Part of: LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,558.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

93% win-rate serial bettor

Strong esports/cross-market bettor with a 93% resolved win rate bought EDward Gaming at 90¢ before the market moved to 100¢, though the copy window is likely gone.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $138,620 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 123 events and 174 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
  • They bought EDward Gaming at 90¢ before it moved to 100¢, so the edge appears to have already played out.

$1,577 on EDward Gaming | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable regular backs underdog

High composite from coordinated Ultra Prime buying, a major pre-event volume spike, and a profitable serial cross-market trader despite modest single-trade size.

  • This bettor is up $79.6K across 195 resolved markets and regularly trades related esports markets.
  • Four wallets bought Ultra Prime in the same window, totaling about $4.9K on the underdog.
  • Market volume is running 155x above its historical pace, suggesting unusual pre-match attention.

$1,156 on Ultra Prime | Wallet win rate: 56%

Profitable bettor fading favorite

Profitable high-volume esports trader is effectively buying Ultra Prime at 17¢ alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has a long record: 892 resolved bets, 62% wins, and about $190k profit.
  • The trade is effectively a BUY on Ultra Prime at 17¢, while the market now prices them around 24¢.
  • Four wallets are leaning the same way, with volume spiking 155x before the match.

$1,108 on Ultra Prime | Wallet win rate: 63%

82% winner joins EDG wave

High-scoring esports alert with an 82% lifetime winner buying EDward Gaming alongside 11-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-match volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $451K lifetime.
  • 11 wallets bought EDward Gaming in the same window, totaling $28.8K.
  • They entered at 66¢ and EDward Gaming has already moved to 80¢.

$1,869 on EDward Gaming | Wallet win rate: 82%

86% winner with 11-wallet flow

Elite 86% win-rate esports bettor bought EDward Gaming at 55¢ alongside 11-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike, though the price has already moved sharply to 80¢.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $4.5M lifetime.
  • 11 wallets bought the same side, totaling $28.8K on EDward Gaming.
  • The entry at 55¢ has already moved to 80¢, so the edge may be mostly priced in now.

$1,027 on EDward Gaming | Wallet win rate: 86%

Profitable regular with 11-wallet flow

Strong coordinated EDward Gaming buying backed by an experienced profitable wallet, a 240x pre-event volume spike, and an 11-wallet same-side cluster.

  • An experienced bettor with $189k profit and 892 resolved trades bought EDward Gaming at 69¢.
  • 11 wallets are all buying EDward Gaming, totaling $28.8k on the same side.
  • The market saw a 240x pre-event volume spike, and EDward Gaming has already moved from 69¢ to 80¢.

$1,228 on EDward Gaming | Wallet win rate: 63%

10-wallet sharp favorite surge

High-conviction 10-wallet cluster bought $30.5k of EDward Gaming alongside a 155x volume spike, major price impact, and multiple profitable serial cross-market traders.

  • 10 wallets bought the same side for $30.5k, pushing the price up 31 points.
  • Several proven bettors joined the move, including wallets with 93% and 86% win records.
  • Volume spiked 155x above normal, suggesting a major pre-match positioning wave.

$30,504 on EDward Gaming

85% serial esports sharp

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 85% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying EDward Gaming in a moderately liquid esports market.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $247k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 33 events and 47 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 68¢ backs EDward Gaming despite a recent 5.5-point price dip.

$3,090 on EDward Gaming | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 62332431, $9,555 (58% win rate)
  2. 0x4421...80d2 Outcome 62332431, $5,884
  3. 0x8725...eb10 Outcome 62332431, $3,469 (80% win rate)
  4. 0x5b10...9659 Outcome 62332431, $3,300 (63% win rate)
  5. 0xec54...e8c1 Outcome 62332431, $3,000 (67% win rate)
  6. 0x6204...0b06 Outcome 62332431, $2,467 (57% win rate)
  7. 0x5077...4956 Outcome 62332431, $2,250 (68% win rate)
  8. 0x1065...6218 Outcome 62332431, $2,188 (91% win rate)
  9. 0x7a0f...1305 Outcome 62332431, $2,121 (90% win rate)
  10. 0xa97f...a818 Outcome 62332431, $2,000

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedLoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$41,558 tracked8 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Ultra Prime and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for April 30 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ultra Prime" if Ultra Prime win Game 1 against EDward Gaming. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win Game 1 against Ultra Prime. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner

12d ago

$1,577 on EDward Gaming at 90¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner

12d ago

$1,156 on Ultra Prime at 22¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner

12d ago

$1,108 on Ultra Prime at 17¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner

12d ago

$1,869 on EDward Gaming at 66¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner

12d ago

$1,027 on EDward Gaming at 55¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner

12d ago

$1,228 on EDward Gaming at 69¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner

12d ago

$30,504 on EDward Gaming at 88¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner

12d ago

$3,090 on EDward Gaming at 68¢

Related Theses