Part of: LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,819.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

83% win-rate contrarian

A proven sharp bettor with an 83% win rate bought into a fast-moving esports market at 33¢ before the price collapsed to 8¢, making this a notable but risky contrarian signal worth watching.

  • This bettor wins 83% of their trades and is up $131k across 228 resolved positions
  • They bought Shifters at 33¢ before the market dropped to 8¢, showing a strong contrarian view
  • Market activity spiked 22x and price moved 24 points, so this is a meaningful position in a fast-moving market

$1,067 on Shifters | Wallet win rate: 85%

3-wallet Fnatic pile-in

Three wallets piled into Fnatic within minutes at 60-69¢ just before a sharp move to 100%, with two of the wallets showing broad cross-market experience and one having a solid positive P&L.

  • Three wallets bought Fnatic within 3 minutes at 60-69¢ before the market jumped to 100%.
  • One bettor has a 67% win rate and is up $34k, and two wallets are active across 31+ events each.
  • The burst came with a 14.7x volume spike and a fast price move, suggesting strong conviction rather than routine flow.

$6,665 on Fnatic

6-wallet Shifters pile-in

Six wallets piled into Shifters for $18k during a major pre-match volume spike, making this coordinated one-sided flow worth watching despite the lead wallet’s only modest track record.

  • Six wallets all bought Shifters, putting $18.3k behind one side in a coordinated push.
  • This hit during a 1229x volume spike, showing sudden conviction right before the match.
  • The lead wallet has been active across 65 related markets, but its 57% win rate is only modest.

$1,760 on Shifters | Wallet win rate: 67%

6-wallet underdog cluster

Surface this because 6 wallets piled into the same underdog side during a major pre-match volume spike, even though this specific wallet has a poor history.

  • 6 wallets bought Shifters together for $18.3k, a strong one-sided flow signal
  • Volume spiked 1229x above normal, suggesting a sudden coordinated thesis before the match
  • This wallet alone is weak, but the cluster bought Shifters around 44¢ while the market now sits near 34¢

$2,326 on Shifters | Wallet win rate: 38%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6842...20d0 Outcome 79387358, $39,887 (58% win rate)
  2. 0x3833...33d1 Outcome 79387358, $7,734 (98% win rate)
  3. 0xf3ef...ca6b Outcome 79387358, $6,894 (60% win rate)
  4. 0x8d9f...787a Outcome 79387358, $5,566 (85% win rate)
  5. 0x8c75...1b0d Outcome 79387358, $5,079 (60% win rate)
  6. 0xc903...b175 Outcome 79387358, $1,990 (75% win rate)
  7. 0x7a0f...1305 Outcome 79387358, $1,925 (91% win rate)
  8. 0x5b10...9659 Outcome 79387358, $1,739 (66% win rate)
  9. 0xe911...3d4e Outcome 79387358, $1,232 (69% win rate)
  10. 0xd3d2...fe85 Outcome 79387358, $1,206 (58% win rate)

Related Theses

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LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedLoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$11,819 tracked4 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Shifters and Fnatic in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 24 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win Game 1 against Fnatic. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win Game 1 against Shifters. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner

26d ago

$1,067 on Shifters at 33¢

LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner

26d ago

$6,665 on Fnatic at 69¢

LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner

26d ago

$1,760 on Shifters at 44¢

LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner

26d ago

$2,326 on Shifters at 44¢

Related Theses