Part of: Madrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Henrique Rocha

Madrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Henrique Rocha

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,390.

Notable Trades

Profitable new wallet pressing bets

A 2-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and is already profitable, and this trade bought Adolfo Vallejo below the current market price.

This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 8 large-bet alerts totaling $12.4k
It is 2 for 2 so far and up $1.1k on $2.8k invested
Bought Adolfo Vallejo at 65¢ while the market is now 67-68¢

$1,764 on Adolfo Vallejo | Wallet win rate: 52%

Sharp seller into price break

A high-volume sharp wallet with a 76% win rate sold Adolfo at 59¢ into a 26.5-point drop, signaling a likely edge on Henrique Rocha.

This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up $380k across 782 resolved bets
They sold Adolfo at 59¢ just as the market dropped 26.5 points, a strong sign they were ahead of the move
This wallet has traded 45 related events and markets, suggesting a repeatable sports betting edge

$4,934 on Henrique Rocha | Wallet win rate: 77%

97% winner fades favorite

A serial cross-market trader with a 97% win rate sold the heavy favorite, which translates into a buy on Henrique Rocha at 15¢ and is notable despite the modest ticket size.

This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades across 466 bets and has traded 341 markets.
They sold the 85¢ favorite, which is equivalent to buying Henrique Rocha at 15¢.
The bet is small versus market liquidity, but the trader’s long track record makes the contrarian side worth watching.

$1,701 on Henrique Rocha | Wallet win rate: 97%

New-wallet cluster buying favorite

Three wallets piled into Adolfo Vallejo during a 45.6x volume spike, led by a very new repeat bettor, creating a notable coordinated momentum signal despite weak track records from two wallets.

A 3-wallet cluster bought $6.5k on the same side within minutes during a 45.6x jump in market volume.
One wallet is only 2 days old and has already made 6 flagged large bets, suggesting unusually aggressive early activity.
They bought from 70¢ to 82¢ and the market is now 84¢, so the move already has follow-through.

$6,513 on Adolfo Vallejo

New wallet betting big again

A 2-day-old wallet has already made six notable bets totaling $8.8k and is scaling into this tennis side with early profitability, suggesting unusually strong conviction for a new account.

This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 6 large-bet alerts and put $8.8k to work
The wallet is 2 for 2 so far and up $1.1k, which is unusually strong for a brand-new account
Bought Adolfo Vallejo at 70¢ and the market has already moved to 72¢, showing early follow-through

$1,477 on Adolfo Vallejo | Wallet win rate: 52%

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 73540662, $9,121 (72% win rate)
0x0c45...0ac6 — Outcome 73540662, $7,537 (23% win rate)
0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 73540662, $3,532 (64% win rate)
0x4b49...0397 — Outcome 73540662, $1,480 (77% win rate)
0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 73540662, $1,289
0xe8d3...acf8 — Outcome 73540662, $715
0xeaac...d71d — Outcome 73540662, $612
0xde80...d8b9 — Outcome 73540662, $486
0x058e...a2ac — Outcome 73540662, $363
0x46ff...6672 — Outcome 73540662, $323

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Madrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Henrique Rocha

ResolvedMadrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Henrique Rocha$16,390 tracked5 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Henrique Rocha in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Henrique Rocha. This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Rocha advances against Adolfo Vallejo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.