Part of: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner
This Polymarket market predicts the Map 2 winner between MOUZ and G2 in their Counter-Strike 2 PGL Astana Group Stage match. It resolves to MOUZ or G2 based on who wins Map 2, with resolution expected on May 10, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,423 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal, with recent alerts pointing to G2 buying interest.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between MOUZ and G2 in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 10 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win Map 2 against MOUZ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,113.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable esports mover
A highly profitable high-volume esports bettor bought MOUZ early at 26¢ before the market surged to 82%, with related positioning across three markets in the same event.
- This bettor is up $1.9M lifetime across more than 25,000 resolved trades.
- They bought MOUZ at 26¢ before the price jumped to 82%, showing very strong timing.
- The wallet has $10.3K positioned across 3 related markets in this same match.
$1,423 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 55%
98% winner buying G2
Elite 98% winner with a strong cross-market track record is buying G2, with linked-wallet context and rapid price movement supporting the signal.
- This bettor has won 39 of 40 resolved trades and is up $184K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 35 events with a 98% hit rate.
- G2 moved up 10.5 points in about 3 minutes as this side attracted action.
$2,100 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 98%
New repeat whale
Brand-new wallet with repeated large flagged bets bought G2 at 43% before a sharp move, though the position is currently marked down to 25%.
- This wallet is only 37 minutes old but has already made 5 large flagged bets totaling $11.2K.
- The G2 buy helped drive a fast 10.5-point price move in under 4 minutes.
- Entry at 43¢ was a high-conviction underdog bet, but the market has since moved against it to 25¢.
$1,735 on G2
Cluster buying G2 dip
Three wallets, including a brand-new repeat large bettor and two profitable high-volume esports traders, clustered into G2 despite the price moving sharply against them.
- Three wallets bought $5.9K of G2 on the same map, creating one-sided flow into the underdog.
- One wallet is only 31 minutes old but has already triggered 5 large-bet alerts totaling $11.2K.
- Two participating wallets are profitable over more than 2,000 resolved bets each, with combined profits near $140K.
$5,861 on G2
Repeat new-wallet G2 buyer
New 8-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large esports bets and is buying G2 despite a negative early P&L, with modest supporting price momentum.
- This 8-day-old wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts totaling $19.2K.
- The bettor put $3.3K on G2 at 55¢ as the price jumped 10.5 points in about 3 minutes.
- Market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like a deliberate directional esports bet rather than thin-market noise.
$3,344 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 75%
Serial esports winner
Serial cross-market sports trader with a large sample and positive P&L bought G2 at 53%, though the signal is only moderate and the bet size is not unusually large for market liquidity.
- This bettor has a long track record: 63% wins across 1,000 resolved markets and $121.9K in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 187 events with $3.86M in tracked bets.
- Entry at 53¢ is already slightly ahead of the current 55¢ market price.
$2,650 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 63%
98% win-rate bettor
Surfacing because a highly proven esports bettor with a 98% historical win rate bought G2 at 56% in a liquid CS map market.
- This bettor has won 190 of 194 resolved positions and is up $158K lifetime.
- They bought G2 at 56¢, showing confidence despite a fairly balanced market.
- The wallet’s average winning entry is 53¢, close to this trade’s price range.
$1,000 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 98%
Top Holders
- 0x2005...75ea — MOUZ, $28,278 (55% win rate)
- 0x5bbe...c65d — G2, $25,555
- 0x67bb...b6ef — G2, $25,447 (63% win rate)
- 0x64c5...d255 — MOUZ, $25,247
- 0x8148...3143 — G2, $21,260
- 0x3b4c...e850 — MOUZ, $20,617
- 0x31b0...8bf3 — MOUZ, $12,866 (51% win rate)
- 0xfa88...85a5 — MOUZ, $11,830 (66% win rate)
- 0x56c9...0d9e — G2, $8,593 (92% win rate)
- 0x6df6...8458 — MOUZ, $6,862 (68% win rate)
Related Theses
G2 wins Map 2
Covers 1 related market
