Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,698.

Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring

Notable Trades

Profitable serial crypto trader

Serial cross-market crypto trader with a long profitable history is buying No again, though this is a modest add after closing a larger prior No position.

This bettor has a long record: 1,645 resolved trades, 58% wins, and about $348k in profit.
They trade across many related markets, with 130 events and $2.2M in tracked cross-market activity.
They are buying No at 70¢ after previously holding a larger No position around 73¢.

$1,155 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%

85% winner fading rally

Proven 85% winner with a long serial cross-market history is exiting Yes after a large BTC market move, which converts to a No copy signal at 50¢ despite current No around 38¢.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $126K lifetime across 97 positions.
They have traded 100 markets across 74 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
Selling Yes at 50¢ after entering around 18¢ signals they are fading the move toward Yes.

$3,017 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

Serial BTC event trader

Serial cross-market trader with a 74% historical hit rate is flipping from a prior No stance into Yes on a BTC price market after broader event positioning.

This wallet has traded 44 related events with a 74% hit rate across 303 resolved markets.
They previously held No on this market but are now buying Yes, suggesting a fresh change in view.
The 24¢ entry implies about a 4x payout if Bitcoin closes above the target.

$1,525 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Top Holders

0x539e...d4d5 — Outcome 14719900, $20,000
0xafe6...8192 — Outcome 14719900, $19,625 (85% win rate)
0x3341...5187 — Outcome 14719900, $14,890
0x15ee...044c — Outcome 14719900, $13,300
0x35a1...c6ab — Outcome 14719900, $10,000
0xc52c...6732 — Outcome 14719900, $7,159
0x9e7a...c717 — Outcome 14719900, $4,354
0x2cce...6e85 — Outcome 14719900, $2,500 (67% win rate)
0xb582...889c — Outcome 62840224, $2,000
0xe88a...94c5 — Outcome 14719900, $1,888

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Bitcoin stays below $82K

Covers 1 related market

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?

ResolvedBitcoin above ___ on May 11?$5,698 tracked3 signalsBitcoinWeeklyMulti StrikesCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From New

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.