Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud
This prediction market covers the Internazionali BNL d'Italia tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Casper Ruud, scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with resolution expected by May 19, 2026 if a winner is determined. PolySpotter is tracking $1,300 in smart money across 1 signal, including alerts from a perfect-record sports sharp backing the favorite.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Casper Ruud in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Casper Ruud. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Lorenzo Musetti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,234.
Categories: Games, Tennis, Sports
Notable Trades
93% winner backs favorite
Surface due to a proven sharp bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L buying Casper Ruud at 65¢.
- This bettor has won 13 of 14 resolved bets and is up $4,542 lifetime.
- Their past wins averaged 67¢ entries, so a 65¢ Casper Ruud buy fits their proven betting range.
- The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, making the 65¢ entry easy to copy without much slippage.
$1,300 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 93%
Perfect-record sports sharp
Elite sports bettor with a perfect 107-0 resolved record and $1.7M profit bought Casper Ruud at 63¢, supported by a long serial cross-market history.
- This bettor has won 107 of 107 resolved positions and is up $1.74M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 144 events with nearly $3.0M in tracked volume.
- Buying Casper Ruud at 63¢ suggests confidence despite an already fairly liquid market.
$1,934 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x8f3c...2f57 — Casper Ruud, $15,401 (44% win rate)
- 0x45e4...7e20 — Casper Ruud, $12,480 (40% win rate)
- 0x8a3a...eb9a — Casper Ruud, $8,782 (100% win rate)
- 0x187b...26bf — Casper Ruud, $6,123 (46% win rate)
- 0xc0f3...8dd9 — Lorenzo Musetti, $5,202 (53% win rate)
- 0x90ba...63f3 — Lorenzo Musetti, $4,989 (78% win rate)
- 0xd179...74ad — Casper Ruud, $4,500 (50% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Lorenzo Musetti, $4,000 (55% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Lorenzo Musetti, $3,171 (74% win rate)
- 0x4379...2e16 — Lorenzo Musetti, $3,000 (67% win rate)
