Part of: Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Final match between Luminosity and Nemiga in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Luminosity" if Luminosity win the match against Nemiga. This market will resolve to "Nemiga" if Nemiga win the match against Luminosity. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,235.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor fading Nemiga

A proven profitable bettor is selling Nemiga at 76¢, creating a clear contrarian position on Luminosity alongside a detected price move.

  • This bettor is up $49,001 across 195 resolved trades, with a 76% win rate.
  • They sold Nemiga at 76¢, equivalent to buying Luminosity at 24¢.
  • Nemiga’s price had moved up 25.2%, making this a notable counter-position.

$1,106 on Luminosity | Wallet win rate: 75%

Proven 81% winner backs Nemiga

A highly profitable bettor with an 81% record across 341 resolved bets backed Nemiga at 58¢, and the price has since risen to 72¢.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 341 resolved bets and is up about $215,000.
  • They bought Nemiga at 58¢; the current price has climbed to 72¢.
  • The wallet has placed bets across 89 events, showing a broad, repeatable track record.

$1,200 on Nemiga | Wallet win rate: 82%

96% winner adding to Nemiga

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate added nearly $30,000 to an existing Nemiga position at 57¢.

  • This bettor has won 195 of 203 resolved positions and earned $2.7 million in profit.
  • They added $29,455 to Nemiga at 57¢, building on an existing $62,293 position.
  • The bet is large relative to recent market volume, reinforcing their conviction in Nemiga.

$5,048 on Nemiga | Wallet win rate: 96%

Proven sharp backs Luminosity

A highly profitable bettor with 1,896 resolved positions buys Luminosity at 43¢, backed by a strong long-term record and substantial cross-market activity.

  • This bettor wins 87% of 1,896 resolved positions and is up $2.6M.
  • They put $4,426 on Luminosity at 43¢, near the current market price.
  • The wallet has traded across 540 events, with over $1.5M in activity.

$4,426 on Luminosity | Wallet win rate: 88%

96% winner adding to Nemiga

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate added nearly $30,000 to an existing Nemiga position at 57¢.

  • This bettor has won 195 of 203 resolved positions and earned $2.7 million in profit.
  • They added $29,455 to Nemiga at 57¢, building on an existing $62,293 position.
  • The bet is large relative to recent market volume, reinforcing their conviction in Nemiga.

$29,455 on Nemiga | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0259...769e — Luminosity, $58,140 (99% win rate)
  2. 0x8ab9...d821 — Luminosity, $13,125 (92% win rate)
  3. 0x6b97...8d30 — Luminosity, $10,293 (88% win rate)
  4. 0x183f...85e3 — Luminosity, $10,000 (66% win rate)
  5. 0xa413...6c4a — Luminosity, $5,960 (86% win rate)
  6. 0xbdd2...6657 — Luminosity, $5,555 (81% win rate)
  7. 0x9c3e...2235 — Luminosity, $5,123 (88% win rate)
  8. 0x45ef...9037 — Luminosity, $4,921 (91% win rate)
  9. 0x4b59...3aa6 — Luminosity, $4,527 (65% win rate)
  10. 0x2a69...d2f7 — Luminosity, $2,779 (70% win rate)

Related Theses

LOUD wins series over Vitality

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Team Spirit sweeps BetBoom Team

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Spirit will dominate MOUZ series

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Nemiga wins the BO5 series

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Aurora wins series, splits maps

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G2 beats M80

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FaZe will beat TheMongolz

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Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs$41,235 tracked5 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Luminosity
0¢
Nemiga
100¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Final match between Luminosity and Nemiga in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Luminosity" if Luminosity win the match against Nemiga. This market will resolve to "Nemiga" if Nemiga win the match against Luminosity. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs

2026-10-03 15:56 UTC

$1,106 on Luminosity at 24¢

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs

2026-10-03 15:20 UTC

$1,200 on Nemiga at 58¢

58¢→100¢↑42¢

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs

2026-10-03 15:06 UTC

$5,048 on Nemiga at 57¢

57¢→100¢↑43¢

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs

2026-10-03 04:59 UTC

$4,426 on Luminosity at 43¢

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs

2026-10-03 05:02 UTC

$29,455 on Nemiga at 57¢

57¢→100¢↑43¢

Related Theses