Part of: Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants
This prediction market covers the Indian Premier League match between Rajasthan Royals and Lucknow Super Giants scheduled for May 19, 2026. PolySpotter tracks $11,464 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including recent wallet clusters showing momentum on both Rajasthan and Lucknow. The market resolves based on the finalized match result published by ESPNcricinfo, with ordinary on-field rulings such as DLS, penalties, forfeits, or tiebreaks counting toward the declared winner.
25 smart money signals detected, totaling $146,897.
Categories: Sports, Games, Cricket, Indian Premier League
Notable Trades
Profitable new IPL whale
Profitable 11-day-old wallet with repeat large bets bought Rajasthan at 73¢ before a major move to 94¢ amid a volume spike.
- This 11-day-old bettor is 5-for-5 on resolved bets and up $4.8K so far.
- They have now been flagged 5 times, with $21K in notable large bets already.
- Rajasthan moved from their 73¢ entry to 94¢ as volume spiked nearly 15x.
$3,000 on Rajasthan Royals | Wallet win rate: 100%
Serial bettor riding momentum
High-volume IPL favorite buy from an experienced serial cross-market bettor coincided with a major price move and volume spike, though the wallet is not lifetime profitable.
- An experienced sports bettor with 822 resolved markets bought $8.5k at 88¢ before the price moved to 94¢.
- The market saw a 14.8x volume spike and Rajasthan moved sharply upward, suggesting broader money is piling into the same side.
- This is already a heavy favorite, so the copy window is narrow above the trader’s 88¢ entry.
$8,464 on Rajasthan Royals | Wallet win rate: 78%
5-wallet Lucknow push
Surfacing because five wallets put one-sided money on Lucknow during a volume spike, though this wallet is not a proven high-win-rate sharp and the market has since moved against the entry.
- Five wallets all bought Lucknow in the same window, totaling $17.5K on one side.
- This wallet put $12.3K behind Lucknow, including sells of Rajasthan that convert to the same view.
- The market has moved against them from about 49¢ to 30¢, so this is a higher-risk contrarian follow.
$12,315 on Lucknow Super Giants | Wallet win rate: 54%
Six-wallet Rajasthan push
Coordinated one-sided flow into Rajasthan from 6 wallets, backed by a 10x volume spike and rapid price move, makes this worth surfacing despite the lead wallet's modest win rate.
- Six wallets bought Rajasthan the same way, totaling about $23K in coordinated flow.
- Market volume spiked 10.3x and Rajasthan moved 12 points in about 5 minutes.
- This wallet is only a 54% winner, but it is up $156K lifetime and added nearly $7.7K of Rajasthan exposure.
$7,689 on Rajasthan Royals | Wallet win rate: 54%
Profitable trader joins cluster
A profitable high-volume serial sports trader bought Rajasthan while six wallets pushed the same side amid a volume spike and fast price move.
- This bettor has traded 2,438 resolved markets and is up about $442K lifetime.
- Six wallets bought Rajasthan in the same window, totaling about $23K on one side.
- Volume spiked 10x and Rajasthan moved up 12 points in under 5 minutes during the buying wave.
$2,092 on Rajasthan Royals | Wallet win rate: 58%
6-wallet Rajasthan flow
Six wallets bought Rajasthan in the same window with a volume spike and short-term price impact, though this specific wallet has only a mixed track record and the market has since retraced.
- Six wallets bought Rajasthan the same way, totaling $23.2K in coordinated flow.
- Market volume spiked 10.3x and Rajasthan jumped 12 points in under 5 minutes during the buying.
- This wallet is up $40.2K lifetime, but the entry was 60¢ and the market has since fallen to 48¢.
$1,411 on Rajasthan Royals | Wallet win rate: 50%
New sharp backing Lucknow
A 10-day-old repeat large bettor with early profits sold Rajasthan at 56¢, effectively backing Lucknow at 44¢ before the market moved toward Lucknow.
- This new bettor is already up $1,490 and has now made 3 flagged large positions in 10 days.
- Selling Rajasthan at 56¢ is equivalent to backing Lucknow at 44¢, and Lucknow is now trading around 52¢.
- The move came during a fast 12-point price swing, suggesting this wallet caught the market turn well.
$4,350 on Lucknow Super Giants | Wallet win rate: 100%
99% win-rate cricket bettor
A highly profitable 99% win-rate sports bettor bought Rajasthan Royals, with supporting one-sided flow from five wallets despite the price drifting below their entry.
- This bettor has won 181 of 182 resolved bets and is up $143,958 lifetime.
- They are a serial sports/event trader across 190 markets with a 99% win record.
- Five wallets bought Rajasthan Royals in the same direction, totaling $10,204.
$1,239 on Rajasthan Royals | Wallet win rate: 100%
5-wallet one-sided sports flow
Surface due to coordinated one-sided buying by 5 wallets plus a 15.8x pre-event volume spike, though the lead wallet lacks a strong win-rate edge and price has moved against entry.
- Five wallets all bought the same side, totaling $10.2k in coordinated Rajasthan Royals demand.
- Market volume is running 15.8x above normal ahead of the match, suggesting unusual pre-game positioning.
- This buyer entered at 56¢, while the market is now around 52¢, offering a cheaper entry than the flagged trade.
$3,547 on Rajasthan Royals | Wallet win rate: 50%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable serial sports bettor with a 69% resolved win rate is buying Lucknow at 55¢ despite a liquid market.
- This bettor has won 69% of 48 resolved bets and is up $70K lifetime.
- They have traded across 30 events with $130K total volume, suggesting a repeat sports edge.
- Entry at 55¢ is slightly below the current 56% market price.
$2,491 on Lucknow Super Giants | Wallet win rate: 69%
Top Holders
- 0x5b6e...f544 — Outcome 30774123, $175,000 (86% win rate)
- 0xb45d...a406 — Outcome 30774123, $74,800
- 0x10ff...5088 — Outcome 30774123, $21,241 (56% win rate)
- 0x169d...fb3d — Outcome 30774123, $20,556 (60% win rate)
- 0x85a7...2072 — Outcome 30774123, $12,328 (67% win rate)
- 0x7065...f73c — Outcome 30774123, $12,000 (65% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 30774123, $10,765 (75% win rate)
- 0x6f8b...01aa — Outcome 30774123, $10,245 (39% win rate)
- 0x143c...02c6 — Outcome 30774123, $10,001
- 0x2fe7...0c14 — Outcome 30774123, $10,000
