Part of: Canada vs. Qatar
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?
40 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,246,568.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
92% winner buying longshot
Sharp wallet with a 92% resolved win rate and +$54.9k P&L bought Canada No despite the market being heavily priced toward Yes.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $54.9k lifetime.
- They bought No at 8¢ against a market pricing Canada near-certain to win.
- The market is very liquid, so this is a sharp-wallet signal rather than a thin-market move.
$1,896 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Six-wallet contrarian No cluster
Six wallets made a coordinated contrarian No bet, including several profitable high-volume traders, though the market has since moved against them.
- Six wallets put $22k on No in the same window, a coordinated move against Canada’s 92% market odds.
- Several bettors are high-volume and profitable, including wallets up $1.09M and $1.33M lifetime.
- No has fallen from their roughly 19¢ average entry to 8¢, making this a contrarian follow rather than momentum.
$22,069 on No
Profitable new whale
A 2-day-old wallet with early profits and repeated large flagged bets bought nearly $19.5k of Canada Yes before a sharp move from 81% to 90%.
- This new bettor is already up $14.4k after 3 resolved wins and has made 8 large flagged bets.
- They put $19.5k on Canada at 81¢, and the market has already moved to 90¢.
- The market saw a 151x volume spike and Canada Yes is up 14 points in the last day.
$19,486 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Repeat new whale buying Yes
A 16-day-old repeat whale bought over $1M of Yes at 79¢ during a 151x pre-event volume spike, with the market already moving to 90¢.
- A new wallet put $1.03M on Yes at 79¢, showing unusually large conviction.
- This wallet has been flagged 27 times with $4.6M in notable bets despite being only 16 days old.
- Market volume spiked 151x and the price has already moved from 79¢ to 90¢.
$1,029,998 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Elite bettor buying favorite
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 89% win rate and +$218k lifetime P&L bought Canada Yes amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $218,795 lifetime.
- They have traded 153 markets across 122 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Market volume spiked 151x, and Canada has moved from 74% to 92% over the past day.
$4,973 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Canada Yes before a major volume spike and a 13-point move in their favor.
- This bettor has won 68% of 2,239 resolved trades and is up about $602K lifetime.
- They bought Canada at 79¢ before the market moved to 92¢, showing strong timing on this position.
- The market saw a 151x pre-event volume spike and is up 16 points on the day.
$1,590 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial sports whale
A massively profitable serial cross-market trader bought Canada at 81¢ before a sharp move to 92¢ amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor is up $16.0M lifetime across nearly $197M invested.
- They bought Canada at 81¢ and the market has already moved to 92¢.
- Volume surged 151x versus normal activity, with Canada up 16 points in the last day.
$4,699 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%
83% winner caught move
Moderately interesting sports bet from an 83% winner that caught a sharp move from 79% to 90% amid a major pre-event volume spike, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is slightly negative.
- This bettor has won 24 of 29 resolved bets, with entries that have beaten market odds by a wide margin.
- They bought Canada at 79¢ before the market moved to about 90¢.
- Volume on this market spiked 151x versus its usual pace, matching the price move toward Canada.
$1,936 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
87% winner caught move
Sharp wallet with an 87% resolved-bet win record bought Canada Yes before a major volume spike and price move from 79¢ to about 90¢.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $1,930 lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 79¢ before the market moved to about 90¢.
- Market volume spiked 151x versus normal, with odds up 14 points in the last day.
$1,427 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%
Profitable serial trader
Experienced profitable cross-market trader bought Canada before a major pre-event volume spike and a 12-point price move.
- This very active bettor is up $266k across 887 resolved bets.
- They bought Canada at 80¢ before the market jumped to 92¢.
- Volume surged 151x above normal, matching the sharp move toward Canada.
$8,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0xf031...c80c — Outcome 27363988, $4,114,509 (93% win rate)
- 0xb45a...192c — Outcome 27363988, $500,000 (46% win rate)
- 0xc41d...74fd — Outcome 27363988, $400,000 (96% win rate)
- 0x4761...5ae8 — Outcome 27363988, $372,640 (71% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 27363988, $221,205
- 0x37e0...024e — Outcome 27363988, $200,000 (69% win rate)
- 0xc660...bd28 — Outcome 27363988, $183,400 (72% win rate)
- 0x56c5...dbcf — Outcome 27363988, $150,000 (64% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 27363988, $107,236 (74% win rate)
- 0xa8a5...122b — Outcome 27363988, $100,000 (69% win rate)
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