Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 29 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $31,961.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

94% winner buying spread

Sharp sports wallet with a 94% record and strong profit is buying Cavaliers -9.5 at an even 50¢ entry.

  • This bettor has won 16 of 17 resolved bets and is up $28.1K lifetime.
  • Their wins came at average 54¢ odds, so the track record is not just from chasing heavy favorites.
  • They are putting $5.8K on Cavaliers -9.5 at 50¢, implying they see meaningful value at even odds.

$5,811 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 94%

Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$1,346 | Wallet win rate: 80%

18-0 spread bettor

Despite a low alert score, this is worth surfacing because the bettor has an exceptional 18-0 resolved record with strong profits and is taking Raptors +9.5 at near-even odds.

  • This bettor has won 18 of 18 resolved trades and is up $21.6K lifetime.
  • They bought Raptors +9.5 at 51¢, a near-even entry on a liquid NBA spread market.
  • Market activity is running 20.6x above its historical average ahead of tipoff.

$7,486 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 100%

97% winner on NBA spread

Elite sports bettor with a 97% resolved win record and $1.26M profit is buying Cavaliers -9.5 at even odds.

  • This bettor has won 150 of 154 resolved positions and is up $1.26M lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader with $6.7M in tracked volume across 286 events.
  • Entry at 50¢ means they are backing Cavaliers -9.5 at essentially even odds.

$5,000 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 97%

95% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought $4.6k of Raptors +9.5 at roughly even odds.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $164k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 50 events with a 95% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • A $4.6k buy at 51¢ backs Raptors +9.5 despite a near-even market.

$4,606 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-term record is buying Cavaliers -9.5 during a sharp pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 232 resolved bets and is up about $1.74M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 64 events and 92 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
  • Entry at 48¢ is near even money while market volume is spiking 134x above baseline.

$1,235 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 67%

Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$6,478 | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9495...9a27 Cavaliers, $116,551 (67% win rate)
  2. 0xdd92...6b2a Raptors, $39,998 (44% win rate)
  3. 0x820c...cb55 Raptors, $23,847 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xacb2...b989 Raptors, $20,255 (45% win rate)
  5. 0xf09a...a371 Raptors, $14,704 (100% win rate)
  6. 0xf070...ac55 Raptors, $12,222 (64% win rate)
  7. 0x1cc0...b7e9 Cavaliers, $11,623 (94% win rate)
  8. 0x9770...0ff5 Cavaliers, $10,000 (51% win rate)
  9. 0x3625...1187 Cavaliers, $10,000 (97% win rate)
  10. 0xd6bd...3096 Raptors, $9,030 (95% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)

Resolved$31,961 tracked7 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Cavaliers
52¢
Raptors
49¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 29 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

TOR
2-2
CLE
2-2
Draft Kings
Spread: CLE -9.5O/U: 218.5ML: +285/-360
Win Prob
Poly: 52¢
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)

15m ago

$5,811 on Cavaliers at 50¢

50¢52¢2¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)

3h ago

$1,346

Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)

4h ago

$7,486 on Raptors at 51¢

51¢49¢2¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)

4h ago

$5,000 on Cavaliers at 50¢

50¢52¢2¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)

5h ago

$4,606 on Raptors at 51¢

51¢49¢2¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)

6h ago

$1,235 on Cavaliers at 48¢

48¢52¢4¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)

6h ago

$6,478

Related Theses

Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) | PolySpotter