Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 quarterfinal BO3 between Natus Vincere and Vitality at the IEM Atlanta Playoffs, scheduled for May 15 at 4:30 PM ET. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with cancellation, tie, or major delay rules applying if no winner is determined within the market’s conditions. PolySpotter is tracking $3,042 in smart money across 2 signals, including alerts from elite and profitable esports traders.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Natus Vincere and Vitality in the IEM Atlanta Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $72,099.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

95% win-rate esports sharp

Sharp esports bettor with a 95% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought $4.5k of Vitality amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 37 of 39 resolved bets and is up $50k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 39 events with a 95% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • A $4.5k buy at 78¢ comes during a 77x pre-event volume spike, reinforcing the Vitality side.

$4,500 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp underdog cluster

A highly profitable 88% win-rate bettor led a $26.8k four-wallet cluster buying the 20¢ underdog amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • The lead bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $1.28M lifetime.
  • Four wallets put $26.8k on the same 20¢ underdog side within minutes.
  • Market volume spiked 83x, suggesting unusual pre-match interest in this side.

$26,837 on Natus Vincere

Profitable serial sports trader

Serial cross-market trader with a large profitable history bought $4,000 of Vitality amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has traded 968 resolved markets, wins 61% of them, and is up about $126K lifetime.
  • They are a heavy cross-market trader, with $1.74M deployed across 338 markets in 288 events.
  • Vitality was bought at 80¢ during a 55x pre-event volume spike, suggesting strong market attention before the match.

$4,000 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 61%

92% winning esports bettor

Sharp esports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate bought Vitality amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $25.9K lifetime.
  • They bought Vitality at 80¢ in a liquid market, so the edge is mostly the wallet’s strong track record.
  • Market volume is surging 55x above normal before the match, suggesting heavy pre-event positioning.

$1,700 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 92%

90% winner backs favorite

Sharp esports bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought nearly $9.7k of Vitality into a pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved bets and is up $51k lifetime.
  • They put $9.7k on Vitality at 79¢ before a major volume spike.
  • Entry at 79¢ implies a relatively tight but high-confidence favorite position.

$9,719 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable new esports wallet

A 1-day-old wallet is already profitable and making another meaningful Vitality bet, suggesting early informed conviction despite a short track record.

  • This wallet is only 1 day old but is already up $667 across its early bets.
  • It has opened 4 positions quickly and is putting another $1,054 on Vitality.
  • Entry at 79¢ suggests a higher-conviction favorite bet, though the track record is still very short.

$1,054 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 67%

Sharp esports underdog buyer

Sharp esports bettor with an 82% historical win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying the Natus Vincere underdog at 22¢.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $271,661 lifetime.
  • Their average winning entry was 29¢, showing a strong history of finding underpriced long shots.
  • Buying Natus Vincere at 22¢ implies they see meaningful upside versus the current market odds.

$1,988 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable serial esports trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Vitality during a major pre-event volume spike, making this a copyable esports position despite the modest single-trade size.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 645 resolved bets and is up about $769k lifetime.
  • They are a heavy cross-market trader with $1.57M tracked across 231 events, suggesting a repeatable event-betting process.
  • The market saw a 66.8x pre-event volume spike, and this wallet bought the favorite at 78¢.

$2,684 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 67%

New esports whale repeating

Extremely new wallet is repeatedly making five-figure esports bets and already shows early profit, buying Vitality for $10.3k at 78¢.

  • This 11-hour-old wallet has already had 3 large flagged bets totaling $22.7k.
  • The bettor is putting $10.3k on Vitality at 78¢, a concentrated position in a liquid esports market.
  • Early results are positive: 1 resolved win and about $3k profit so far.

$10,290 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial bettor

Profitable serial trader with a large resolved sample is buying Vitality despite the trade being modest relative to market liquidity.

  • This bettor has won 61% of 968 resolved bets and is up $125,807 lifetime.
  • They are a high-volume cross-market trader, active across 286 events with $1.7M total traded.
  • They bought Vitality at 77¢, backing the favorite in a liquid market rather than a thin price spike.

$1,540 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 61%

Top Holders

  1. 0x88d1...18da Vitality, $162,219 (69% win rate)
  2. 0x5966...f804 Natus Vincere, $99,431 (88% win rate)
  3. 0x0a63...fc03 Natus Vincere, $20,102 (80% win rate)
  4. 0x880b...c98b Natus Vincere, $20,000 (66% win rate)
  5. 0xcd66...664f Vitality, $20,000 (66% win rate)
  6. 0x29b5...cc6c Natus Vincere, $15,526 (59% win rate)
  7. 0x2d40...ec52 Vitality, $15,402 (58% win rate)
  8. 0x5e6e...be00 Natus Vincere, $13,540 (52% win rate)
  9. 0xb78b...2bb3 Vitality, $13,193 (100% win rate)
  10. 0x5aa6...9d71 Vitality, $12,303 (90% win rate)

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Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

4hCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$72,099 tracked14 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Natus Vincere
22¢
Vitality
79¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Natus Vincere and Vitality in the IEM Atlanta Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Vitality
80¢
77¢
73¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

1h ago

$4,500 on Vitality at 78¢

78¢79¢1¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

1h ago

$26,837 on Natus Vincere at 20¢

20¢22¢2¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

2h ago

$4,000 on Vitality at 80¢

80¢79¢1¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

2h ago

$1,700 on Vitality at 80¢

80¢79¢1¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

2h ago

$9,719 on Vitality at 79¢

79¢79¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

2h ago

$1,054 on Vitality at 79¢

79¢79¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

2h ago

$1,988 on Natus Vincere at 22¢

22¢22¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

2h ago

$2,684 on Vitality at 78¢

78¢79¢1¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

2h ago

$10,290 on Vitality at 78¢

78¢79¢1¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

3h ago

$1,540 on Vitality at 77¢

77¢79¢2¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

4h ago

$1,050 on Vitality at 77¢

77¢79¢2¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

5h ago

$1,386 on Vitality at 77¢

77¢79¢2¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

8h ago

$4,000 on Vitality at 77¢

77¢79¢2¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

1d ago

$1,350 on Natus Vincere at 23¢

23¢22¢1¢

Related Theses