Part of: Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga
This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Estoril Open, originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Roman Andres Burruchaga. This market will resolve to 'Roman Andres Burruchaga' if Roman Andres Burruchaga advances against Nuno Borges. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $342,646.
Categories: Sports, Tennis, Games
Notable Trades
95% winner joins 23-wallet Borges cluster
A highly profitable serial bettor bought $26,131 of Nuno Borges alongside 23 coordinated wallets, despite already holding the outcome.
- This bettor has won 95% of 43 resolved positions and earned over $1.02 million.
- Twenty-three wallets bought Nuno Borges together, totaling $133,635, with seven linked by a common funder.
- The wallet added $26,131 at 54¢ to an existing Borges position, signaling strong conviction despite the market’s current 0% quote.
$26,131 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 90%
23-wallet funded Borges cluster
A 23-wallet, seven-funder cluster invested $133,635 backing Nuno Borges, making this coordinated tennis-market flow worth surfacing despite the individual trade being a position close.
- Twenty-three wallets backed Nuno Borges for a combined $133,635, with seven wallets linked to the same funder.
- The featured bettor has won 69% of 394 resolved bets and is up $405,711 lifetime.
- The trade closed Roman Andres Burruchaga at 47¢, equivalent to buying Nuno Borges at 53¢; the individual wallet was taking profit from an existing position.
$3,728 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 75%
Funded cluster backs Nuno Borges
A 14-wallet funded cluster deployed $53,133 toward Nuno Borges, including several highly profitable bettors, despite the price falling from earlier entries.
- Nine linked wallets placed $53,133 in Nuno Borges positions, including a $26,131 purchase.
- Several participants have strong records, including 95% and 87% win rates over substantial samples.
- The position is notable but carries execution risk: some buys were made at 62–65¢ and the market has since fallen to about 52¢.
$53,133 on Nuno Borges
13-wallet tennis conviction cluster
A $242,000 Roman Andres Burruchaga cluster included a highly profitable 96% win-rate bettor and drove a 29.6-point price surge, though the market is now fully resolved at 100%.
- Thirteen wallets committed $242,339 to Roman Andres Burruchaga, with the largest bettor putting roughly $200,000 behind the outcome.
- One participant has won 96% of 156 resolved bets and is up $5.49 million, providing unusually strong supporting evidence.
- The buying helped move Roman Andres Burruchaga up 29.6 percentage points; the market now shows 100%, so this is primarily a post-resolution study signal.
$242,339 on Roman Andres Burruchaga
Four-wallet Borges conviction cluster
A four-wallet one-sided surge and extreme pre-event volume spike indicate meaningful coordinated conviction on Nuno Borges despite the lead trader already holding a sizable position.
- Four wallets bought Nuno Borges, totaling about $19,500 in coordinated one-sided flow.
- Trading volume was 2,460 times the historical average, signaling an unusually active market ahead of the match.
- The lead wallet added to a $22,900 Borges position at 44¢, though its 59% win rate is only modest evidence of an edge.
$9,575 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 72%
Four-wallet Borges betting cluster
A four-wallet one-sided cluster and extraordinary pre-event volume spike signal meaningful coordinated conviction, despite the lead wallet only having a moderate track record and already holding the outcome.
- Four wallets bought Nuno Borges in the same window, totaling $19,464.
- Trading volume was 2,460 times the historical average, indicating an unusually concentrated pre-match move.
- The lead bettor has 154 resolved trades and is up $193,289, though its 59% win rate is only moderately compelling and it is adding to an existing Borges position.
$6,450 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 43%
Sharp bettor doubles down on Borges
A highly profitable bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Nuno Borges position despite a sharp price decline.
- This bettor has won 79% of 178 resolved trades and is up $62,354.
- The wallet is adding to an existing Nuno Borges position at 53%, even after the price fell roughly 17%.
- Its average winning entry is just 36%, indicating unusually strong historical value capture.
$1,289 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 81%
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