Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will be up or down between 1:50AM and 1:55AM ET on April 13, based on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream. It resolves to Up if the ending price is greater than or equal to the starting price, and Down if the ending price is lower. PolySpotter is tracking light smart money activity in this market, including a recent alert showing a sharp bettor buying Down.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $980.

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor buys Down

A bettor with a strong proven edge is buying Down at 47¢, offering a copyable signal despite the modest size and single-trade alert.

  • This bettor wins 78% of their trades and is up $8.2k on $23.3k invested
  • Their results are strong for the prices they pay, with a 31% edge over implied odds
  • They bought Down at 47¢, a sub-50¢ entry that suggests they see the market as mispriced

$980 on Down | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb2dd...7ec0 — Outcome 37002389, $6,765 (78% win rate)
  2. 0x1e50...2473 — Outcome 37002389, $1,992
  3. 0x7da0...6be2 — Outcome 37002389, $1,800
  4. 0x621e...6510 — Outcome 37002389, $1,187 (42% win rate)
  5. 0x66ed...b9b5 — Outcome 37002389, $902
  6. 0x7a4c...4068 — Outcome 37002389, $800
  7. 0x5509...0b43 — Outcome 37002389, $700
  8. 0xd216...eead — Outcome 37002389, $400
  9. 0x7c1b...fa63 — Outcome 37002389, $333
  10. 0xd023...fa38 — Outcome 37002389, $306

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

$980 tracked1 signal

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

6h ago

$980 on Down at 47¢