Part of: France vs. Senegal
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $655,618.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
New whale-led Yes cluster
High-score coordinated Yes flow: six wallets put $22k behind Senegal, including a very new repeat large bettor and a serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate.
- Six wallets all backed the same outcome, putting $22.2k on Yes in one cluster.
- A 7-day-old repeat large bettor has already triggered 15 alerts totaling $283k.
- The cluster paid 18¢, while the market is now around 14¢, giving a cheaper entry than their fills.
$22,224 on Yes
Coordinated cross-market flow
High-scoring coordinated Senegal Yes flow, with 3 wallets aligned here and broader same-event positioning across 3 markets totaling $175k.
- Three wallets all bought the same side, putting $9.1k on Senegal Yes at 18¢.
- The same event has coordinated positioning across 3 markets totaling $175k.
- One new wallet has been repeatedly flagged, with $283k in large bets across 15 alerts.
$9,137 on Yes
12-0 sharp led No surge
A 12-for-12 profitable wallet led a large No move, with $338k bought at 34¢ before the market repriced to 86¢ amid coordinated one-sided flow.
- This bettor is 12-for-12 on resolved trades and up $2.85M lifetime.
- They bought about $338k of No at 34¢ before the market jumped to 86¢.
- Four wallets bought the same No side for roughly $453k during a major volume spike.
$437,823 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
Perfect 32-0 bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a perfect 32-0 resolved record and positive lifetime P&L bought Senegal No at 88%.
- This bettor has won 32 of 32 resolved trades and is up $12,808 lifetime.
- Their wins came at average odds of 64%, so the perfect record is not just from buying heavy favorites.
- They put $3,960 on No at 88% in a liquid soccer market.
$3,960 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
96% winner buying No
Elite sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Senegal No at 88¢, backed by serial cross-market success and a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $83.7K lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 57 events with a 96% win rate.
- Entry at 88¢ suggests a high-conviction favorite-side position before kickoff.
$6,797 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
85% winner backs No
Sharp 85% lifetime winner with strong cross-market history is buying No despite an already liquid market.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $82K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 26 events with the same 85% hit rate.
- Market volume is surging before the match, with a 312x spike versus its historical average.
$2,057 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports bettor bought $43.5k of No amid a major pre-event volume spike, making this a credible copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor has won 63% of 484 resolved bets and is up $1.6M lifetime.
- They placed a $43.5k bet on No at 87¢, showing strong conviction against Senegal winning.
- This came during a 312x pre-event volume spike, suggesting heavy positioning before the match.
$43,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 63%
86% winner backs No
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with an 86% win rate bought $8.8k of No at 88¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $1.06M lifetime.
- They have traded 294 events and $7.5M across markets, suggesting a proven sports edge.
- Market volume spiked 31x above normal before the game, adding momentum to the No side.
$8,800 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
New whale backing No
A 14-hour-old repeat whale put $100k on No, its fourth large flagged position in a day, suggesting concentrated conviction despite limited track record.
- A brand-new wallet put $100k on the same side in two trades.
- This is its 4th large flagged bet, with $143k total already deployed.
- Entry at 88¢ is a high-confidence favorite bet with limited upside but strong sizing.
$100,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 98%
Unbeaten new whale
A 23-day-old repeat large bettor with a 7-0 resolved record and +$16.7k P&L put $18.6k on No.
- This new bettor is 7-for-7 on resolved trades and is up $16.7k so far.
- They have now triggered 21 large-bet alerts, totaling about $155k in flagged positions.
- This $18.6k buy on No is fresh conviction at 87¢ in a liquid sports market.
$18,624 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xf28e...cab2 — Outcome 68110647, $940,301 (89% win rate)
- 0xd1c5...cbd0 — Outcome 68110647, $803,076 (94% win rate)
- 0x408f...b2f4 — Outcome 68110647, $581,239 (100% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 92022632, $490,559
- 0xfb3e...a19a — Outcome 68110647, $77,936 (100% win rate)
- 0x44a1...bd21 — Outcome 68110647, $51,000 (59% win rate)
- 0x2190...bee9 — Outcome 68110647, $50,000
- 0x2bf0...728f — Outcome 68110647, $47,237 (84% win rate)
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — Outcome 68110647, $35,496 (97% win rate)
- 0x8706...f8cc — Outcome 68110647, $33,262
Related Theses
Knicks win 2026 Finals
Covers 4 related markets
Germany advances in goal-filled match
Covers 3 related markets
