Part of: Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga
This prediction market covers the Estoril Open tennis match between Nuno Borges and Roman Andres Burruchaga, scheduled for July 22, 2026, at 9:30 AM ET. The market resolves based on which player advances, with smart money activity currently favoring Borges; listed odds may change before the match and the market resolves by July 29, 2026, under the exchange rules.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $342,646.
Categories: Sports, Tennis, Games
Notable Trades
95% winner joins 23-wallet Borges cluster
A highly profitable serial bettor bought $26,131 of Nuno Borges alongside 23 coordinated wallets, despite already holding the outcome.
- This bettor has won 95% of 43 resolved positions and earned over $1.02 million.
- Twenty-three wallets bought Nuno Borges together, totaling $133,635, with seven linked by a common funder.
- The wallet added $26,131 at 54¢ to an existing Borges position, signaling strong conviction despite the market’s current 0% quote.
$26,131 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 96%
23-wallet funded Borges cluster
A 23-wallet, seven-funder cluster invested $133,635 backing Nuno Borges, making this coordinated tennis-market flow worth surfacing despite the individual trade being a position close.
- Twenty-three wallets backed Nuno Borges for a combined $133,635, with seven wallets linked to the same funder.
- The featured bettor has won 69% of 394 resolved bets and is up $405,711 lifetime.
- The trade closed Roman Andres Burruchaga at 47¢, equivalent to buying Nuno Borges at 53¢; the individual wallet was taking profit from an existing position.
$3,728 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 69%
Funded cluster backs Nuno Borges
A 14-wallet funded cluster deployed $53,133 toward Nuno Borges, including several highly profitable bettors, despite the price falling from earlier entries.
- Nine linked wallets placed $53,133 in Nuno Borges positions, including a $26,131 purchase.
- Several participants have strong records, including 95% and 87% win rates over substantial samples.
- The position is notable but carries execution risk: some buys were made at 62–65¢ and the market has since fallen to about 52¢.
$53,133 on Nuno Borges
13-wallet tennis conviction cluster
A $242,000 Roman Andres Burruchaga cluster included a highly profitable 96% win-rate bettor and drove a 29.6-point price surge, though the market is now fully resolved at 100%.
- Thirteen wallets committed $242,339 to Roman Andres Burruchaga, with the largest bettor putting roughly $200,000 behind the outcome.
- One participant has won 96% of 156 resolved bets and is up $5.49 million, providing unusually strong supporting evidence.
- The buying helped move Roman Andres Burruchaga up 29.6 percentage points; the market now shows 100%, so this is primarily a post-resolution study signal.
$242,339 on Roman Andres Burruchaga
Four-wallet Borges conviction cluster
A four-wallet one-sided surge and extreme pre-event volume spike indicate meaningful coordinated conviction on Nuno Borges despite the lead trader already holding a sizable position.
- Four wallets bought Nuno Borges, totaling about $19,500 in coordinated one-sided flow.
- Trading volume was 2,460 times the historical average, signaling an unusually active market ahead of the match.
- The lead wallet added to a $22,900 Borges position at 44¢, though its 59% win rate is only modest evidence of an edge.
$9,575 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 60%
Four-wallet Borges betting cluster
A four-wallet one-sided cluster and extraordinary pre-event volume spike signal meaningful coordinated conviction, despite the lead wallet only having a moderate track record and already holding the outcome.
- Four wallets bought Nuno Borges in the same window, totaling $19,464.
- Trading volume was 2,460 times the historical average, indicating an unusually concentrated pre-match move.
- The lead bettor has 154 resolved trades and is up $193,289, though its 59% win rate is only moderately compelling and it is adding to an existing Borges position.
$6,450 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 45%
Sharp bettor doubles down on Borges
A highly profitable bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Nuno Borges position despite a sharp price decline.
- This bettor has won 79% of 178 resolved trades and is up $62,354.
- The wallet is adding to an existing Nuno Borges position at 53%, even after the price fell roughly 17%.
- Its average winning entry is just 36%, indicating unusually strong historical value capture.
$1,289 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 17713380, $98,206 (63% win rate)
- 0xc430...1ebf — Outcome 17713380, $48,808 (96% win rate)
- 0x26b4...b8a9 — Outcome 17713380, $22,894 (60% win rate)
- 0xf148...0b4f — Outcome 17713380, $13,181 (80% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 17713380, $10,629 (58% win rate)
- 0x27b0...fc67 — Outcome 17713380, $5,000 (73% win rate)
- 0xafee...881e — Outcome 17713380, $2,667 (74% win rate)
- 0xcbef...0c11 — Outcome 17713380, $2,482 (75% win rate)
- 0x3fa2...cf15 — Outcome 17713380, $2,445 (79% win rate)
- 0x6982...a165 — Outcome 17713380, $2,095 (99% win rate)
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