Part of: Spain vs. Argentina - Halftime Result

Spain leading at halftime?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,210.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Three-wallet Yes cluster

A concentrated three-wallet Yes position coincided with a 157x volume spike, led by a profitable bettor, though the market has since moved against the entries.

  • Three wallets committed $15,348 to Yes during a 157x historical volume spike.
  • The largest bettor has won 62% of 93 resolved trades and is up $72,000 lifetime.
  • Yes has fallen from the 33–34¢ entries to 27%, while one participating wallet has a heavily negative track record.

$15,348 on Yes

98% win-rate serial trader buys Yes

A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate and substantial odds-adjusted edge placed an $11.9K fresh bet on Yes at 33%.

  • This bettor has won 104 of 106 resolved trades and is up $5.84 million.
  • The $11,862 position was bought at 33%, while the bettor’s historical average win price is 51%, indicating a major edge.
  • This serial trader has placed bets across 108 events and 175 markets, making the fresh Yes position especially notable.

$11,862 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%

88% win-rate serial bettor buys Yes

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $3,000 purchase of Spain Yes at 32%.

  • This bettor has won 88% of 114 resolved positions and earned over $1.2 million.
  • They made a fresh $3,000 bet on Spain leading at halftime at 32¢, implying roughly a 3.1-to-1 payout.
  • The wallet has traded across 155 events and 177 markets, showing a sustained and broad track record rather than a one-off result.

$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7c1e...bab3 Outcome 42503841, $119,999 (98% win rate)
  2. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 42503841, $36,573 (55% win rate)
  3. 0x9caf...94dc Outcome 42503841, $14,706 (62% win rate)
  4. 0x9de0...9dd5 Outcome 42503841, $12,193
  5. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 99059826, $11,182
  6. 0x8474...2511 Outcome 42503841, $10,000 (69% win rate)
  7. 0x85bb...9ada Outcome 42503841, $9,375 (87% win rate)
  8. 0xad9f...17bc Outcome 42503841, $8,442 (100% win rate)
  9. 0xb184...b6c6 Outcome 42503841, $7,337 (77% win rate)
  10. 0x3ad6...dd64 Outcome 42503841, $6,998

Related Theses

England wins a high-scoring rout

Covers 5 related markets

Brazil wins high-scoring blowout

Covers 3 related markets

Croatia wins high-scoring blowout

Covers 3 related markets

Belgium fails to win

Covers 3 related markets

Argentina advances in high-scoring regulation

Covers 3 related markets

Bosnia routs Qatar in shootout

Covers 3 related markets

Japan wins low-scoring match

Covers 3 related markets

Iraq covers low-scoring match

Covers 3 related markets

Spain routs Saudi Arabia

Covers 4 related markets

England routs Panama in goalfest

Covers 5 related markets

Spain leading at halftime?

ResolvedSpain vs. Argentina - Halftime Result$30,210 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 19, 2026 If Spain wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No
71¢
68¢
65¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spain leading at halftime?

8d ago

$15,348 on Yes at 34¢

Spain leading at halftime?

8d ago

$11,862 on Yes at 33¢

Spain leading at halftime?

9d ago

$3,000 on Yes at 32¢

Related Theses