Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $63,571.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

70% winner joins cluster

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought TheMongolz alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 70% of 1,439 resolved bets and is up $715k lifetime.
Three wallets bought the same side for $20k as market volume spiked 122x before the match.
Entry at 55¢ is already in profit with TheMongolz now around 58¢.

$1,472 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable serial bettors on NAVI

Three high-volume, profitable serial esports bettors all backed Natus Vincere on Map 2, creating one-sided flow and meaningful price movement despite the position now trading below their average entry.

Three profitable high-volume bettors all backed Natus Vincere, with over $760k combined lifetime profit.
This was coordinated one-way flow: 3 wallets put $3.8k on the same side within minutes.
The cluster paid around 59¢ on average, while the market is now near 46¢, giving a cheaper entry than they got.

$3,777 on Natus Vincere

92% sharp joins one-sided flow

Elite 92% lifetime winner bought TheMongolz into a broader one-sided move with volume and price impact support.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.64M lifetime.
Four wallets bought the same side for $25.3K total, with this wallet adding $6.9K at 73¢.
Market activity spiked 304x and TheMongolz moved up 26 percentage points during the flow.

$6,949 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp esports cluster

Seven wallets with strong esports betting records bought $20K of Natus Vincere amid a large pre-event volume spike and sharp one-sided flow.

Seven wallets all bought Natus Vincere, totaling $20K on the same Map 2 outcome.
Multiple buyers have strong records, including one up $4.0M lifetime and another winning 87% of 388 resolved bets.
Several entries came below the current 68¢ price, including buys at 48¢ and 59¢, showing early conviction before the move.

$8,624 on Natus Vincere

Perfect-record esports bettor

Sharp-wallet override: this bettor is 27-for-27 with positive lifetime P&L and is buying Natus Vincere despite only a modest standalone signal.

This bettor has won 27 of 27 resolved trades and is up $13.6K lifetime.
They put $3.3K on Natus Vincere at 69¢ in a liquid esports market.
Their average winning entry has been 77¢, so this is a lower-priced bet than their usual winners.

$3,287 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable whale backs underdog

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor placed a $22.2k underdog bet that exceeded the market's entire 24h volume.

This bettor is up $1.16M lifetime across 1,675 resolved markets.
They have traded 247 markets across 181 events, showing a long-running cross-market betting pattern.
The $22.2k buy on TheMongolz was 169% of the market’s 24h volume, signaling strong conviction.

$22,239 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 58%

Elite sports sharp buying favorite

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 78% win rate and nearly $4M lifetime profit bought Natus Vincere at 71¢ on a relatively quiet map market.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up about $4.0M lifetime.
They have traded 924 markets across 552 events, suggesting deep sports-market experience.
The $4.4K buy was about 75% of recent market volume, showing strong conviction at 71¢.

$4,363 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 81%

Repeat new wallet steam

A repeat new-wallet bettor put $4.7k on Natus Vincere in a thin esports market, accounting for a large share of volume and pushing the price up sharply.

A new wallet has now been flagged 5 times, with $17.4k total in notable bets.
This $4.7k buy was nearly the whole market’s volume and helped move Natus Vincere up about 27 points.
The bettor built the position aggressively from 50¢ to 77¢, showing strong conviction despite the thin order book.

$2,269 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 49%

New whale moving thin market

A repeat new-wallet whale has built a net long Natus Vincere position and moved a thin esports market sharply higher, though the wallet has no resolved track record yet.

This new wallet has now been flagged 6 times for large bets, with $18.5K total flagged activity.
Their trades drove Natus Vincere up about 27 percentage points in a market with only $5.8K total volume.
They remain net long Natus Vincere after some selling, with an effective entry around 57¢ versus current odds near 68¢.

$5,856 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 49%

Repeat new wallet steam

A repeat new-wallet bettor put $4.7k on Natus Vincere in a thin esports market, accounting for a large share of volume and pushing the price up sharply.

A new wallet has now been flagged 5 times, with $17.4k total in notable bets.
This $4.7k buy was nearly the whole market’s volume and helped move Natus Vincere up about 27 points.
The bettor built the position aggressively from 50¢ to 77¢, showing strong conviction despite the thin order book.

$4,735 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 49%

Top Holders

0x880b...c98b — Outcome 25997441, $25,911 (74% win rate)
0x89dd...f662 — Outcome 25997441, $21,481 (99% win rate)
0x56c9...0d9e — Outcome 25997441, $19,819 (92% win rate)
0xd6f5...f3b5 — Outcome 25997441, $13,425 (84% win rate)
0x8cbf...0eb4 — Outcome 25997441, $6,239 (71% win rate)
0xfa88...85a5 — Outcome 25997441, $5,504 (74% win rate)
0xe872...819a — Outcome 25997441, $4,414 (79% win rate)
0xe766...404d — Outcome 25997441, $3,833 (57% win rate)
0x3993...cded — Outcome 25997441, $2,677 (70% win rate)
0x310d...d698 — Outcome 25997441, $2,339 (75% win rate)

Related Theses

FUT wins in three maps

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FUT sweeps EDward Gaming

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Monte beats paiN

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NaVi wins in three maps

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G2 sweeps BIG

Covers 3 related markets

TYLOO sweeps 9z

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FUT wins in three maps

Covers 4 related markets

Falcons sweep G2 convincingly

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Spirit sweeps Natus Vincere

Covers 3 related markets

B8 and Mongolz split maps

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$63,571 tracked10 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Natus Vincere and TheMongolz in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 13 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against TheMongolz. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 2 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.