Part of: LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
This Polymarket prediction market covers the LEC Regular Season best-of-three League of Legends match between Movistar KOI and G2 Esports, scheduled for May 10 at 12:00 PM ET. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with $8,170 in smart money tracked across 5 signals, including profitable esports-linked wallets and funded-cluster activity.
This market refers to the LoL match between Movistar KOI and G2 Esports in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 10 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against G2 Esports. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against Movistar KOI. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
29 smart money signals detected, totaling $145,177.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster buying underdog
Seven-wallet cluster bought Movistar KOI against the market, including multiple profitable esports/cross-market traders and one 86% winner, though the price has since moved sharply against them.
- Seven wallets put $15.4K on Movistar KOI, including several long-running profitable bettors.
- One buyer wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $446K lifetime across 102 positions.
- This is a contrarian underdog bet: they entered around 37–38¢, but the market has fallen to 16¢.
$15,448 on Movistar KOI
Profitable esports momentum cluster
Profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a 9-wallet one-sided move on G2 that has already pushed price from 63% to 84% amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has a long track record: 552 resolved bets, 62% wins, and about $418K profit.
- 9 wallets bought the same G2 side for $24K, helping move the price about 20 percentage points.
- Entry at 63¢ is now 84¢, showing strong market confirmation after the trade.
$1,260 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 62%
Sharp joined G2 crowd
Sharp 76% winner joined a 9-wallet one-sided move on G2 that has already pushed price from 63¢ to 84¢ amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $65.7K lifetime.
- Nine wallets are all buying G2, totaling $24.4K on the same side.
- G2 has already moved from this entry at 63¢ to 84¢ after a 15x volume spike.
$1,547 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 76%
Serial esports trader joins G2 flow
High-scoring esports alert with a 72% serial cross-market trader joining 9-wallet one-sided flow on G2, though the individual entry is now slightly underwater and the wallet is lifetime negative.
- This bettor has won 72% of 1,415 resolved trades across 59 events, showing broad repeat activity in similar markets.
- Nine wallets bought G2 in the same window for $24.4K total, pushing the price up 20 percentage points.
- Market volume spiked 15x before the match, suggesting strong pre-event positioning on G2.
$2,658 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 72%
Proven esports sharp on underdog
Proven 86% winner with strong cross-market history bought Movistar KOI as part of one-sided flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $446K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 151 events with an 86% hit rate.
- Six wallets bought Movistar KOI the same way, totaling $11.7K of one-sided flow.
$2,007 on Movistar KOI | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable esports contrarian cluster
A profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a 6-wallet one-sided move on Movistar KOI amid a major pre-event volume spike, though the entry has moved sharply against them.
- This bettor has a long track record across 96 events and is up $112k lifetime.
- 6 wallets bought Movistar KOI the same way, totaling $11.7k in one-sided flow.
- The market saw a 17.8x volume spike before the event, but this entry has fallen from 38¢ to about 12¢.
$1,140 on Movistar KOI | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable serial cross-market esports trader with a large $10.7k G2 buy and 62% win rate across hundreds of resolved bets, though the market is fairly liquid.
- This bettor has a long track record: 62% winners across 552 resolved bets and about $418k in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 170 events and over $900k in detected event-linked volume.
- This is a sizable $10.7k buy on G2 at 67¢, adding conviction despite the market already being liquid.
$10,720 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 62%
Sharp serial bettor backs underdog
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is effectively buying Movistar KOI alongside one-sided group flow, despite the market favoring G2.
- This bettor has a strong track record: 72% winners across 710 resolved trades and about $390K profit.
- Five wallets are all backing Movistar KOI, totaling nearly $14K in the same direction.
- Selling G2 at 68¢ is equivalent to buying Movistar KOI at 32¢, below the current 34¢ market price.
$1,360 on Movistar KOI | Wallet win rate: 72%
92% winner backs underdog
Highly profitable 92% win-rate wallet bought Movistar KOI alongside one-sided flow from 5 wallets, despite the market moving against that side.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $6.1M lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same side, totaling about $14K on Movistar KOI.
- Entry at 32¢ backs the underdog and implies a roughly 3x payout if KOI wins.
$1,666 on Movistar KOI | Wallet win rate: 92%
Five-wallet underdog flow
Despite this wallet's poor history, the alert is worth surfacing because five wallets are buying Movistar KOI together during a major pre-match volume spike and against a sharp recent price drop.
- Five wallets bought Movistar KOI in the same direction, totaling nearly $14K of coordinated underdog flow.
- This trade is part of a larger $27.9K cross-market position on the same event.
- Movistar KOI has fallen about 20 points, so entry near 33¢ is a contrarian rebound bet.
$5,451 on Movistar KOI | Wallet win rate: 34%
Top Holders
- 0x40ea...832f — Movistar KOI, $59,577 (34% win rate)
- 0xe7e1...ec43 — G2 Esports, $56,791 (64% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — G2 Esports, $54,362 (86% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — G2 Esports, $28,000 (62% win rate)
- 0x9b49...04a8 — G2 Esports, $21,177 (85% win rate)
- 0x2307...3934 — Movistar KOI, $19,911 (53% win rate)
- 0xafd4...7e61 — Movistar KOI, $19,500 (64% win rate)
- 0x4337...8882 — Movistar KOI, $18,095 (76% win rate)
- 0xa9c4...7433 — Movistar KOI, $16,836
- 0xea2b...1fc6 — G2 Esports, $15,832 (64% win rate)
