pre-match volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $2.58M lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 403 events with a 93% win rate.
  • Four wallets are buying Musetti the same way, with market volume spiking 70x above normal.

$1,107 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable serial sports sharp

Proven profitable sports bettor with a 79% win rate is buying Casper Ruud alongside one-sided market flow and a major pre-match volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $373K lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought Casper Ruud in the same window, totaling nearly $33K.
  • Market volume is surging 46x above normal before the match.

$3,200 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable serial tennis bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader made a $26k Casper Ruud buy amid one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 64% of 239 resolved trades and is up $644k lifetime.
  • They placed $26k on Casper Ruud while 4 wallets bought the same side for $32.9k total.
  • Market volume spiked 45.9x before the match, suggesting strong momentum behind this side.

$26,000 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 60159669, $36,464 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x9c76...c926 Outcome 60159669, $19,827 (91% win rate)
  3. 0x0dcf...c556 Outcome 60159669, $15,645 (95% win rate)
  4. 0xa9c4...7433 Outcome 60159669, $10,073 (77% win rate)
  5. 0x3e26...e4d1 Outcome 60159669, $7,000 (39% win rate)
  6. 0xaa4c...7bfd Outcome 60159669, $6,244 (71% win rate)
  7. 0x21f3...35e3 Outcome 60159669, $5,774 (74% win rate)
  8. 0xc2de...ef3a Outcome 60159669, $5,405 (100% win rate)
  9. 0x01c7...e995 Outcome 60159669, $5,227 (62% win rate)
  10. 0x90ba...63f3 Outcome 60159669, $5,189 (80% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spirit wins after dropping Game 1

Covers 3 related markets

Iran closes airspace mid-June

Covers 6 related markets

Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

ResolvedInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud$109,763 tracked20 signalsGamesTennisSports

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Casper Ruud in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Casper Ruud. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Lorenzo Musetti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

50d ago

$24,772 on Casper Ruud at 89¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

50d ago

$1,558 on Casper Ruud at 80¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

50d ago

$5,528 on Lorenzo Musetti at 41¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

50d ago

$1,870 on Lorenzo Musetti at 38¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

50d ago

$2,000 on Casper Ruud at 64¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

50d ago

$1,037 on Casper Ruud at 63¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

50d ago

$5,574 on Casper Ruud at 64¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

50d ago

$1,107 on Lorenzo Musetti at 39¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

50d ago

$3,200 on Casper Ruud at 64¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

50d ago

$26,000 on Casper Ruud at 63¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

50d ago

$2,000 on Casper Ruud at 64¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

50d ago

$3,296 on Lorenzo Musetti at 37¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

50d ago

$6,074 on Lorenzo Musetti at 39¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

50d ago

$4,600 on Casper Ruud at 63¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

50d ago

$4,864 on Casper Ruud at 63¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

50d ago

$1,000 on Lorenzo Musetti at 37¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

50d ago

$2,000 on Lorenzo Musetti at 37¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

51d ago

$10,050 on Casper Ruud at 67¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

51d ago

$1,300 on Casper Ruud at 65¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

51d ago

$1,934 on Casper Ruud at 63¢

Related Theses