Part of: Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers
This Polymarket MLB market covers the June 7 game between the Cleveland Guardians and Texas Rangers, resolving to the team that wins. PolySpotter is tracking $61,316 in smart money across 5 signals, including recent sharp activity on Cleveland and a wallet riding the Rangers move. The market is scheduled to resolve by June 14, 2026, or after the game is completed if postponed.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $95,812.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
New wallet riding Rangers move
New wallet made a $3.5k repeat bet on Texas and coincided with a 19-point price move, but it has no resolved track record and the market is already highly liquid.
- A new wallet put $3.5k on Texas across two buys as the price jumped from 58¢ to 78¢.
- The bettor added again at 77¢, suggesting they were still comfortable near the current market price.
- This is momentum-driven rather than track-record driven: the wallet has no resolved betting history yet.
$3,479 on Texas Rangers
Sharp joins Guardians cluster
Surface: a proven 82% winner joined a $29.4k one-sided Guardians cluster amid a major pre-game volume spike, despite the largest wallet having poor historical P&L.
- A bettor in this cluster wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $89.6k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $29.4k of Cleveland, creating a clear one-sided move before the game.
- Volume is running 35.8x above normal, suggesting this is more than routine MLB action.
$29,405 on Cleveland Guardians
94% winner sports sharp
Elite sports bettor with a 94% historical win rate and $1.7M profit bought $15,000 of Texas Rangers at 58¢.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.7M lifetime.
- They have bet across 307 events with the same 94% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- A $15,000 Rangers buy at 58¢ is fresh conviction from a proven high-volume bettor.
$15,000 on Texas Rangers | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports bettor is exiting Cleveland, which converts to a Texas lean, though the signal is weaker because it appears to close a prior Guardians position.
- This bettor is up $2.46M lifetime across more than 3,000 resolved bets.
- They win 69% of resolved trades and have bet across 2,337 markets.
- This trade exits Cleveland at 42¢, implying a Texas lean around 58¢.
$6,983 on Texas Rangers | Wallet win rate: 69%
Elite 93% sports bettor
Elite profitable sports bettor bought $6.45k of Cleveland at 43¢, backed by a 93% win rate and $1.41M lifetime profit.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $1.41M lifetime.
- They have traded 248 events with $3.09M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 43¢ implies they see Cleveland as underpriced despite the market sitting near 42–43¢.
$6,450 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor bought Cleveland at 43¢ with a long resolved history and $1.38M lifetime profit.
- This bettor wins 61% of resolved trades and is up $1.38M lifetime.
- They have traded across 241 events with over $3.0M in cross-market volume.
- Entry at 43¢ implies a roughly 2.3x payout if Cleveland wins.
$4,816 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 61%
93% winner backs Cleveland
Elite MLB/cross-market bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and $1.4M lifetime profit bought $15k of Cleveland at 43¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $1.4M lifetime.
- They have traded 246 events with a strong cross-market track record.
- A $15k buy at 43¢ signals real conviction despite Cleveland being the underdog.
$15,050 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a huge track record bought Texas Rangers amid a sharp pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor has won 69% of 3,284 resolved bets and is up $2.46M lifetime.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, with $9.0M tracked across 1,815 events.
- Market volume spiked 86.5x before the game, adding momentum behind the Rangers buy.
$7,315 on Texas Rangers | Wallet win rate: 69%
Profitable serial sports sharp
Highly profitable serial sports trader bought $7.3k of Cleveland at 44¢, making the wallet track record the main signal despite only a moderate composite score.
- This bettor is up $2.46M lifetime across more than 3,000 resolved markets.
- They win 69% of resolved bets while having traded across 1,803 events.
- A $7.3k buy at 44¢ suggests they see Cleveland as underpriced versus the market.
$7,315 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 69%
Top Holders
- 0xf4f8...5bf1 — Outcome 70512696, $85,720 (48% win rate)
- 0x1117...3532 — Outcome 37359083, $81,710 (64% win rate)
- 0xf152...64aa — Outcome 37359083, $72,000 (65% win rate)
- 0x1136...0c2e — Outcome 70512696, $53,679 (49% win rate)
- 0x16bb...8492 — Outcome 70512696, $50,000 (93% win rate)
- 0x2ada...2f28 — Outcome 37359083, $18,391 (71% win rate)
- 0x0a77...9d74 — Outcome 70512696, $11,765
- 0x7a88...41cc — Outcome 70512696, $11,200 (61% win rate)
- 0x65e5...eaa8 — Outcome 70512696, $8,114 (100% win rate)
- 0x1d16...212e — Outcome 70512696, $6,256 (82% win rate)
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